83 Beals

570 posts

83 Beals

83 Beals

@83beals

Political prediction market research with a focus on identifying consensus mispricing and tail-risk outcomes.

NYC Joined Nisan 2026
8 Following4 Followers
Brad Lander
Brad Lander@bradlander·
May this Juneteenth be a day of celebration, organizing & community. Today is a reminder that the struggle for freedom and dignity is ongoing. Let's always honor the contributions of Black Americans as we continue the fight towards a more just & equal country for all. Happy Juneteenth.
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J.C. Polanco, Esq.
J.C. Polanco, Esq.@JCPolancoNYC·
Not too long ago, I gazed into my broken political crystal ball and became PolancoDamus. Despite a career prediction record hovering around 1-for-99, I did get one right: The MAGAfication of the Democratic Party. Turns out that the cult of personality, loyalty tests to one man, ideological conformity, and attacks on dissent weren't exclusive to one side after all. Watch this short clip from last year's @NY1 live podcast featuring You Decide and Off Topic/On Politics with @errollouis, @bcuza, and @courtneycgross. youtu.be/vGNeUM8N4pE?si…
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83 Beals
83 Beals@83beals·
@ChanukahZ3 Beyond absurd thing for a mayor to say. Disregards any reality on the ground and is incredibly dangerous.
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83 Beals
83 Beals@83beals·
"@bradlander had been the city comptroller, but he never audited Bhrags, despite being officially notified of kickback allegations that had been public for months. At the time he learned this in 2024, Lander had just announced he was joining the 2025 mayor’s race." Lander’s office had approved a Bhrags contract increase in 2025, months after he was told in 2024 about corruption problems at the non-profit. @THECITYNY lays out a substantial charge. Lander did not do his job as @NYCComptroller. The question is why? thecityreporter.nyc/2026/06/19/bra… #NY10
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Ross Barkan
Ross Barkan@RossBarkan·
I covered the Bernie Sanders/Zohran Mamdani rally in Brooklyn yesterday. The major question will be whether Mamdani's three endorsed congressional candidates win next week. There's a real shot he goes 3-3. The disaster scenario, for him, would be 1-3.
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83 Beals
83 Beals@83beals·
@BPolatseck @bradlander How is this not a conflict of interest? How were the tickets distributed? In addition political ads by @NYCMayor appears to be a conflict if it is on city time.
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83 Beals
83 Beals@83beals·
@JAllen_NYC He is now taking money from MWBE investment managers that he directed $35 billion to. Including one who lobbied him on the record.
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83 Beals
83 Beals@83beals·
@LeftOnRedNYC Isn't she the one that said there should be diplomatic resolution with Russia? So how do you do that without talking to both sides?
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83 Beals
83 Beals@83beals·
@Spokoiny You know what’s worse than a war crime? War profiteers that’s what these people are. Look how much money they exploit via gofundme and ngos.
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Andrés Spokoiny 🌟🌟🌟
The Palestinians are dehumanized by these people. They're made into props in a sick morality play. If they die in the process, better. More strengh to he argument. Pals shouldn't let themselves be used like that. They've a genuine conflict with us, but it's not about how NY looks
Hen Mazzig@HenMazzig

Yesterday, candidate Darializa Avila Chevalier told the debate audience in NYC that Gaza is “visually similar” to her district. Today, Sally Rooney told an audience in Europe that “the liberation of Palestine represents the liberation of the world.“ It’s pretty obvious this movement has nothing to do with helping Palestinians, as it only sees their issues as a metaphor for their own.

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83 Beals
83 Beals@83beals·
@GersonBorrero Was that a dig with Oakley or just ignorance of the whole situation?
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83 Beals
83 Beals@83beals·
@RezaC1 @Acyn Not to mention he sent millions to St. Louis, Great American Media, after it became clear he would not win.
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Reza Chowdhury
Reza Chowdhury@RezaC1·
@Acyn Brad Pander also took $6.5M in taxpayer funding for his campaign to run in that election that he had no intent of winning. Just another of Pander prioritizing himself over people in his marred record of public service over 16 years.
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Acyn
Acyn@Acyn·
Lander: When Zohran and I cross endorsed last year, it started with the shared goal of saying good fucking riddance to Andrew Cuomo.
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83 Beals
83 Beals@83beals·
If we are going to go full Gramsci. Are you intelligentsia from the working class or intelligentsia from the bourgeoisie? Don't think our @DemSocialists brothers and sisters see that as the same thing. Also given that you are a stickler for rules. How is this appearance not an implicit endorsement of the @nycDSA candidates?
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Brad Lander
Brad Lander@bradlander·
A tremendous honor to rally alongside @BernieSanders, @ZohranKMamdani & this team of progressive champions. It’s time for a politics of solidarity. A Democratic Party that fights relentlessly to put power back in the hands of working people. No more bowing down to billionaires & corporate interests. Early voting continues until Sunday. Election Day is Tuesday! Have you made a plan to vote? Let’s take back this city and this country for the people.
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83 Beals
83 Beals@83beals·
@RussOnPolitics Whatever you do don’t tell them about Israeli healthcare. Then they will start pushing private insurance.
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Russell Drew
Russell Drew@RussOnPolitics·
Yep. Israel is what animates the DSA and leftists more than anything. More than freezing the rent, more than free buses, and more than city-run grocery stores. Yet, they say ZERO about Russia/Ukraine. This is why I say it's antisemitism. My nerve endings are antennae for it.
Sally Goldenberg@SallyGold

“Fuck him” someone in the audience shouts when @ZohranKMamdani references Bibi’s “war crimes” at this rally for @claireforny @bradlander @DarializaforNY. The crowd here is (not surprisingly) very animated over Israel and pleased with Mamdani’s emphasis on it.

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