
J Lee
3.2K posts









#GDP 2026 Cycles Fed database doesn't have enough data, so best we can do is identify what fits the current data set -5.5Y cycle is common across many macro data sets and if it is in play then growth should have a low around now and expand into 2027 or even 2028 - It's not as clean and given data limitations take it with a grain of salt. But given the expansion in the money supply till late 2025, I think it's reasonable to expect both inflation and growth surprise to the upside next 2 years. P.S. Projection is from July 2023


#Wheat $ZW_F $WEAT 2026 projection: 1) -I Extended the projection from Jan 2025. Main idea is that a major low formed in Oct 2025 (at least 18M cycle low). A new up wave (blue) is expected to last into 2027 -Red is a detailed projection. A minor low was due in Mar, unclear if we just saw it or is still ahead -Fertilizer prices are exploding and war usually result in inflation and food prices going higher/agris are typically bid (cont...)




















