allinonthechair

All In On The Chair - Bitcoin

@dotkrueger DCA always spot Bitcoin, but throttle up during the troughs and throttle down when it’s overheated. And never buy more than you can hold for at least 8 years. Stay away from leverage. Keep it simple.

STRC or BTC? If you buy STRC right now, you make 10%. If BTC ends this year at 68K, you are equal. But on average, at this level of the power law value, BTC will be 170%. -- so 169K. You could hold STRC for 10 years, and you would not make that back.

Bitcoin CRUSHING S&P over the last 5 years @GaryCardone

@david_eng_mba @Giovann35084111 @TheRealPlanC @sminston_with - think you all will appreciate these.

Credit @DCBitMax - awesome charts

@HodlMagoo @saylor But he didn’t delete the Kratter posts… I’ll give him credit for sticking to it.

@saylor Looks like Saylors lawyers contacted him lol

My beliefs: Retweets are notifications, not endorsements. Constructive dialogue leads to better outcomes. Bitcoin is hope and economic empowerment for everyone. Every good-faith effort to strengthen the network should be welcomed.

@mikemcglone11 - education from @LawrenceLepard ... also, continue to study real -vs- nominal so you can regain some credibility. Bloomberg won't continue to employ you with just a bearish "mean reversion to $10k" narrative for Bitcoin if you don't understand basics.

Bear market bottoms are a process, not an event. First, price-sensitive investors capitulate. Then comes the harder phase: months of sideways action that slowly wear down the conviction of those who remain. In our latest newsletter piece, @_Checkmatey_ examines the evidence suggesting Bitcoin may be experiencing a time-pain capitulation event, and what investor behaviour looks like during this phase of the cycle → newsletter.checkonchain.com/p/conviction-t… Chart explainer: The 200WMA Quantile measures where Bitcoin is trading relative to its 200-week moving average. Current readings sit in the bottom ~10% of all historical observations, a region only visited during the deepest stages of prior bear markets.

Chart built on the paper's power law equations. Data: BitcoinMagazinePro (daily, 2010–2026). Coded by Claude Opus 4.8 (Anthropic). My idea. Their math. Real data. codepen.io/DC-BitMax/pen/…

Bitcoin’s 4-Year Cycle Is Visible, But It Is Not the Signal The 4-year cycle matters. But it is not the engine. Power law: R² = 0.9616 Full LPPL: R² = 0.9896 Current price stack: Spot: ~$62K P-10 floor: ~$63K LPPL model value: ~$99K Adoption power-law trend: ~$130K Agree with Steven @moneyordebt. Best Tool: Power law for long-term floor. Log-periodicity the rhythm around Trend. Financial conditions the short-term price. Spot near the floor means Bitcoin is not structurally broken. Spot below LPPL value means the multiple is compressed. Spot far below the adoption trend means liquidity, not adoption, is doing the damage. The question is not: “Where are we in the 4-year cycle?” The question is: “Are financial conditions expanding or contracting?” Bitcoin does not move because four years passed. It moves when liquidity hits an inelastic-supply asset.

$BTC's Deepest Discount Is Hiding in Plain Sight. Current BTC: $61,675 Power Law Trend: ~$130K Big discount relative to trend: -33.7% vs 600-day SMA -51.9% vs power-law trend The best-fit moving average to Bitcoin’s power-law path is currently ~600 days.

$BTC's Best Risk/Reward Is Hiding in Plain Sight. Spot: ~$63K P-10 floor: ~$63K Model stack: ~$99K to ~$130K Everyone wants the perfect entry. Experienced investors know the mistake Stepping over the $100 convexity bill to pick up the dime of perfect timing. The bottom is unknowable and the asymmetric upside is clearly visible.

I personally believe we actually bottomed at the Q1 power-law baseline. The future will tell, but I feel very confident buying more at these levels. This is what a asymmetric opportunity looks like in my books. - Chart By @BitcoinPowerLaw

@scottmelker He really is clueless… poor Mike.

Bitcoin WIPES OUT $504M Of Shorts As Korea PLUNGES 9% – Macro Monday x.com/i/broadcasts/1…

Strategy has acquired 1,550 BTC for $101 million to increase our $BTC Reserve to ₿845,256. We have also increased our USD Reserve by $100 million to $1.0 billion. $MSTR $STRC strategy.com/press/strategy…

$BTC WEEKLY We have potential bullish divergence coming out of oversold RSI. Need this week to close with a clear elbow up on price and RSI. If this happens, we have the second confirmed bullish divergence ever on the weekly chart - the first was FTX. This is only the 4th time it has hit oversold on the weekly chart.