mr. Fundamental
1.6K posts

mr. Fundamental
@DCLDaily
Nothing to see here.
Netherlands Bergabung Ağustos 2018
1.3K Mengikuti1.5K Pengikut

Who wants to onboard to @opensea Mobile this week with me?
Setting up a few more onboardings to the private beta right now!
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@jbondwagon @cryptovoxels @beeple My point is that it is pretty pointless to bid on something that is not for sale. Something we tend to forget in the NFT space.
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@gothburz Best Tweet (yes, I still use the word Tweet @VitalikButerin) that I’ve read in years.
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I am the Chief Marketing Officer of an AI company that spent $8 million on a Super Bowl ad last night.
The ad was 30 seconds long.
It featured a child. The child asked our AI a question about the stars.
Our AI answered beautifully.
The spot tested well in focus groups.
The creative team won an internal award.
We generated 40,000 renders to find one where the AI didn't hallucinate.
The approved cut was take 39,847.
The child in the ad is not a real user.
The answer about the stars is not a real answer.
The entire commercial is a proof of concept for a product we have not shipped.
By halftime, the audience hated us.
Not just us. All of us. Every AI company that bought a spot.
Sports Illustrated reported fans were "vocally fed up" before the first quarter ended. A Harris poll conducted before the game found consumers already felt "mostly negative" about AI advertising.
We knew this. The poll was published Friday. We bought the ad in September.
I watched the game from a hospitality suite with eleven other CMOs. We had a real-time sentiment dashboard on a monitor next to the bar. By the second quarter, the needle was in the red.
Someone from our analytics team Slacked: "Audience is associating us with the Svedka ad."
The Svedka ad was an AI-generated fever dream of two dancing androids that looked like what happens when you ask a machine to render human desire without ever having experienced it. Critics called it "warm slop." We were being grouped with the warm slop.
Twenty-three percent of all Super Bowl ads were AI or tech companies, according to iSpot. More AI ads than beer ads. More AI ads than food ads. We looked at each other across the suite and realized we had made the same mistake simultaneously. We had all bought the same thirty seconds of American attention and said the same thing into it.
I watched Ring's ad from that suite. Ring built a network of millions of AI-equipped doorbell cameras pointed at American front doors. They pitched it as a lost-pet finder.
The ad said: "We built a surveillance panopticon and pointed it at your neighbors' homes, and now we're teaching it to recognize faces, but look -- a puppy." They did not use those words. They did not need to.
The audience heard it anyway. Ring accidentally described its own business model in the most damning terms possible and then asked people to feel good about it.
I watched AI[.]com's ad from that suite. Nobody in the room understood it. The domain was purchased for $70 million by the CEO of Crypto[.]com. The website crashed immediately after the ad aired, because millions of people tried to find out what they had just watched and found nothing. Seventy million dollars for a URL that could not survive its own commercial.
I watched Anthropic mock OpenAI, and then watched Sam Altman call them dishonest, and then watched two companies valued at a combined $1.35 trillion spend the rest of the evening calling each other liars on X.
Someone in the suite said: "At least we didn't do that."
I said: "We spent $8 million to say the same thing they said, and nobody noticed."
I am not sure which is worse.
By the fourth quarter, the collateral damage had started. Viewers became so hypervigilant about AI that they started accusing non-AI ads of being AI-generated. Dunkin' Donuts. Comcast. Ads made by humans, by production crews, by directors with cameras and craft services -- called fake because two hours of AI advertising had conditioned 130 million people to distrust everything on their screen.
Our industry spent $100 million on Super Bowl ads to build trust in AI.
We built the opposite.
I need to tell you about a parallel that nobody in that hospitality suite mentioned, although every person in the room was old enough to remember it.
Super Bowl XXXVI. February 2022. Crypto firms bought the ad breaks. Coinbase. FTX. Crypto[.]com. They spent $54 million collectively. The ads were flashy and confident and told 100 million Americans that the future was decentralized and inevitable and worth their money.
FTX collapsed ten months later.
Coinbase spent the following year in court.
Crypto[.]com's CEO is now spending $70 million on AI domain names.
We spent more than double what crypto spent. I know this because Tech Brew calculated it this morning and my VP of Communications forwarded it to me with no comment. She always adds a comment. The absence was the comment.
Here is what I know that I am not supposed to say.
The Super Bowl is a lagging indicator of industry health.
A lagging indicator means the peak has already happened. It means the industry already believes in itself more than the public does. It means the money has been spent, the bets have been placed, and the audience -- the 130 million people you needed to convince -- sat through your pitch and felt nothing but annoyance.
I spent $8 million to learn something that a Harris poll could have told me for free.
Nobody wants what we are selling. Not like this. Not yet. Maybe not ever. But "maybe not ever" is not a phrase that survives a board meeting, so we say "not yet" and buy another ad.
The earnings call is in six weeks. When the analyst asks about brand strategy, I will say the word "awareness" and the word "consideration" and the word "momentum."
I will not say "warm slop."
I will not say "lagging indicator."
I will not mention FTX.
I will not tell them about the sentiment dashboard, or the Slack message, or the eleven CMOs in the suite who watched the needle go red and poured another drink.
We will do this again next year.
The budget is already approved.
The budget keeps going up and to the right.
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mr. Fundamental me-retweet
mr. Fundamental me-retweet

@noel_moore @YVR_Trader @bittingthembits @jaltucher, can you setup a bot that daily posts the $TAO holdings of $TAOX?
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🚨 URGENT: THE GTAO PREMIUM IS TELLING US SOMETHING MASSIVE ABOUT $TAO. THE 206% PREMIUM ANOMALY
Current GTAO data (01/06/2026):
- Market Price: $16.98
- NAV (actual $TAO value): $5.54
- Premium: 206.77%
Translation: Investors are paying $3 for every $1 of $TAO exposure through GTAO.
The Grayscale Bittensor Trust just filed to become an SEC Reporting Company. What the market's reaction reveals about $TAO
Why? Because traditional finance is DESPERATE for regulated $TAO access.
MOVE FROM THE LOWS
GTAO bottomed at: $3.98
Current price: $16.98
Gain from lows: 326% in weeks
But here's what the market is missing:
This isn't just GTAO pumping. This is institutional capital pricing in the inevitability of spot $TAO access before it exists.
The 206% premium = willingness to overpay 3X just to get exposure NOW
SEC FILING
Before:
- Private placement only
- 12-month holding period
- No public liquidity
- No transparency
After Form 10 effective:
- Public OTC trading ✅
- 6-month holding period (after 90 days)
- Quarterly SEC filings ✅
- Path to NYSE Arca ETP listing ✅
Translation: The floodgates for institutional capital are opening.
MATH ON WHAT HAPPENS NEXT
Current GTAO metrics:
- Shares outstanding: 1,881,500
- $TAO per share: 0.01922835
- Total $TAO backing GTAO: 36,183 $TAO
- Market cap: $26.2M
At 206% premium, institutions are valuing this 36K $TAO at $26.2M despite NAV of only $10.4M.
Now apply this to native TAO:
Current $TAO market cap: $2.7B
If spot $TAO absorbed even 10% of the "premium demand" GTAO demonstrates...
That's $520M in new capital chasing limited supply
SUPPLY SHOCK
Remember these numbers:
- 70% of TAO staked
- 4.6% on exchanges
- December halving: 7,200 → 3,600 daily emission
- Grayscale now buying for GTAO + path to ETP
Grayscale + institutional demand: Easily 500-1,000 TAO/day once ETP approved
GBTC PRECEDENT
When Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) traded at premiums:
- Institutions paid 2.3X NAV for regulated BTC exposure
- When spot ETFs launched: Premium compressed but BTC price 10X'd
GTAO current premium: 206.77%
Higher than GBTC ever reached.
Let that Sink In.
The market is screaming: $TAO spot demand >> available supply
THE 326% MOVE
GTAO: $3.98 → $16.98 (326% gain)
This happened BEFORE:
- Spot ETP approval
- 6-month holding period reduction (90 days away)
- NYSE listing
- Mass marketing to RIAs/institutions
This is early positioning by smart money.
The chart shows massive volume (198K shares in one candle = $3.3M single-day flow)
WHAT THE PREMIUM TELLS US ABOUT NATIVE $TAO
Implied "fair value" for regulated $TAO access = 3.06X current $TAO price
That's the premium-adjusted price institutions are willing to pay RIGHT NOW.
REGULATORY MOAT
Why the premium exists:
1. Most institutional funds CANNOT buy native crypto
2. Custody requirements = impossible for most RIAs
3. Compliance overhead = too expensive
4. Board approval = requires SEC-registered products
GTAO solves all 4 problems.
When it becomes an ETP on NYSE Arca:
- Every major brokerage can custody
- Every RIA can allocate
- Every pension can access
- Every ETF can include
Market size
- RIA assets under management: $130+ trillion
- If 0.1% allocates to $TAO via GTAO: $130 billion
- Current $TAO market cap: $2.7 billion
43X potential capital inflow from RIAs alone.
$TAO is just getting started, not financial advice. This is not a price target. It’s a warning. Wake-up ⏰️
grayscale.com/funds/grayscal…

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For far too long, ideologues in Europe have led organized efforts to coerce American platforms to punish American viewpoints they oppose. The Trump Administration will no longer tolerate these egregious acts of extraterritorial censorship.
Today, @StateDept will take steps to bar leading figures of the global censorship-industrial complex from entering the United States. We stand ready and willing to expand this list if others do not reverse course.
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The Sun is an enormous, free fusion reactor in the sky. It is super dumb to make tiny fusion reactors on Earth.
Even if you burned 4 Jupiters, the Sun would still round up to 100% of all power that will ever be produced in the solar system!!
Stop wasting money on puny little reactors, unless actively acknowledging that they are just there for your pet science project jfc.
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@sergitosergito @artblocks_io @larvalabs @yekiM_o @lifeofc @justinaversano @CryptoDickbutts take notes!
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First ever Meebits exhibition in the books!
Thank you to @larvalabs and @artblocks_io for hosting us at Larfa.
Shout out to all the collectors who ordered their 3D prints and contributed to the exhibit.
Massive gratitude to @yekiM_o, @lifeofc & @justinaversano who put in the work setting up the display.
I’ll have much more to share in this week’s Voxel Journal newsletter, but for now I just want to say GRACIAS to everyone who’s played a role in and supported MeebCo along the way.
Meebits are Art.
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our pool now includes 3 CryptoPunks, 9 BAYC, 10 Pudgy, 10 Moonbirds, 3 Hypurr, 9 Squiggles & a Fidenza.
not to mention dozens of Azuki, Doodles, CyberKongz, GVC, XCOPY, DickButts, Otherside, Memeland, VeeFriends & more.
plus millions in ETH, SOL, HYPE, WBTC and other tokens 🤯
OpenSea@opensea
Today’s additions to the rewards pool: 1x CryptoPunk 1x Hypurr 1x Fidenza 3x Bored Ape Yacht Club 3x Pudgy Penguins 3x Quine by Larva Labs 1x Chromie Squiggle 1x Ringers by Dmitri Cherniak 1x Gazers by Matt Kane + $750,000 $ETH Wave 1 ends in 48 hours. What will you find in your chest?
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mr. Fundamental me-retweet

There's already flourishing scene of artists who are using AI to create art, as well as collectors who respect and value the art they create.
Some artists use generative AI tools to bring to life the seeds of imaginary worlds and ecosystems they have been harbouring. (e.g. Auntieverse by @niceaunties, The Vault of Wonders by @edbyus)
Others deploy them to confront established mediums like photography and videomaking, and forge novel compositions out of their materials. (e.g. Life in West America by @rainisto, Terrestrial Factors by @bagdelete, Real! by @BennettWaisbren)
Or to remix our forgotten visual heritage and breath new life into older artistic traditions. (e.g. Empire by @sheldrick_ai, Relic and Muraqqa by @orkhan)
Then there are also artists who tap on AI to interrogate the broader techno-economic and social structures that mediate or determine our visual culture. (e.g. xhairymutantx by @hollyherndon and @matdryhurst, Critically Extant by @soficrespo91, Bloemenveiling by @annaridler and @pfau)
And those who were early to "see" from the perspective of the machine, sculpting datasets from the ground up to test their expressive potential and explore previously unseen spaces within (e.g. DeepDream by @zzznah, A Book from the Sky by @genekogan, Realiti by @tyaagnliu)
Or intentionally directing AI to excavate and reveal the inherent contingency of our visual media. (e.g. Learning to See by @memoakten, Evolved Hallucinations by @trevorpaglen)
There are also artists who use AI against the grain. (e.g. @kev_esh stopping the diffusion process prematurely in In Utero and I'm With You, or @Terrybroad implementing GANs without any training data in (un)stable equilibrium).
And those who embraced the inherent multimodality of AI to build bridges across different senses, mediums and languages. (e.g. Being Borges by @CaballeroAnaMa, Blind Camera by @dtpisanty).
Or push the creative potential of AI decisively into the physical realm via robotics. (e.g. Emerging Faces by @VanArman, Drawing Operations by @sougwen)
We also can't forget those who were at the cutting edge of AI research, creating artefacts that eventually take on the aura of artworks. (e.g. alignDRAW by @elmanmansimov)
And of course, AI-based artworks with incredible lore, emerging from the ash heap of rejection and catapulting into a life of its own as a positional asset. (e.g. The Lost Robbies by @videodrome)
Neither can we ignore those who attempt to nurture non-human artists with AI who can make their own creative decisions autonomously, often tapping on crypto-economic affordances to finance their practice. (e.g. @bottoproject by @BottoDAO and @quasimondo, @abraham_ai_ by @genekogan, @DeepBlackAI, @keke_terminal by @dark_sando, @hi_flynn)
This is just a non-exhaustive stream-of-consciousness outline of some of the artists whose use of AI tools I've been inspired by. There are definitely many more who elude my faculties of immediate recollection, and I'm certainly biased by my aesthetic preferences and conceptual inclinations.
Nevertheless, my point is that in spite of the prevailing cultural propaganda, there are already many artists seriously and credibly engaging with AI. And I agree with you, it's truly beautiful to behold.
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44 Altcoins succeeded in overtaking BTC in returns over the last 90 days
$PENGU 360%, $STORY 285%, $ETH 90%
Capital rotating from BTC to large caps
And you still don't believe in altseason?

Leshka.eth ⛩@leshka_eth
We just entered Phase 3 Large caps are going parabolic while $ETH starts outperforming $BTC This is where the real money gets made Phase 4 is coming - when EVERYTHING pumps regardless of fundamentals Are you positioned?
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@HollanderAdam Creative coding, GAN-art, Photography, metaverse land plots, one of the first Decentraland Christmas hats, and a @super_yeti .
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