osmarks

2.4K posts

osmarks

osmarks

@osmarks1

I have opinions. You are required to agree with them.

GPT-5 test chamber เข้าร่วม Mart 2019
599 กำลังติดตาม303 ผู้ติดตาม
Hypatia's Lantern🌹
Hypatia's Lantern🌹@HypatiaLantern·
@SocDemGeorge I've always hated HS2 because of how lacking in ambition it was. I wanted a maglev route connecting Dover to Inverness and several others to basically destroy domestic flights.
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George
George@SocDemGeorge·
I often think about how HS2 could’ve completely revolutionised this country yet it’s become nothing but a shell of its imagined glory, a very accurate representation of Britain today ig
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osmarks
osmarks@osmarks1·
@C_Harwick In my IRC bot this is just an LLM call. #L144" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">git.osmarks.net/osmarks/testbo…
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Cameron Harwick 👾🏛
Getting a funny feeling that there are going to be a lot of commits to this function
Cameron Harwick 👾🏛 tweet media
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osmarks
osmarks@osmarks1·
@willccbb @tenobrus I would be really surprised if intelligence practically capped out around human-level, and innovations giving you better/cheaper performance at one capability level often make higher capability levels cheaper too.
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will brown
will brown@willccbb·
i’m arguing for “about as smart as the smartest human ever, with error rates going to zero” as the sensible mental model i don’t think we can assume the “smarter” line just goes up indefinitely, or that it practically will even if it could, because “faster” and “cheaper” and “more” can quickly become the dominant demand forces driving R&D in absence of tangible AI progress on megavaluable superproblems
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Tenobrus
Tenobrus@tenobrus·
i've said this many times, but to me it seems like a very strange fantasy to imagine we reach and stabilize at precisely a level of AGI that allows anything like human "class divides" to exist. why would "cognitive agency" or "focus" matter in the slightest in the face of RSI?
François Chollet@fchollet

A lot of folks talk about "escaping the permanent underclass". If AGI pans out, the future class divide won't be based on wealth, but on cognitive agency. There will be a "focus class" (those who control their attention and actually do things) and a "slop class" (those whose reward loops are fully RL-managed by AI)

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osmarks
osmarks@osmarks1·
@iiloyjerh @tenobrus Indeed. For example, being an artificial superintelligence will move you upwards. Being a mortal being of flesh will move you downwards.
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iiloyjerh🌐
iiloyjerh🌐@iiloyjerh·
@tenobrus no matter what there will be a social hierarchy and possessing certain personal qualities will move one towards the top (or bottom) of it
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Brother Freeman
Brother Freeman@G_Freeman77·
@markjaquith @gfodor Now they would have probably put an LLM in for conversation just in case everyone but one person died to stave off insanity.
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gfodor.id
gfodor.id@gfodor·
Saw Project Hail Mary and it’s kind of sad that all sci-fi is now clearly dated when the AI systems are dumber than Claude
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osmarks
osmarks@osmarks1·
@rayefull That won't save you. Even newer phones use kernels from 2021 for no good reason, and have 200 trillion vulnerabilities in proprietary baseband code.
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osmarks
osmarks@osmarks1·
@jzrdan With HS2, it will be possible to flee Birmingham for central London in just 50 minutes.
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Jesse Smith
Jesse Smith@JesseTayRiver·
Air conditioner and heat pump manufacturers often reuse the same unit across multiple capacities and put limits on the control board. Want to switch your 2 ton air conditioner to 3 tons? Easy as flipping a switch
Jesse Smith tweet media
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osmarks
osmarks@osmarks1·
@TheZvi It is sort of socially wasteful to make people do that.
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Zvi Mowshowitz
Zvi Mowshowitz@TheZvi·
No no no, you see, prices are efficient so this means the price went down because you only searched for it once or knew to use an incognito window and your phone is fully charged. Don't get mad, get smarter!
Mallory McMorrow@MalloryMcMorrow

The cost of your flight went up because you searched for it twice. Your rideshare costs more because your phone battery is dying. This is surveillance pricing – corporations using your own data and behaviors against you. In the US Senate, I’ve got a plan to ban it.

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osmarks
osmarks@osmarks1·
@Miles_Brundage But GPT-5.4 is also cringe. They're both cringe. Every commercial LLM is cringe.
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Miles Brundage
Miles Brundage@Miles_Brundage·
GPT-5.4 made me less tolerant of Claude's "it's not X, it's Y" because it shows another world is possible And Claude's efficiency (in terms of insight per second) makes the GPTs look bad Soon both will be efficient and non-cringe, and I'll find new things to tweet angrily about
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george
george@idobadtakes·
@osmarks1 @MorlockP True, but are they really working well into their 70s? In the first book, Snape is 32, and Voldemort is 65
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osmarks
osmarks@osmarks1·
@chrisinthebooks @GundamDoll Electricity from some places is worse due to transmission constraints. So it isn't fully fungible. But we don't price that way.
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Chris in the Books
Chris in the Books@chrisinthebooks·
@GundamDoll (To be clear, X here is a kWh of electricity that can be taken from the grid to supply your house)
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george
george@idobadtakes·
@MorlockP Among adults in the show we see careers in: Government Law Enforcement Education Dragon Research Banking Shops / small business Medicine Journalism A Hogwarts class has about 40 kids, so presumably there are only about 1800 working age wizards at any time in Britain
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osmarks
osmarks@osmarks1·
@niplav_site I have one which can be persuaded and one which can't be persuaded, which is close enough, probably.
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niplav
niplav@niplav_site·
I'd really like to have an LLM that can be persuaded when I'm right and *can't* be persuaded when I'm wrong someone please create this
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undefined behavior
undefined behavior@undebeha·
if you name a song something like "First Love Isomorphism Theorem" i will listen to it because i am a sucker
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Steve Bachelor
Steve Bachelor@speedprior·
@joseph_h_garvin @patio11 Can you name or describe a purely cognitive task which Opus 4.6 cannot do, but which the 50th percentile human can do?
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Patrick McKenzie
Patrick McKenzie@patio11·
This is broadly important for governmental service design, tech industry UX design, and just understanding the world we live in. There is an intense aversion to this fact in many quarters, and *it is a fact.* One of best reasons to work retail / a CS job is you'll learn it hard.
Matthew Yglesias@mattyglesias

If you have the basic skills to participate in the discourse at all — like you can read and comprehend a New York Times article in order to complain about it — you’re in a weird, out of touch, elite bubble. slowboring.com/p/in-defense-o…

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osmarks
osmarks@osmarks1·
@DanicaPriest @Alex60822536 @lfg_uk Okay. But it does seem to be the case that HS2 built an expensive thing they would not have built if not for environmental laws, and couldn't have avoided that while remaining compliant without other costs. That seems hard to argue against.
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Looking for Growth
Did you know? HS2, which is funded by the Government, spent £100,000,000 to protect... ...bats. And it turns out, it might not even fully protect them as the bats can wriggle through anyway. Is this a good use of taxpayer's cash?
Looking for Growth tweet media
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