John Daniels

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John Daniels

John Daniels

@JustAnAlgorithm

Software Eng, technology, music, film, crypto, politics In the simulation running sims. Life GTO - "However vast the darkness, we must supply our own light"

Katılım Kasım 2013
1K Takip Edilen275 Takipçiler
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John Daniels
John Daniels@JustAnAlgorithm·
When jobs get automated through technology, the displacement causes upheaval, but eventually most of the affected people move to other areas of employment. If you automate people, then there is no other work. In the future, new jobs we can't yet imagine will be created, but AI will be able to do those jobs better than any human can retrain. There is a fundamental difference with this change that we are not talking about enough; we are attempting to replace intelligence. That encapsulates logic, planning, learning, reasoning, the whole human gambit. We are attempting to create something which is on par with humans at a cognitive level and eventually surpasses it. This isn't so much a new technology but an attempt to create our general ability as humans. From a job's perspective, AI won't just replace certain jobs; it will replace humans themselves. History is littered with examples of inflection points where we fall into these new paradigm shifts rather than plan towards them, which usually ends up causing extreme hardship for the majority. We can't afford to wait until time horizons narrow enough that actions are reactive, but instead, we need to be proactive now.
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Scott Seiver
Scott Seiver@scott_seiver·
After finally watching The Drama (incredible perfect film and surprisingly hilarious) I continue to think that Robert Pattinson is just head the clear best actor of his generation. Is there anyone from that age that you think comes even close to him or Emma Stone?
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Nassim Nicholas Taleb@nntaleb·
Some fields work in theory but not in practice. Some fields work in practice but not theory. The uniqueness of economics is that it works in neither theory nor practice.
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John Daniels
John Daniels@JustAnAlgorithm·
@theEconBlog @peterrhague Do you see who's president of the United States, where do you get the idea that the world is full of rational actors?
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econoBlogger
econoBlogger@theEconBlog·
@peterrhague Game theory assumes all agents are rational and have full understanding of the situation. Theres no real stakes for an online poll, make it real and the results will change.
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Peter Hague
Peter Hague@peterrhague·
Amazing how lots of self appointed game theory experts confidently asserting that blue is the stupid choice. But every time this poll is run blue wins. Not only is the “game theory” answer predicting the wrong outcome, its explanatory power is based on it being able to predict the right answer. So it’s doubly wrong.
Tim Urban@waitbutwhy

Everyone in the world has to take a private vote by pressing a red or blue button. If more than 50% of people press the blue button, everyone survives. If less than 50% of people press the blue button, only people who pressed the red button survive. Which button would you press?

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John Daniels
John Daniels@JustAnAlgorithm·
@haider1 @ashleevance You are taking someone else's content and putting your own watermark on it and then acting indignant about them calling you out. ffs, have you no self awareness? You deserve to lose every single follower you have for this post.
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Haider.
Haider.@haider1·
@ashleevance sorry about that i have said many times that the video section is handled by my junior, and i clearly instructed them to provide the source it won't happen again next time and by the way, you have 193k followers and you’re still crying like a child
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Conor
Conor@ConorBear74·
@JustAnAlgorithm @DaireONeill24 A big chunk of it is pensions? €7.5b is roughly 25% of the budget. 35% (€10b) is spent on illness,disability and caring. Jobseekers is €3b Housing is €2.5b Children and family is €5b
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Dáire Ó Néill
Dáire Ó Néill@DaireONeill24·
At the height of the recession, Ireland spent about €20bn on social welfare. Today, that figure is about €28.9bn. An increase of roughly 45%.
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`@lisaawrites·
According to Philosophy, the highest form of peace is to have zero desire to be understood, admired, pitied or even known.
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John Daniels
John Daniels@JustAnAlgorithm·
@Kasparov63 Maybe we can create human only work places like in chess so they don't have to compete against the machines. The cognitive dissonance on this subject is astounding.
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Garry Kasparov
Garry Kasparov@Kasparov63·
Indeed. The history of tech impact on labor is well-documented, including by those named. It's unpredictable, but usually improves productivity and leads to expansion. Law & white-collar workers aren't horse-buggy drivers or elevator operators. They will use AI and adapt.
Yann LeCun@ylecun

Dario is wrong. He knows absolutely nothing about the effects of technological revolutions on the labor market. Don't listen to him, Sam, Yoshua, Geoff, or me on this topic. Listen to economists who have spent their career studying this, like @Ph_Aghion , @erikbryn , @DAcemogluMIT , @amcafee , @davidautor

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Abdul Mo
Abdul Mo@Abdu1Mo·
@JustAnAlgorithm @SkySportsPL It's clearly just based on City having a game in hand. We all know they will beat Burnley but the computer doesn't.
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Sky Sports Premier League
Sky Sports Premier League@SkySportsPL·
"I don't care" 😂 Roy Keane and the Super Sunday pundits give their title predictions 🏆
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John Daniels
John Daniels@JustAnAlgorithm·
@dankness3 What I love most about this is that while Nick has clearly gone deep down the solver rabbit hole, he still talks about poker at times like there is this mysticism to it, like when you know, you know. You can even hear him when Becker says, are you serious? "I'm locked in".
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WIll jaffe
WIll jaffe@dankness3·
Wow Schulman literally calls out Beckers exact hand and Becker can’t believe it. Negreanu was the king of this but I’m not even sure he’s had one this good
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Patrick Collison
Patrick Collison@patrickc·
By the way, I don't know of any great, easy-to-recommend D2C consumer genome sequencing service. Are there any good ones? (We tried @DanteLabs, but never actually got the sequenced genome back, and never heard back from customer support. I encountered someone else who also had this experience with them. @smart_genome ended up working well, but I think they require going through a clinician.)
Patrick Collison@patrickc

I'm lucky enough to have a great doctor and access to excellent Bay Area medical care. I've taken lots of standard screening tests over the years and have tried lots of "health tech" devices and tools. With all this said, by far the most useful preventative medical advice that I've ever received has come from unleashing coding agents on my genome, having them investigate my specific mutations, and having them recommend specific follow-on tests and treatments. Population averages are population averages, but we ourselves are not averages. For example, it turns out that I probably have a 30x(!) higher-than-average predisposition to melanoma. Fortunately, there are both specific supplements that help counteract the particular mutations I have, and of course I can significantly dial up my screening frequency. So, this is very useful to know. I don't know exactly how much the analysis cost, but probably less than $100. Sequencing my genome cost a few hundred dollars. (One often sees papers and articles claiming that models aren't very good at medical reasoning. These analyses are usually based on employing several-year-old models, which is a kind of ludicrous malpractice. It is true that you still have to carefully monitor the agents' reasoning, and they do on occasion jump to conclusions or skip steps, requiring some nudging and re-steering. But, overall, they are almost literally infinitely better for this kind of work than what one can otherwise obtain today.) There are still lots of questions about how this will diffuse and get adopted, but it seems very clear that medical practice is about to improve enormously. Exciting times!

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Michał Podlewski
Michał Podlewski@trajektoriePL·
This isn’t China. It’s the Long Beach Container Terminal in California. These green Automated Guided Vehicles (AGVs) are manufactured in Europe. They are battery-powered, zero-emission, and operate entirely without a driver.
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John Daniels
John Daniels@JustAnAlgorithm·
@BradAllenNFL Stop saying AI. You're talking about LLMs. AI is superhuman at poker for example, but LLMs are not yet.
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Brad Allen
Brad Allen@BradAllenNFL·
They made AI try and beat Premier League football betting markets over a year All eight models lost money and six went bust
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clem 🤗
clem 🤗@ClementDelangue·
"But here is what we found when we tested: We took the specific vulnerabilities Anthropic showcases in their announcement, isolated the relevant code, and ran them through small, cheap, open-weights models. Those models recovered much of the same analysis. Eight out of eight models detected Mythos's flagship FreeBSD exploit, including one with only 3.6 billion active parameters costing $0.11 per million tokens. A 5.1B-active open model recovered the core chain of the 27-year-old OpenBSD bug." aisle.com/blog/ai-cybers…
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ThePrimeagen
ThePrimeagen@ThePrimeagen·
I don't think it is as big of a deal as people are making it. Hype is annoying, anthropic please just IPO already.
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Low Level
Low Level@LowLevelTweets·
@ThePrimeagen Not a huge deal for software dev. A huge deal for security and vuln research if the claims are true if
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John Daniels
John Daniels@JustAnAlgorithm·
@nnwakelam None of you have end gamed out what AGI actually means when you think in terms of Anthropic competing with its customers.
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Nate
Nate@nnwakelam·
The broad questions I have about this are: Will Anthropic end up competing with the same customers that have built products around their APIs? (Security testing?) What discussion would have been held with western governments, lawyers, and the general intelligence community about this product? (If it does what they claim it does, wouldn't this literally just be a "no expertise autonomous cyber weapon".
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Nate
Nate@nnwakelam·
red.anthropic.com/2026/mythos-pr… Opus 4.6 turned Firefox 147 JavaScript engine vulnerabilities into shell exploits only two times out of several hundred attempts. Mythos Preview developed working exploits 181 times from the same starting point.
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John Daniels
John Daniels@JustAnAlgorithm·
@davidu People who think like this lack the imagination to see how quickly these things could potentially get solved by systems smarter than us.
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David Ulevitch 🇺🇸
My hot take of the day is that a Lambda School for electricians, CNC machinists, and other advanced manufacturing roles would do very well for the next 20+ years. Maybe longer.
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John Daniels
John Daniels@JustAnAlgorithm·
@narrenhut "it is easier to imagine an end to the world than an end to capitalism"
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dylan
dylan@narrenhut·
The new unreleased Claude model has, according to its system card, a particular "fondness" for Mark Fisher and Thomas Nagel
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