
calan
656 posts

calan
@CalanAldred
Founder & CEO of Craft Depot | Jiu Jitsu 💙 | $BTC, $ETH, $SOL
Puerto Vallarta, Jalisco Katılım Eylül 2017
1.2K Takip Edilen1.3K Takipçiler

@JiujitsuOtter Just focus on learning new skills and being consistent. Don’t get too caught up on the piece of material around your waist…
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@cryptomanran This is the signal that I needed to know that we have bottomed 🙏🏼
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I liquidated almost my entire crypto portfolio.
Not because I’m bearish.
Not because I got wiped out.
But because what just happened didn’t behave like a normal cycle move.
From $126k to the 200-week moving average in 4 months.
Look at the chart: tradingview.com/x/NRjnxp4R/
In 2018, that move took a year.
In 2022, it took 30 weeks.
This time it happened at record speed.
No blow-off top.
No retail euphoria.
No clear catalyst that everyone agrees on.
Just a violent repricing through every major level.
Fear & Greed hit single digits.
And unlike previous crashes, nobody can clearly explain what broke.
Quantum risk.
Bitcoin is failing the debasement test.
Funds unwinding.
AI pulling capital.
Regulation uncertainty.
When narratives fragment and conviction disappears, your job isn’t to guess the story.
It’s to manage exposure.
So I made a decision.
Instead of sitting there hoping everything “comes back,” I closed almost every position I had.
I didn’t want 30 tokens that might recover.
I wanted a small number of assets that will still be relevant whether this cycle extends, resets, or structurally changes.
So I concentrated on just 11 positions built to survive if we go lower and perform if we bottom here.
In my new video, I break down exactly what those 11 positions are, why I chose them, and how I’m deploying capital in this environment.
[link in comments]

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@BullTheoryio Ok so what happens? They vote and then what? How long until this passes?
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🚨 SENATE BANKING COMMITTEE WILL VOTE ON THE CRYPTO MARKET STRUCTURE BILL ON JANUARY 15.
This bill could change how crypto trades forever.
The CLARITY Act is a market structure bill focused on one thing: stopping manipulation and bringing real transparency to crypto markets.
What does it actually do?
• Bans wash trading and fake volume
• Criminalizes spoofing and front running
• Gives regulators real time tools to monitor market abuse
• Requires proof of reserves and regular audits for U.S. exchanges
WHY THIS ACT IS IMPORTANT?
Now look at what happened on October 10.
That day, the crypto market saw $100 billion+ in real liquidations.
Bitcoin and altcoins collapsed together.
To this day, we don’t know exactly how it started, we don’t know which large entities blew up.
There was no clear report, transparency or accountability.
Since then, market crypto has behaved very weirdly.
Almost every asset class outside crypto has rmade new highs.
But in crypto, every pump gets fully sold, Good news leads to dumps and Bad news leads to even sharper dumps.
This is not normal price action.
This is exactly what the CLARITY Act targets.
If rules for this are in place then large liquidations can’t happen quietly, market abuse becomes traceable and exchanges can’t hide fake volume or risk.
It also changes who participates.
Right now, institutions mostly hold Bitcoin only. They avoid altcoins because the rules are unclear.
If the CLARITY Act passes regulatory risk will drop and institutions will start allocating to altcoins as well which could bring a massive liquidity.
That’s why January 15 matters.


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calan retweetledi

Here's a great comparison of bitcoin bull runs, from each halving event to the top.
Tops marked in white circles.
You can see we are within the average time range when tops typically happen. Perhaps this cycle extends a bit further than the last, as is the trend. But we're getting close.
Cycle 1 (blue) = 2009 - 2012
Cycle 2 (green) = 2012 - 2016
Cycle 3 (pink) = 2016 - 2020
Cycle 4 (orange) = 2020 - 2024
Cycle 5 (white) = 2024 - now
Chart by @_checkonchain

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@ColinTCrypto Everyone expects this outcome so it’s probably not the outcome.
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The next Bitcoin top will be October 2025, if we assume a 35-month measurement from cycle bottom to cycle top.
I've seen some people stating the Bitcoin cycles have different lengths than those pictured in the last chart I shared. So, I measured it again myself:
cycle 1 cycle 2 cycle 3
MEASURE A: 25 months, 28 months, 35 months
MEASURE B: 37 months, 35 months, 35 months
MEASUREMENT METHOD 'B' is a lot more consistent (almost a clean 35 months per cycle)
- 1st cycle notes -
I've never considered the 1st cycle to extend all the way back to Oct 2010, which it's necessary to do in order to get a measurement of 37 months. Have you considered this normal? Maybe it's just me. I present it for your choice.
- 2nd cycle notes -
The 2nd cycle was a double bottom, so it's either 28 or 35 months from bottom to top, depending on which point of the double bottom is used (see both arrows in chart). They both touch the same price floor.
- 3rd cycle notes -
The 3rd cycle is 35 months. The 33 months shown in the previous chart is incorrect, imo.
Summary:
If, indeed, the distance is ~35 months for each cycle, from bottom to top, then Oct 2025 will be the next top, assuming it follows the pattern. This chart doesn't speculate on a price, other than it's likely to be decreasing in magnitude (diminishing returns).
I wanted to present this chart for discussion.

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His personality is inspired by Edward Cullen from Twilight and Christian Grey from 50 Shades
Elon Musk@elonmusk
What should we name our male @Grok companion?
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UPDATE: A suspect has been identified and arrested in the case of the keyed Cybertruck in the 800-block of Humboldt (File# 25-11330) Thanks for your help, #yyj
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@40Cannabis Brutal. Sorry you’re having to deal with this.
Companies operating like this need to be exposed and black listed. They hurt the entire industry.
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Damn it, just found a thread about this exact lot on reddit where mold was discovered. Two months ago. It just keeps getting worse.
North 40 Cannabis@40Cannabis
Bought 20kg of this flower on Canadian Cannabis Exchange from a micro in the BC interior. Was advertised as 30% THC hand trimmed with a spotless Certificate of Analysis. When I contacted the grower to get a refund, they ghosted me. How long should I wait until I expose them?
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