doubleunplussed

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doubleunplussed

doubleunplussed

@doubleunplussed

Atomic physicist and embedded software engineer, general-purpose nerd. Forecasting, Linux, weight training, psephology, economics, Georgism, other nerdery

Melbourne, Victoria เข้าร่วม Şubat 2023
326 กำลังติดตาม117 ผู้ติดตาม
doubleunplussed
doubleunplussed@doubleunplussed·
@sparr0 @MomaBera Need it. Never thought of myself as someone who gets motion sickness, but there's a significant chunk of uber drivers who seem intent on testing this
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Sparr
Sparr@sparr0·
@MomaBera How about "I want a driver who can apply consistent throttle instead of tap-tap-tap"
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doubleunplussed
doubleunplussed@doubleunplussed·
@dontfallforem @AndyMasley He didn't say he always drives under the speed limit. If you think what a world where cars enforced the speed limit would be like - very likely speed limits would increase to be closer to what people actually drive at (as is generally the case outside the US)
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Exorbitant Bosch
Exorbitant Bosch@dontfallforem·
@AndyMasley every now and then you’ll get a guy on twitter who says something so preposterous he has to be doing a bit. normally it’s reserved for maga but there is no fucking way you always drive under the speed limit lmao this is the most full of shit thing i’ve ever heard in my life
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doubleunplussed
doubleunplussed@doubleunplussed·
@GregBenage @EneaszWrites Remember that people are in the circles they're in. A left-leaning man is going to be dating mostly left-leaning women, and there isn't a mechanism by which misogyny in right-wing circles and misandry in left can cancel out. If both exist, people will experience both.
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Greg Benage
Greg Benage@GregBenage·
@EneaszWrites Okay, I’ll call BS. I’ve never been woke, but the idea that misandry is as pervasive and virulent as the misogyny on the right the last ten years is completely detached from reality.
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Eneasz Brodski
Eneasz Brodski@EneaszWrites·
I don't want to detract from Kelsey's point. It's true and vital. This is horrid. Also, this is the community liberal boys were raised in for 30 years. We couldn't say anything about it, none of us could, because complaining about that message is incel behavior and drives away success and girls. What kind of loser lets social contempt stop him? I exclusively dated women who despised my gender because I had no other choice. (until I met someone who was raising a male child of her own and had rebelled against that part of liberal society for his sake) It kinda fucked me up and I didn't realize it at the time. Anyway, I regret not saying anything in the past, so here's this.
Kelsey Piper@KelseyTuoc

This is the intellectual community you want to raise your daughters in? This is the moral community you want them dating in?

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Spikier Caterpillar
Spikier Caterpillar@SpikyCaterpillr·
@doubleunplussed @goblinodds It's simple: the "top earners" were annoying. The algorithm put them in front of more people; the annoyance of seeing the same crap all the time made people log off, but not before they'd looked at the post that annoyed them.
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doubleunplussed
doubleunplussed@doubleunplussed·
I prefer a country I'm visiting temporarily *not* to have birthright citizenship. I fully expect visa processing bureaucrats profile pregnant women and couples of reproductive age, and simply deny visas to people they don't want to put down roots. Birthright citizenship makes it harder to credibly commit to being actually temporary. What use is this right if it just means you get denied entry in the first place?
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doubleunplussed
doubleunplussed@doubleunplussed·
I have no idea who this is but it doesn't seem like a serious proposal, it seems to be listing the things a country might be incentivised to do to control who has citizenship if it cant overturn jus soli. I don't actually know what the rules currently are, but I fully expected that if my pregnant partner wanted to travel to a jus soli country, she might have difficulty doing so. That's annoying! It would be nice for a visitor to be able to give up the right for their kid to get citizenship in order to not be denied a tourist visit or whatnot. From the perspective of a visitor, many rights you might have due to merely being on another country's soil are a liability, as they increase the chance your visa application will be rejected in the first place. A related anecdote, my partner's mother had a permanent visa application pending to come to Australia. Whilst it was pending, she was denied a tourist visa, presumably because once in the country she would have some right to stay until the permanent visa was processed (I'm not exactly sure, but she had had no problem getting a tourist visa to Australia previously). Infuriating! She couldn't come visit us for Christmas. If she could have credibly commited to leaving until the permanent visa was approved (which it eventually was), they would have let her in to visit. Also reminds me of how an excessively high minimum wage actually just denies people employment
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Andy Masley
Andy Masley@AndyMasley·
Feel like a lot of politics now is driven by this desire to be a Prince of Darkness to prove to your opponents that you're so messed up that you can't be captured by their framing, but this only encases you more in this depressing downward spiral of reacting to the other side.
Jeremiah Johnson 🌐@JeremiahDJohns

"Sterilize tourists" as a response to the same citizenship rules that have been in place for hundreds of years The guy posting this is supposedly one of the leading intellectuals of the New Right

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doubleunplussed
doubleunplussed@doubleunplussed·
This is different to what you're seeing but a friend of mine has this random extra dollar-denominated monthly usage bar in his usage page despite not having usage credits turned on. The amount there, $31 is the monthly price of Claude Pro in AUD. This was there before Fable came back. Maybe they're going to start measuring monthly usage in dollars? I don't see this bar - maybe something to do with me paying for Pro anually
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pavedwalden
pavedwalden@pavedwalden·
The /usage command says I'm spending on the API but I don't have Usage Credits turned on. Is this a UI bug or is there a setting I don't know about that's letting me spend extra money?
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doubleunplussed
doubleunplussed@doubleunplussed·
Unfortunately I only saved the images and don't have any record of the source. For what it's worth, it wouldn't have been just a prompt to a public image generation AI, these sorts of images I believe were made by running local diffusion models that were tweaked to impose the desired light/dark pattern during the diffusion process
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Dr. Dad, PhD 🔄🔼◀️🔽▶️
This image was so great, because it did something genuinely new and interesting that a human artist would have struggled with. But then nobody ran with the concept. Or if they did, it never went viral enough for me to see it.
Jack@tracewoodgrains

My father-in-law is an AI artist. He is insanely gifted. We saw this picture years ago and I asked him what it would cost to generate it today. I will never forget his answer... "We can't, we don't know how to do it."

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doubleunplussed
doubleunplussed@doubleunplussed·
Hm, I think of derangement syndrome as something like "unconditionally taking the opposite side of a despicable person, even when the stopped clock is right". So not only is Musk's infantile public behaviour not a contradiction, it's like, a precondition. When someone is acting reasonably they don't negatively polarise everyone and people's opposition to them is just normal opposition. Derangement is when the usually-correct heuristic that the person is wrong is used unconditionally to adopt dumb views. Obviously though the person is indeed usually wrong, so I'm definitely not saying the USAID stuff *is* an example of derangement, just that Musk derangement does exist and him being a bafoon doesn't contradict that. There is plenty of Musk derangement syndrome around, see people being dismissive of SpaceX and Telsa. Recent debates on orbital datacentres are an example too, you've got some reputable people totally crashing out and making atrocious arguments. Even if they're ultimately right, the debate is a very poor quality one and it's obviously because people hate Musk and are not thinking straight.
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Andy Masley
Andy Masley@AndyMasley·
Haha all those dumb libs with Elon Derangement Syndrome. I will simply go to his timeline and see the contents of the brain of the wealthiest person on Earth to confirm there's nothing weird or bad happening here.
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doubleunplussed
doubleunplussed@doubleunplussed·
The IEEE Spectrum article that the video linked to (and was part of some sponsorship deal) is about orbital datacentres generally, and the title of the video is "the truth about space datacentres". Yes it talks about a specific starcloud white paper, but the framing is clearly presenting this as a central example of orbital datacenter proposals, as if (valid) critique of it is critique of the concept as a whole. The video says near the start "I'm going to tell you why this technology is dumb", and if this is supposed to refer to the StarCloud white paper specifically, that's very unclear. I don't think it is. I do not think this video was intended as a critique of only that one white paper. I think the author thinks all orbital datacentres are implausible for similar reasons, and they made a video saying so. The fact that they picked an unrepresentative example to criticise is simply because that's what people do when they already have a conclusion in mind and aren't making a good faith effort on a topic, knowingly or otherwise - in this case I think the author is totally sincere, just mistaken, and vulnerable to the same kinds of motivates reasoning errors almost everyone makes when in the same situation.
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Basti
Basti@Basti_dood·
@TheBrianMcManus Honestly amazing to see so many people commenting here that clearly didn't watch the video, or are too stupid to understand what they saw. No folks, this has nothing to do with Elon or SpaceX. This is about StarCloud, which is quite obviously a very idiotic concept.
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Brian Mac Mághnais
Brian Mac Mághnais@TheBrianMcManus·
1. That wasn’t an assumption. It was from Starclouds white paper and I directly criticize it for being a stupidly low operating temperature 2. I said laser communications makes more sense, but it’s beneficial to keep satellites closer, like suncatchers bounded orbit achieves 3. I outright say space data centers have a useful niche in military inference. Elon’s best a brightest are arguing strawmen arguments because of an inferred slight to their master 😂
ApoStructura@ApoStructura

Real Engineering’s latest video about space datacenters is terrible. He spends his time “debunking” a long term plan and not what’s under development today, makes bad hypotheses (GPUs running only 35C) and dismisses existing tech like laser communication (used by Starlink today)

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doubleunplussed
doubleunplussed@doubleunplussed·
You gotta be salt maxxing Last time I was dieting to lose weight I asked a chatbot why I was all headachy a few days in and it was like you need more salt mofo Salt fixed the problem and I kept up the habit since and it's been great Salt in my breakfast cereal Salt in my protein shakes Salt tablets Electrolyte powder I love salt The RDI is stupidly conservative because of people with blood pressure issues so unless you have blood pressure issues, and unless you eat a lot of fast food, and especially if you sweat ever for any reason, you might not be getting enough of the tasty rock
Dr. Dad, PhD 🔄🔼◀️🔽▶️@GarrettPetersen

@cremieuxrecueil It's nuts that people try to cut all salt out of their diets. It's both unhealthy and makes life miserable.

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doubleunplussed
doubleunplussed@doubleunplussed·
Hm, MTG ability seems like a good eval only if models being any good at it is incidental and not something they train specifically for - since I would guess we could have a superhuman MTG AI already if anyone cared to build one. I suspect it's a narrow skill like chess or Go. I believe people used to say that AI playing chess would indicate real progress, or maybe even require AGI (I'm not totally sure about that one), and then after superhuman chess AI was developed they said the same about Go. But now we see these as narrow abilities and not especially on the road to AGI after all. AI not trained on chess or Go or MTG nonetheless being able to learn them and play at a superhuman level would be very impressive though. The latest ARC AGI eval is about in-context learning to play novel games - time will tell if models saturating it will actually coincide with AGI or if we will end up thinking of that as a narrow skill too.
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Tumbles
Tumbles@32Tumbles·
Personally on vibes I just don't think AGI is coming, and unironically the thing that would change my mind is an LLM that can play Magic: the Gathering well
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Not The Walter Report
Not The Walter Report@walterpols·
@doubleunplussed @MatthewSitman It’s still unclear what the damage has been and the only reason it got saved is because of a massive howell of pushback from even the conservative sun their block Hardly a thing to praise the Musks of the world for (he would’ve left it dead if not for Rubio)
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Matthew Sitman
Matthew Sitman@MatthewSitman·
Actually it was quite common for people to say, for example, that PEPFAR was one thing you really did have to hand it to George W. Bush for, a genuinely transformative program that saved millions of lives. Seriously!
PoIiMath@politicalmath

One of the reasons that I don't accept the "nuking USAID killed millions of people" framing is because most of the people saying this never took the stance that the US was a tremendously good and heroic force for saving millions of people

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doubleunplussed
doubleunplussed@doubleunplussed·
@sentientist @KelseyTuoc @Martina Huh, really? I thought humans were relatively unique in sweating whereas milk is universal in mammals, so would have assumed lactation predated sweat
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