
David Parker
2.9K posts

David Parker
@DParkerSC
Reflections on AI & Bitcoin as forces reshaping society and business. Long-term thinking, process, and learning in public. Ex-SAP Concur | Tech presales.




JUST IN: @saylor sits down with CoinDesk's @btcjvs to discuss being the world’s largest Bitcoin buyer with $62B purchased and describe the convergence of TradFi and DeFi via their digital credit product Stretch (STRC), which has rapidly grown and helps fund Bitcoin accumulation. Here is the full conversation: 00:00 Biggest Bitcoin Buyer 00:12 Consensus Miami Buzz 01:12 Earnings Call Breakdown 03:01 Retiring Convertible Bonds 05:07 Yield First Decisions 08:25 Funding Dividends Options 09:29 Selling Bitcoin Impact 11:40 Buying the Top Critique 15:40 Transparency Not Trading 18:32 Tax Loss Harvesting Choices 22:15 Balancing Equity Credit BTC 25:55 Bear Market Stretch Engine 27:25 Europe Stream Lessons 30:46 UK Regulation Arbitrage 33:34 Stretch Dividends Timing 35:08 Macro Panic Explained 36:08 Monthly Issuance Whiplash 38:20 Why Stretch Trades Near Par 40:21 Growth Over Lower Rates 45:15 Sharpe Ratio Vision 46:44 Liquidity Drives Adoption 50:21 Credit Rating Not Required 54:44 DeFi Yield Coin Boom 55:59 Leverage Risk And Stress Tests 59:46 Perpetual Design Anti Bank Run 01:02:23 Let Traders Provide Liquidity 01:06:23 Institutional Views And Catalysts 01:11:50 Lindy Effect And Closing Thoughts

















I cant speak on behalf of other companies, but I imagine it'll be to do with a lack of a 'need' to do it and in some instances, a lack of regulation / risk. Microsoft for example wouldn't want to park $5B of capital into it only to see it drop 50% in 4 months - they're more likely to buy STRC though - that's much more realistic - earn $575 million from a $5B investment. I'd actually prefer Microsoft to buy $5B of $STRC than them to buy Bitcoin because I'm more confident that MSTR wont sell it in the future, whereas another S&P 500 company are more likely to sell in downturns like we've seen with Gamestop.




🔥STRATEGY WILL BE THE WORLD'S MOST VALUABLE COMPANY🔥 Strategy bought OVER 56,000 Bitcoin in April. That number is so absurd people are psychologically incapable of processing it. Post-halving miners produce roughly 13,500 BTC per month. Strategy just bought about 4.1x an entire month of new miner supply in one month. Now run the simple monster math: Today: Strategy BTC stack: 818,334 BTC Bitcoin price: $76,196 Bitcoin NAV: $62.35B Assume Strategy keeps buying 56,000 BTC per month for 5 years. That is: ASSUMING STRC GROWTH TOTALLY STOPS (LOL) ~672,000 BTC per year ~3,360,000 BTC over 5 years Their stack goes from: 818,334 BTC to 4,178,334 BTC Now assume Bitcoin compounds at 25% CAGR. Bitcoin goes from: $76,196 to roughly: $232,532 So the Bitcoin NAV becomes: 4,178,334 BTC × $232,532 = roughly $971.5 BILLION Almost $1 TRILLION in Bitcoin NAV. And the funniest part? This model assumes no mNAV expansion. No premium insanity. No additional acceleration. No credit flywheel getting stronger. No market panic as everyone realizes Strategy is vacuuming Bitcoin off the planet like a publicly traded monetary black hole. Just: 56,000 BTC per month. 25% Bitcoin CAGR. 5 years. That’s it. Don't think they can accumulate that much Bitcoin at that low of a CAGR? Think the Bitcoin CAGR has to go higher? Cool. That only helps Strategy buy more Bitcoin. The bear case is basically: “Sure, they are absorbing multiples of new supply, building the largest corporate Bitcoin balance sheet in history, converting fiat capital markets into Bitcoin ownership, and compounding NAV at escape velocity, but have you considered that I am emotionally upset?” MSTR is becoming the most aggressive Bitcoin accumulation machine ever built. The fiat world is still modeling it like a tech stock with a weird treasury policy. GOOD LUCK.












