Sun Tzu Conte
3.4K posts
@SunTzuConte
Wise words from the Italian football Guru
F-18 from the U.S. military was reportedly struck by air defense fire within Iran’s integrated defense network.
Not only do I support @POTUS and his team's efforts to negotiate with Iran to find a solution to the threats this regime presents to the region and the world, I encourage it. It is the outcome I seek, not the method. I have confidence in President Trump's negotiating team to make sure that any deal would meet the military objectives laid out early on. These include: ❌ No ballistic missile program to threaten America or our allies. ❌ Iran no longer being the largest state sponsor of terrorism, ending its support for terrorist proxies throughout the region and the world. ❌ Definitively ending the Iranian regime’s ambitions to obtain nuclear weapons once and for all. If diplomacy can achieve these objectives, I would not only support it, but I would also prefer it because war literally is hell.
Details of the 15 point proposal, included full removal of international sanctions on Iran and U.S. assistance for civilian nuclear program. The point on ‘snapback’ is strange since those sanctions have already been triggered/would fall under point 12 (full lifting of sanctions)
🚨JUST IN: The 14-point document that was given to Iran: 📌 Dismantling of existing nuclear capabilities that have already been accumulated 📌A commitment that Iran will never strive to obtain nuclear weapons 📌No material will be enriched on Iranian soil 📌All enriched material will be delivered to the IAEA on a short schedule to be defined between the parties 📌Natanz, Isfahan, and Fordow will be decommissioned—destroyed. 📌The IAEA will be exposed to all information within Iran 📌 Iran will abandon the proxy paradigm 📌 It will effectively stop financing and arming the proxies in the region 📌The Strait of Hormuz will remain open and will be a free maritime zone—and no one will block it 📌The missile project: There will be a decision later, but they will have to limit the number and range 📌Future use of small-range missiles: only for self-defense purposes 📌All sanctions lifted on Iran 📌They will be assisted in promoting and developing a civilian nuclear project in Bushehr (electricity generation) 📌The threat of snapback will be removed
The appointment of Mohammad Bagher Zolghadr as Secretary of Iran’s Supreme National Security Council is not a routine bureaucratic reshuffle. It marks another step in a broader and increasingly visible trend: the consolidation of Iran’s strategic decision-making within the security establishment, and more specifically within IRGC-linked networks. - Zolghadr is not a diplomat, nor a technocrat. His career has been rooted in the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps and later in the judiciary, two pillars of the system that prioritize internal control, threat management, and regime security over political mediation or external engagement. - In practical terms, this suggests that key files, especially nuclear negotiations, regional posture, and responses to external pressure, are likely to be even more tightly aligned with IRGC threat perceptions and priorities. The space for diplomatic flexibility does not disappear, but it becomes narrower, more controlled, and more tactical. - Put bluntly: this looks less like a system preparing for compromise, and more like one preparing to manage prolonged confrontation. - The broader takeaway is hard to miss. The IRGC is not just influential, it is steadily absorbing the core nodes of decision-making. And with each appointment like this, the distinction between state, security apparatus, and strategic policy becomes thinner. #Iran #Iranwar
WTF is happening between the U.S. and Iran? A few hypotheses. A. Trump is greatly exaggerating the status of talks/odds of success to calm the markets, make people think the war is working, and buy himself time/decision space (including moving more forces into the theater). Also has the benefit of causing confusion in the Iranian system and later allowing Trump to say the Iranians said they were ready for a deal but weren’t. This hypothesis would be consistent with the argument that Iran now sees advantage to dragging out the war to impose further costs and reestablish deterrence. And the related theory that Iran would see its negotiating hand as stronger as a result (ie, it wouldn’t agree to the terms that Trump claims Iran had agreed to). 1/
BREAKING: Iran says the war will continue until all sanctions are lifted and war damages are paid by the United States
