Paulo Cesar Ferraro

10.4K posts

Paulo Cesar Ferraro

@CesarFerraro11

Katılım Temmuz 2021

21 Takip Edilen94 Takipçiler

@HomelanderPepe @ArthurCDent @HistoryBoomer Or is the claim that the two are the same? Because there is an obvious rhetorical trap here. Either you claim that the two are the same and boost feminist arguments, or you don't, and are forced to concede that basic freedoms allow women to choose small families.

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Paulo Cesar Ferraro@CesarFerraro11·1d

@HomelanderPepe @ArthurCDent @HistoryBoomer This is an extremely poor country. That doesn't change the fact that TFR has fallen in the overwhelming majority of rich and middle-income countries. Also, presumably there is a difference between latest-stage feminism, whatever that means, and basic freedom for women.

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Carl@HistoryBoomer·2d

I did not realize that Egypt, India, and Malaysia were hard into "late-stage feminism." Birth rates are declining everywhere.

ZUBY:@ZubyMusic

@deumcole You cannot have widespread late-stage feminism AND high birth rates. It's not complicated. Economic conversations are tertiary at best.

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Paulo Cesar Ferraro@CesarFerraro11·2d

@ramez Regarding population decline, many populations continue to have high TFRs. The more accurate concern is about the decline of secular and urban industrialized society, which again, is something that makes sense to worry about if you don't think AI/robots will have a giant impact.

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Paulo Cesar Ferraro@CesarFerraro11·2d

@ramez It's worth noting that there's a contradiction between concerns about population decline, and concerns about AI and robots taking jobs, or optimism about AI and robots causing an explosion in productivity. Only one of these two things can be true.

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Ramez Naam@ramez·2d

Disagree. It's been clear that affluence led to plunging fertility rates for decades. There is no inflection point when smart phones arrive. This has been our trajectory for ~60 years.

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇸🇺🇦🇹🇼@Noahpinion

It was not clear whether humanity would shrink catastrophically under pre-smartphone industrial technology. But since the smartphone came, it has been clear that humanity WILL shrink catastrophically unless we make some sort of new breakthrough.

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Paulo Cesar Ferraro@CesarFerraro11·3d

@C_Kavanagh How is it possible that he doesn't know how strong the legal protections for freedom of expression are in the US?

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Chris Kavanagh@C_Kavanagh·3d

A professional skeptic cannot fathom why a media company would settle a court case with the current President of the United States other than the claims having merit. Shermer is a wonder.

Michael Shermer@michaelshermer

Why this, then @CathyYoung63 ? "In December 2024, ABC News and George Stephanopoulos settled a defamation lawsuit with Donald Trump for $16 million ($15 million for his presidential library and $1 million for legal fees). The suit arose from March 2024, when Stephanopoulos incorrectly stated on-air that Trump was found "liable for rape," rather than sexual abuse." —PBS

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Paulo Cesar Ferraro@CesarFerraro11·4d

@spudchungus If each individual has one vote of equal value to all other individuals, this would mean that everyone has equal voting rights. Giving more voting power to individuals based on where they live, is the opposite of giving everyone equal voting rights.

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Bobby@spudchungus·4d

Because splitting cities is good, having a unified population control a state is bad. See how democrats gerrymander by having long tentacles come out of cities to strangle rural inhabitants. Urban and rural should be equal in their voting rights

Cameron 🇺🇸 🗽🦅@CameronCorduroy

hey man quick question, how come every major city is located right on the corners of these districts?

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Paulo Cesar Ferraro@CesarFerraro11·4d

@SychinLegacy @seanhutchison @CameronCorduroy It is still the case that the vast majority of scientific and economic innovations are happening in cities. And the productive suburbs tend to be located near large cities and vote Democrat.

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Reap the Whirlwind@SychinLegacy·4d

@seanhutchison @CameronCorduroy Maybe some decades ago sure. Now they’re dysfunctional hellscapes of misery and death that export societal collapsing ideologies and crime and only survive because they siphon resources and good will from the productive suburban and rural regions.

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Cameron 🇺🇸 🗽🦅@CameronCorduroy·4d

hey man quick question, how come every major city is located right on the corners of these districts?

Smirkley@Smirkley

Potential Republican gerrymandering vs Democrat gerrymandering is hilarious.

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Paulo Cesar Ferraro@CesarFerraro11·5d

@StatisticUrban In order to see the political situation of Trump among Hispanic voters, you don't need to just rely on elections, you can look at polls, and polls show that Trump's favorability with Hispanics is very low.

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Paulo Cesar Ferraro@CesarFerraro11·5d

@StatisticUrban It's really clear that the gains Trump made with non-white voters in 2024 are not durable, and that was clear even immediately after the 2024 election, because it was obvious that this shift was caused by inflation.

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Hunter📈🌈📊@StatisticUrban·5d

It’s really unclear whether Trump’s 2020 + 2024 gains among non-white voters are durable. Maybe 2028 brings another sizable coalition shift. There's been substantial Dem-reversion among Latinos especially in post-2024 elections, but those races have different turnout dynamics.

Zachary Donnini@ZacharyDonnini

Nonwhite voters overwhelmingly shifted back toward Democrats in Virginia’s redistricting referendum last week. YES ran better in pretty much all Hispanic and Asian plurality precincts compared to Kamala Harris’s 2024 baseline, while White precincts moved right.

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Paulo Cesar Ferraro@CesarFerraro11·27 Nis

@ArthurCDent Rob's use of the idea of "luxury beliefs" is also quite silly. I remember in an interview, he was asked for examples of right-wing luxury beliefs, and he cited austerity, which, okay, he's just using "luxury beliefs" to mean beliefs that he or his audience disagrees with.

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Arthur Dent@ArthurCDent·27 Nis

I know Rob and Shermer want to bang the populist anti-woke drum, but identifying as a 'sceptic' while being this ideologically blinkered and lazy is really rather annoying.

Arthur Dent@ArthurCDent

@robkhenderson @clairlemon You’ll no doubt be shocked to learn Shermer’s low quality non-peer reviewed data is misleading. The weight of high-quality peer-reviewed literature using probability samples and carefully defined measures finds *lower* endorsement of political violence among the higher-educated.

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Paulo Cesar Ferraro@CesarFerraro11·26 Nis

@Lormif1 @FaultyOwls @ArthurCDent Americans with medical debt say they feel a lot of pressure. The ACA improved the US system, but there are still many people who fall into the cracks.

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Lormif@Lormif1·25 Nis

@FaultyOwls @ArthurCDent There really is not much pressure it’s mostly taken care of, and we make more than enough as a difference in taxes and pay to cover it

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Arthur Dent@ArthurCDent·25 Nis

I’ve said many times I’d ban private health insurance if I were King. Universal public coverage is better IMO. But in 2025 not-for-profit funds paid out just 2.3% more of premiums than for-profit funds in AUS. 2.3%. Recalibrate your dumb meme, and don’t rationalise murder.

Secular Talk ([email protected])@KyleKulinski

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Paulo Cesar Ferraro@CesarFerraro11·26 Nis

@RhodeKill74 @FaultyOwls @ArthurCDent Another problem is simply that medical care is a sudden and enormous expense, which is why people need to pay for health insurance in the US.

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Paulo Cesar Ferraro@CesarFerraro11·26 Nis

@RhodeKill74 @FaultyOwls @ArthurCDent Healthcare is not a well-functioning market for several reasons, including the fact that you have no option but to buy the recommended medical care, and the fact that you don't know what you need.

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Paulo Cesar Ferraro@CesarFerraro11·26 Nis

@RationallyDense @MusicVersa @ArthurCDent profession or ideas, and the people who disagree only disagree when it's convenient. Kyle doesn't have a consistent position that it's okay to kill for your ideology, because he wouldn't agree with right-wingers doing that.

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Paulo Cesar Ferraro@CesarFerraro11·26 Nis

@RationallyDense @MusicVersa @ArthurCDent People will also argue that slavery should return, or that expelling/killing all Jews is a good thing. There are always people somewhere arguing for something. Fortunately, the vast majority of people find it obviously immoral to kill people because you disagree with their

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Paulo Cesar Ferraro@CesarFerraro11·26 Nis

@ConceptExpert @ArthurCDent @HistoryBoomer Online leftists seem to have difficulty understanding the fact that all healthcare systems ration care. It is reasonable to think that medical care should not be rationed according to ability to pay, but there is no utopia where everyone gets unlimited medical care at all times.

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concept expert 🇺🇦@ConceptExpert·25 Nis

@ArthurCDent @HistoryBoomer The denied claims thing also just has nothing to do with the public/private funding question. If we ever do get reform in the US, ppl like Kyle will be shocked that single-payer doesn’t mean infinite healthcare summoned from the ether for free.

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Paulo Cesar Ferraro@CesarFerraro11·25 Nis

@JamesHawk1ns @PaulieVerity @helenlewis @waitbutwhy Child or not, it is a rather uncontroversial moral position that dumb people deserve not only to live, but also to have the same rights as intelligent people.

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James Hawkins@JamesHawk1ns·25 Nis

@PaulieVerity @helenlewis @waitbutwhy Everyone in the world includes children. Are children dumb if they pick blue? Assuming they split 50/50, half of kids wiped out if red wins.

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Tim Urban@waitbutwhy·24 Nis

Everyone in the world has to take a private vote by pressing a red or blue button. If more than 50% of people press the blue button, everyone survives. If less than 50% of people press the blue button, only people who pressed the red button survive. Which button would you press?

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Paulo Cesar Ferraro@CesarFerraro11·25 Nis

@SaintTzu @OrangeJigger @helenlewis @waitbutwhy should press the blue button, and perhaps lying that you pressed the blue button, with the idea that this could lead to a net gain of people pressing the blue button so that everyone survives.

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Paulo Cesar Ferraro@CesarFerraro11·25 Nis

@SaintTzu @OrangeJigger @helenlewis @waitbutwhy I guess it just depends on what the person asking the question wants to demonstrate. Perhaps the funniest solution would be for you to press the red button, since your individual vote is unlikely to matter much to the overall result, while at the same time arguing that everyone

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Paulo Cesar Ferraro@CesarFerraro11·25 Nis

@OrangeJigger @helenlewis @waitbutwhy of that choice, or you can press red to ensure your personal survival, while knowing that some people, and probably a very significant number of people, will die if more 50% or more make the same choice.

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Paulo Cesar Ferraro@CesarFerraro11·25 Nis

@OrangeJigger @helenlewis @waitbutwhy Yes, but you know that not everyone will press the red button, so you have to take that into consideration. The only way everyone will survive is if the blue button surpasses 50%, so you can either press blue to help with that, while accepting the risk that you might die because

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Keşfet

@HomelanderPepe @ArthurCDent @HistoryBoomer @ramez @C_Kavanagh @spudchungus @SychinLegacy @seanhutchison