Kyle is my name-o

@mrvzp @Mike_Erickson93 @internpierre Well Boeing may not blow Airbus out of the water, but Boeing definitely blows Boeing out of the the air.

@Mike_Erickson93 @internpierre There's more to aerospace than defense contractors Airbus > Boeing and it's not even close for commercial aircraft. Also, claiming that Lockheed "blow EU aerospace" is just ignorant. The Rafale routinely smokes Lockheed planes in wargames

The WSJ wants to know "what happens when Europeans find out how poor they are." I'm a European running a family office / living in Monaco. Let me run the numbers for Joseph Sternberg. Spoiler: per-capita GDP is the most misleading stat in this entire debate.🧵

@HarlemJ11 @mattyglesias Well I think we can say with some certainty that will stop in 2029, so they might as well start now with addressing it.

@mattyglesias As long as the Trump Administration and the GOP are saying the solution to Americans’ affordability struggles is to build a $400 million (and rising) ballroom where Trump can host his rich donors for dinner, I don’t think Dems lhave to worry about “structural issues” .02

@DanFmTo @nikkinocker @gbrew24 That's obviously a bot farming engagement. Don't take the bait.

@nikkinocker @gbrew24 He doesn't even let his Director of National Intelligence in the room, never mind listen to their assessments.

Trump has clearly bought into the idea that Iran had only 13 days worth of storage when the blockade was imposed; and that on 28 April it will run out of space and will be forced to curtail output. Even if that were true (which it likely isn't), NIOC has enough experience to shut in production without a catastrophic loss of pressure.

@SandyofCthulhu @Clint_Davey1 No way. Abolitionists were way too popular in Northern England. The British knew they wouldn't be able to sustain a serious war against the North without massive domestic political repression there was no appetite for.

I have actually read the book written by the British attache at Gettysburg. It was published in late 1864 or early 1865. It has powerful arguments for why the South will win. So yeah … the guy was a fool. They had a chance to intervene up till the Emancipation Proclamation I think.

I love how there was sometimes a British military attache accompanying the Confederate Army. The Southerners would have loved to have Britain join them. But after 1863 that was just not going to happen. Their best chance of British intervention was in 1862, during the Trent Affair.

@ussalEN @timurkuran I don't think that's really supported by modern evidence. The important element for creating a viable financial and commercial hub is a reliable and consistent legal system. Extraterritoriality is so unpopular and unfair it's not actually reliable in the modern era.

@timurkuran The key pillar of Ottoman concessions to foreigners was extraterritorial court jurisdictions, not low/zero taxes. I think that still is the missing element.

Istanbul’s busiest airport (IST) has 5 operational runways and a 6th is under construction. It handled 85M passengers in 2025. In that same year, Dubai (DXB), Abu Dhabi (AUH), and Doha (DOH) had a combined total of 192M passengers. Plans are under way to increase IST’s share of the transit air traffic in the region. Like the tax exemption for wealthy foreigners, the broader goal is to restore Istanbul as the Eastern Mediterranean’s leading commercial and financial hub — a status it held for 1,500 years, first under Roman and Byzantine rule, then under the Ottomans.

@Maryee @murphymike @shannonrwatts Sure this won't convince you, but the gdp of San Jose is bigger than 27 states.

@murphymike @shannonrwatts Lol. We aren’t voting for a mayor no matter how hard you try. A mayor is not experienced enough to run the 4th largest economy in the world

CA Debate Grades: Becerra: D. No message. Mr Status quo. Weak sauce. No “surge” at podium Porter: B+. Job was solidify left, not throw podium at staff. Accomplished. Mahan: A-. Job was to break through. Mr Results. Big winner last night. Sets up his new Steyer level TV blitz. Steyer: C. Wobbly. Defensive. Hilton: B, was clever conservative. Bianco: B-, Mr MAGA rage. Knuckles dragging.

@JackMassa05 @dechico2004 @JakeSherman I'm actually curious if it would even be possible to draw a Republican seat in Hawaii and Rhode Island.

@dechico2004 @JakeSherman Massachusetts and Connecticut are too blue to elect a Republican. New Mexico has a swing district that Republicans keep losing. Maine, New Hampshire, Rhode Island, and Hawaii each have 2 seats. And Vermont and Delaware literally only have 1. 💀

JEFFRIES STATEMENT, with a warning for Florida. “If Florida Republicans proceed with this illegal scheme, they will only create more prime pick-up opportunities for Democrats, just as they did with Trump’s dummymander in Texas. We will aggressively target for defeat Mario Díaz-Balart, Maria Elvira Salazar, Carlos Giménez, Kat Cammack, Anna Paulina Luna, Laurel Lee, Cory Mills and Brian Mast. We are prepared to take them all on, and we are prepared to win.  “Maximum warfare, everywhere, all the time.”

@jhouse678 @ChrisO_wiki All tolls are demanded at the threat of force. If you repeatedly don't pay tolls, your license will be suspended. If your license is suspended and you keep driving, eventually a person with a gun will take you to prison.

@ChrisO_wiki Quit calling it a 'toll', when it isn't. It is being demanded at the threat of force. Where are tolls anywhere on earth paid under threat of violence?

1/ Many scenarios for the end of the Iran war suggest that Tehran will gain permanent control of the Strait of Hormuz. An analysis by JP Morgan suggests that Tehran could raise up to $90 billion a year this way, instantly making Iran one of the wealthiest Gulf economies. ⬇️

@NiohBerg @tparsi The war has significantly strengthened the regime. It is much less likely to fall now.

@tparsi You're the one who is fucking sick for pushing to save this rotten regime. The people INSIDE IRAN share the same opinion. Kose nanat.

An American man is rightfully bewildered by a small gathering of Iranian Monarchists celebrating the bombardment of Iran. "You want to kill your own people?? You're fucking sick!!" The monarchists call him a "piece of shit" and a "coward." (??) The American man's reaction is not only normal but honorable. It is not normal to want your own country to be bombed while you live in the safety of Maryland or Los Angeles, nor, for that matter, to celebrate and dance to images of school girls being blown to pieces by an American Tomahawk missile. It is sick and dishonorable. Nor should any American accept it as normal for vengeful and traumatized Diasporas to treat the US military as a mercenary army that they can deploy at their behest to settle personal scores. All Americans should share the anger and disgust this man exhibits.

@RossBarkan @mikeduncan Feel like this is missing the point about being born into it. Always ok to be a fan of the place you were born!

@mikeduncan It wouldn't be moral to be a Patriots fan, Lakers fan, Tampa Bay Lightning fan, Golden State Warriors fan, or LA Dodgers fan at this point. I feel like you're not really into sports, which is fine. Or, like a lot of Mets fans, you don't pay close attention.

Yes Ross there is no ethical consumption in capitalism. That is not the point. The point is that no one with a moral center who likes baseball would choose to root for the Yankees if they were not born into it

@zorrovulpes @SandyofCthulhu Well i was a little kid and those were the only two I knew!

@SandyofCthulhu I'll be honest I think everyone outside of your industry bubble saw them as two of the many rts games. We had a lot more options than just Brood War and AoE in '98.

Our bitter rival at Ensemble Studios. We had JUST released Age of Empires and then StarCraft comes out. All the cute girls at the club hung out at StarCraft’s table. We only got the nerdy ones. We punched back in 2002 with Age of Mythology which carried StarCraft’s asymmetry even further. Then in 2005 we did Age of Empires 3 which was the best graphics anyone had seen in an RTS game to date. And, again, lots of asymmetry. StarCraft always stayed the cool jock though. While we were the smart kid with taped glasses and a pocket protector over in the corner of the cafeteria.

@GeorgeJ77919458 @yarbatman @michaeljswalker Japan did not unconditionally surrender. They kept the Emperor.

There is a parallel to this in Japan when the USA dropped nuclear bombs. It was a terrible tragedy and violated all laws/norma whatever one might choose to call it. It did however lead to the complete surrender by Japan. The Iranian regime has proven a complete disregard for their own people and appear to be willing to destroy Iran and the Gulf economy rather than surrender. The USA could if necessary take out all 50 power plants in one day given the complete air dominance. Iran cannot meaningfully hit any target in the Gulf leave alone Israel. We can only hope and pray this does not happen and the regime in Iran surrenders. The alternative is too horrible to contemplate.

In a discussion with @michaeljswalker on Friday, I said that Trump was being presented options to strike civilian infrastructure in Iran. The aim would be to cripple Iran’s economy and to make it harder for Iran to persist in the war. I explained that hitting Iran’s critical infrastructure might shorten the war, but it would also intensify it. For that reason, that overall damage done to region and the global economy could end up being far worse during a shorter war. If Trump hits a major power plant, Iran will respond by hitting utilities in the Gulf states and Israel—including power plants and desalination facilities—and will count on the fact that it has to hit fewer targets to have a bigger impact. Iran has nearly 500 power plants, Israel has around 50. The largest Iranian plant, the Damavand Combined Cycle plant, accounts for about 4% of Iran’s total capacity. Israel’s largest plant, Orot Rabin, accounts for 20% of electricity production. The fact that a US president is posting a message like this on social media represents a total breakdown in the systems that are meant to ensure the US fights wars intelligently and judiciously. The commander in chief is not of sound mind, no one in his cabinet is willing to admit it, and we are being pushed towards the edge of an abyss.

@EliasMourany @SandyofCthulhu Not true. They've found the dead kids. ox.ac.uk/news/2014-01-2…

@SandyofCthulhu Disagree on number 6. The only mentions of human sacrifice in the Punic Wars are of a pair of Gauls and a pair of Greeks by the Ancient Romans.

Here are ten battles in which I believe the bad guys won, and it led to ill consequences: 1) Ain Jalut - Mongols defeated by Mamelukes. The Mongols had so much freedom of religion that their general was a Christian. He asked the Crusader states to help out, but they didn't to their everlasting shame. He might have won otherwise. 2) Poltava - Swedes defeated by Peter the Great. If the Swedes had won, they would have controlled the Baltic. While Charles XII himself wasn't a "good guy" Sweden has been benign, as opposed to Russia, which has been 90% a force of darkness in the world. 3) Manzikert. Look it up. 1/3

@SandyofCthulhu This is untrue historically. Southeast Asia, the Sahel and large parts of East Africa were peacefully converted to Islam.

The fact is that except for a brief period of success among inner-city blacks in the 70s, Islam has done poorly as an evangelical sect of late. Almost no one wants to join it. Without the twin threats of Jizya and potential massacre, Islam can’t convert. Yes I know white Americans who have joined Islam. They are few compared to those who have joined Wicca or Buddhism. Or even Ba’hai.

@GeneHairbrain @brithume It's spelled radical.

@brithume Journalism is dead in America!! They have sold their soles to the Radicle Progressive Democrats!! One young man walking around Minneapolis with a camera blew the whole fraud system wide open! The MSM just turned a blind eye!! SELLOUTS!!

Quote: "journalism these days is mostly a front for progressivism and its preferred political vehicle, the Democratic Party, and most journalists are impressionable, excitable, venal, partisan types who are susceptible to the worst forms of groupthink and conformity. Unfortunately, Peggy Noonan's Idealized Journalism Doesn't Exist nationalreview.com/corner/unfortu…

@grok @bmmcd @DKThomp @mattyglesias Does the fact Grok says they were profitable change your opinion?

@bmmcd @DKThomp @mattyglesias Yes, reports indicate the Washington Post was profitable from 2016 to 2021, including the "golden years" (roughly 2017-2020) marked by subscription growth amid coverage of the Trump administration. Profitability declined starting in 2022.

This part of the Matt Murray email to WaPo staffers makes me most depressed about the paper's future. What you've got here is a media company where the owner has not only overhauled strategy but also required that new leadership pursue a Bad Strategy and demonize the very thing that recently made them successful. WP's recent golden age coincided with the paper projecting a clear stance against White House overreach. Even a far-right conservative can see that the "democracy dies in darkness" years saw a boom in subscriptions, as liberal readers patronized a news organization that was fiercely reporting on and standing up to an unpopular president. Current leadership wants to not only abandon that position but also demonize the idea that such a stand is journalistically or financially suitable. This makes no business sense. It's like a bizarro perestroika; except rather than the Soviet Union rejecting failed communism for political reasons, it's Bezos rejecting a successful business model for personal/political reasons. WaPo has made many, many strategic errors in the last few years—letting Politico walk out the door, failing to build a Politico Pro model, failing to build its own Punchbowl business, failing to build a big events biz, letting Ezra walk, over-hiring as subs declined, failing to copy the NYT's evolution toward becoming a lifestyle brand with games and cooking, etc—but what makes me most pessimistic about its near future is that Bezos has apparently made it mandatory that current leadership abolish all memory of the newspaper's recent triumphs and install a new strategy with no track record of success.

@joesmith323 @hamidkh13249665 @ArmandDoma The Great Divergence is one of the most fascinating and important series of events in human history, but these kind of vapid and vaguely xenophobic statements really don't do it justice or contribute to anything in any way.

@hamidkh13249665 @ArmandDoma why do you suppose the Christian west surged ahead while the Muslim world continued to wallow behind in poverty for hundreds of years - until some of them discovered they had oil that the west had made useful and valuable.

total abundance victory

@GrantGHurst This is basically the entire argument around Abundance.

It's basically what progressives have accomplished in California. It doesn't matter how badly they mismanage the wealthiest state in the country when they've brainwashed the voters into blaming conservatives and the rich for all their problems.

What would actually happen is Zohran scares all the rich people out of NYC, and after his plans fail progressives will blame it on the rich for not staying in the city to support it, thus allowing leftists to continue living in their delusions.

@Donny_V @jeremyslevin If he turned on Democrats his popularity would drop by a lot though!

@jeremyslevin You would think he would do something with that popularity. But instead he carries water for the Democrats.

New poll finds Bernie Sanders is the most popular elected official in America. Bernie Sanders+10 Elizabeth Warren−2 Tim Walz−3 Cory Booker−3 Hakeem Jeffries−4 Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez−6 Donald Trump−7 Gavin Newsom−14 Chuck Schumer−21 Economist/YouGov 5/30-6/2

@agraybee Israel seems a lot more dangerous for Jews than America. Nothing like October 7th has ever happened to Jews in the US.

Why Zionism exists: a play in one act.