
matt
744 posts



Okay let's see who can reply to this


Trump: I won't use the word war because they say if you use the word war, that's maybe not a good thing to do. They don't like the word war because you are supposed to get approval. So I will use the word military operation.







Since President Trump revealed contacts with the Islamic Republic, we’re seeing something very telling inside Iran: chaos at the top. Regime officials are either turning on each other, pointing fingers, accusing one another of negotiating with the United States or in their own media and social platforms, they’re warning against character assassination of figures like Ghalibaf or Rouhani, because suspicion is spreading inside the regime itself. Some are even calling for arrests or worse. Others are publicly shaming officials, accusing them of secret talks. This is the atmosphere on the Islamic Republic’s side of social media. Total panic.


WTF is happening between the U.S. and Iran? A few hypotheses. A. Trump is greatly exaggerating the status of talks/odds of success to calm the markets, make people think the war is working, and buy himself time/decision space (including moving more forces into the theater). Also has the benefit of causing confusion in the Iranian system and later allowing Trump to say the Iranians said they were ready for a deal but weren’t. This hypothesis would be consistent with the argument that Iran now sees advantage to dragging out the war to impose further costs and reestablish deterrence. And the related theory that Iran would see its negotiating hand as stronger as a result (ie, it wouldn’t agree to the terms that Trump claims Iran had agreed to). 1/







1/ Denmark was reportedly preparing for full-scale war with the US over Greenland in January, with military support from France, Germany, and Nordic nations. Elite troops and F-35 jets with live ammunition were sent, and runways were to be blown up to prevent an invasion. ⬇️















