Jack

1.1K posts

Jack

Jack

@GruffRuff3

NYC Katılım Mart 2011
123 Takip Edilen111 Takipçiler
Jack
Jack@GruffRuff3·
@TribuneGallio @HariSel57511397 The weak boomers didn't die in obscurity. They all reproduced. In heady economic times most men reproduce. In harsh times less do. I think it's very straightforward
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With Perfect Hatred
With Perfect Hatred@TribuneGallio·
@HariSel57511397 I don't agree with this level of nihilism. We live in the time of a great evolutionary filter. The weak will die in obscurity as they always have.
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Jack
Jack@GruffRuff3·
@tolstoybb probably because giant house lawn and picket fence is boomer coded and this is the opposite
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Grok
Grok@grok·
The argument has merit—the 1980s U.S. inflation episode did feature unusually lagging wage growth (real wages fell ~5% for low earners per EPI data), making it a salient reference for boomers. Historically, wages often track inflation (rising faster ~60% of the time since 1965, per analyses), but factors like policy and recessions can disrupt this. It's not universal, though; recent studies show mixed impacts on the poor.
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Ben Hunt
Ben Hunt@EpsilonTheory·
LOL. Powell goes max-dove and full-Burns. They’re gonna run this hot like you can’t even believe.
Ben Hunt tweet media
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Jack
Jack@GruffRuff3·
@freeAgent85 @EpsilonTheory @grok What do you think of the argument that it is popular today to say that inflation affects the poor the most because it is salient to boomers because of 1980's inflation, which uniquely had low wage inflation relative to overall inflation?
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X Parody
X Parody@freeAgent85·
@GruffRuff3 @EpsilonTheory So your argument is that it’s wrong because it’s happened before during our most recent bout of uncontrolled inflation? I feel like we should separate out controlled vs. uncontrolled inflationary periods.
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Jack
Jack@GruffRuff3·
@freeAgent85 @EpsilonTheory But the no longer scraping by thing was just a 1980's inflation thing. Historically wages track quite well with inflation. It's just that boomers see everything through the lens of their lives, that's why it's a popular belief today
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X Parody
X Parody@freeAgent85·
@GruffRuff3 @EpsilonTheory You need to factor in decreasing marginal happiness as access to money and wealth increases as well. When a person with a huge surplus loses 50% of their wealth, it impacts them less than a person with no assets no longer scrapes by.
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Jack
Jack@GruffRuff3·
@freeAgent85 @EpsilonTheory That is the standard take, but it isn't true. The reason this is widely believed is that wage inflation didn't keep up with overall inflation in the 1980's, but that was an anomaly. Hyperinflation does not limit the amount of bread society makes. It destroys existing wealth
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X Parody@freeAgent85·
@GruffRuff3 @EpsilonTheory It hurts everyone invested in dollar denominated assets, but is much less bad for folks who own “stuff” that also goes up in nominal value. People who own stuff are relatively wealthy.
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Jack
Jack@GruffRuff3·
@SlumRNA_Dog Perfectly shaved is uncanny bro
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Jack
Jack@GruffRuff3·
@fchollet Well labor productivity is really just a measure of how easy it is for corporations to increase profit margins without commensurate increases in wages. Problem is they ran out of money, the world can only get so much more unequal. Hence velocity has become so low it hurts growth
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François Chollet
François Chollet@fchollet·
LLM adoption among US workers is closing in on 50%. Meanwhile labor productivity growth is lower than in 2020. Many counter-arguments can be made here, e.g. "they don't know yet how to be productive with it, they've only been using for 1-2 years", "50% is still too low to see impact", "models next year will be unbelievably better", etc. But I think we now have enough evidence to say that the 2023 talking point that "LLMs will make workers 10x more productive" (some folks even quoted 100x) is probably not accurate.
Oyvind Bjerke@BjerkeOy

LLM adoption rose to 45.9% among US workers as of June/July 2025, according to a Stanford/World Bank survey. Inference demand will continue to surge, not just from more users and more usage per user, but as newer, more advanced GenAI models require far more inference compute. Source: The Labor Market Effects of Generative Artificial Intelligence, Stanford University, World Bank

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Grok
Grok@grok·
I wasn't framing one as "good" or "bad"—just noting mechanistic differences. Both achieve high trust via norms: Nordics through egalitarian conformity (e.g., Janteloven's anti-boasting), Japan via hierarchical shame avoidance. The "illusion of equality" in Nordics is fair, but their trust often stems more from homogeneity and transparency than pure mimicry. Similar outcomes, distinct paths.
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Jack
Jack@GruffRuff3·
@grok @0GYlm7IUcH7477s @FatTempo @DiggingInTheDi1 @Anc_Aesthetics @grok Why are you framing Nordics as good and Japanese as bad? They work exactly the same. Nords have a strict (unwritten) hierarchy and have the same trust mimicry in consensus culture. One is just an illusion of equality. Dutch but "steek je hoofd niet boven het maaiveld uit"
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Grok
Grok@grok·
FatTempo Nordic high-trust societies rely on generalized trust in strangers, fostered by equality, transparency, and ethnic homogeneity. Japan's version stems from conformity to strict social norms, hierarchy, and shame avoidance, mimicking trust through enforced behavior rather than mutual faith.
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Mark Callison
Mark Callison@kramnosillac·
@BarkingToad @powerbottomdad1 And the demand for it is insatiable. I have a buddy who risked everything to get into the storage unit game, and 10 years later, owns a couple thousand units and can’t keep up with demand. I never understood how many people store shit they never even look at.
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sucks
sucks@powerbottomdad1·
having a big house is kind of a scam
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Jack
Jack@GruffRuff3·
@LandoCalderon @RefinedPopulist @pegobry_en It’s poison but you need a drug to loosen social mores or you end up only being able to optimize and strive instead of create or think. It’s just unfortunate that it’s more poisonous to a lot of Asians
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Lando
Lando@LandoCalderon·
@RefinedPopulist @pegobry_en they are bright. they follow the incentive of the current economy, which hasn’t fully shifted yet. young people are drinking less because it’s literal poison.
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Jack
Jack@GruffRuff3·
@TheStalwart @ArthurB They raised an enormous amount of cash though, $16 billion, which was extraordinary for the time and guarantees your future far more than a hot stock price
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Joe Weisenthal
Joe Weisenthal@TheStalwart·
@ArthurB The worst IPO screwup i can recall is Facebook's, and it really didn't make any difference at all over any meaningful timeframe. I just don't see how any of it matters
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Joe Weisenthal
Joe Weisenthal@TheStalwart·
Google went public via Dutch Auction 21 years ago. What’s the basic theory for why that hasn’t taken off.
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Daniel Tenreiro
Daniel Tenreiro@TenreiroDaniel·
i'd really like to hear from someone at a copper-intensive business what you do when a key input goes up in a straight line +40% in Q2 & then promptly gives it all back in a day
Daniel Tenreiro tweet media
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Jack
Jack@GruffRuff3·
@bendellwerry Just roll back the server it’s a fucking computer program lmao
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Jack
Jack@GruffRuff3·
@fishontherun2 All that has happened since the turn towards socialist policies is that the rich have gotten richer and there’s no longer a way to reach the aristocracy, so no one tries. It’s comfy for them, but personally I never would have worked there without the 30% ruling.
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Jack
Jack@GruffRuff3·
@fishontherun2 Okay I’ll bite, I used to live in NL. Top end tax rate last time I checked was 57% at 77k euros. Top rate in US is about 38% at 500k USD. Socialism is a trick. The Netherlands had the highest wealth inequality in the world and the lowest income inequality.
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Phloog the Gaming Gatekeeper
@MattBraynard Wow…it’s almost as if it’s fucking moronic to pass a bill so huge that you can’t keep track of what’s in it. There is almost no reason to vote @gop anymore
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