MATTHEW FOULKES
5.9K posts
MATTHEW FOULKES
@MATTHEWFOULKES
flesh and blood player in the world.
Stroud. Katılım Temmuz 2009
145 Takip Edilen3.5K Takipçiler
If you’ve DMd me and I didn’t answer I swear I’m not a bitch, it’s just that my requests look like this atm and I don’t know how to to fix it
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These are actually VERY GOOD results for a natty in a 20 month time frame
If you’re expecting to see results like this in the next 4, 6, 8, 10 weeks and you plan on staying natty
You’re in for a RUDE AWAKENING
Remember:
It took me 10 YEARS to make the transformation in Pic 4
Francis Melia@CoachFHM
Client progress. This is my good client Jack. We’ve been working together for just on 2 years. Same bodyweight in both photos of 84kg. Left was September 2024. Right was May 2026 (this week) Totally different physique in terms of muscle/strength. Chest, shoulders, arms, back thickness, legs all came on massively. All lifts have improved. Squat patterns. Deadlift patterns. Press patterns. Weighted pull ups (one of his favourites) Been through a couple of diet phases and really good “improvement phase” together and the results are evident. This is what happens when you stick to the plan and execute to a high level. Working with a coach for a good time frame is where you’ll see results flourish. No 12 week quick fix nonsense. Excited for Jacks progress over the next 2 years. An absolute pleasure to work with. More to come! You want some proper results? Message me “coaching” and let’s get going mate 🫡
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@TheSaltiestSean I would say that the elite talent in magic is better than the elite talent in fab
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HOT TAKE: Flesh and Blood Players are the most skilled and most competitive card game players in the industry!
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@pgd216 @iPulpNFTs @CashoutKingJJ Why is a +600 mathematically better than +1000, if you could find breakeven lines then the +1000 line returns 10000 in 11 attempts so a 91% yield and the +600 returns 600 over 7 attempts returns a 85% yield, it just becomes a question of bankroll and house as to how high to go
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@MATTHEWFOULKES @iPulpNFTs @CashoutKingJJ This is purely EV. The mathematical best way to maximize EV is a 3-leg parlay assuming (50/50 or -110 odds) which would come to +600
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Nobody is acknowledging that despite “winning $9200” you actually lost $800 and this isn’t how you use a bonus bet
Dana Beers@danabeers
Bang! The parlay had so much life too. Thank you @DKSports and @StoolAfterDark #dkpartner
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@pgd216 @iPulpNFTs @CashoutKingJJ Even +500 is a significant torch, but youd have to work it out based on your bankroll
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@iPulpNFTs @CashoutKingJJ A proper range is between +200 to +500 if we’re talking purely EV. I agree it’s different based on personal risk tolerance.
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@SureBets__ @jhorsewhisperer I mean super reasonably possible with full Kelly
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@jhorsewhisperer Your Kelly staking had members take a 90U downswing tho. Maybe too aggressive? I wonder how many members still kept the same unit size after that
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@secretbettin @jhorsewhisperer A fraction of kelly is a much more reasonable approach, atleast once you’ve reached a bankroll threshold in which losing a significant portion of it would be damaging.
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@jhorsewhisperer Kelly is mathematically optimal in theory, but brutal in practice. Most people are inexperienced in determining their value and often overestimate it. It's like giving a beginner the drive of a super fast sports car
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@TransientTcg I think lss is certainly on the lower end of the spectrum
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The growth of tcgs in the last 5 years isn’t because people love playing these games, it’s because the studios worked out how to use gambling industry techniques to farm their customers at a much higher rate. These card company’s are often morally equivalent to casinos or bookies
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People under estimate how much a factor rake plays
Once I eliminate it
99 = profitable open
K5s = fold
Every small pot getting taxed is a big problem for 99
PokerJermz@PokerJermz
Would you actually play like a solver at the casino? UTG 8-handed (200bb deep) 99 = fold K5s = open pure Is K5s really making more money than 99 here?
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@lowstakesdre If my heart is pounding in a pot that isn't actually that big, usually im just hungry....
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My heart was pounding. Absolutely pounding. And the spot was so routine.
Folds to me, I limp 77 in the small blind, big blind is super capable. I’m hoping he raises so I can 3bet. He checks.
Pot: 3BB
Flop: K-7-8 rainbow
I lead flop for 2 BB, he tanks and cuts out raising chips, the raise is to 6BB, I just call.
Pot: 15BB
Turn: J
Completes T-9 but otherwise I’m nutted here. I check in flow, he checks back. I 100% have the best hand.
River: 3
I lead river for 5BB, he tanks for what seems like an eternity, he is staring me down, I fold my arms across my chest and I can feel my heart absolutely pounding. He leans in to check my neck, okay Alex Foxen, chill man, this is a nightly at Derby, not the feature table at the Main Event. lol
We aren’t in the money. We aren’t even close. Based on the action I am nutted here, he never has KK, JJ, best he could have is two pair which I have crushed. No chance he checks back T-9 on the turn.
I’m praying he raises, he finally folds.
Why does my adrenaline spike in these spots sometimes?
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@MattBartlettVE 6k is probably too much below market, but I could probably help you locate/work something out with someone (or I know a guy who knows a guy) if you can come up a bit? Or cash + trade (which some cards did)
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Anyone have a NM Riftbound "Best Of" Metal Card they want to let go for $6k? I'd buy any one.
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@bkp2525 Feels crazy, but with 10% rake and 3x open size
TT becomes 0 EV. It gets even crazy with a 4x open size
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This feels wrong…
Live 8-handed UTG
A5s opens more often than TT
TT only opens ~33% of the time
What are you opening here?
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@PokerJermz @ns14trader What is the rake structure thats leading to this?
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@ns14trader Nah youre being too hard on yourself.
I wouldn’t have considered folding TT before studying it.
And honestly I still wouldn’t. But my reason for opening is different now.
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@JayVNguyen Jesus unless you’re a raging alcoholic this is the biggest farm ever! Well done on striking such a ridiculous deal
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Booked a bet with Viper Joe, a local businessman and poker player.
69k
No alcohol for a year, starting May 1. Time to clean my shit up.
God speed. 🫡
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@GodMode248 @avgDonk This guys so crazy he gets in 100bb in low stakes live with kings, a true loose cannon
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@avgDonk Maybe, great minds think alike. He would say something like this lol.
When I told the table they looked at me crazy.
The thing is, to play this game you have to be a little crazy.
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5bet shoved with pocket Kings right into Aces last night.
Flop
KQ796
He raised $25 UTG, I make it $125, He makes it $250, I know he has Aces, I shove $500 he snap call.
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@VanjaPoker I mean the only spew is saying i studied BvB instead of saying i like playing some hands!
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Controversial take:
What just happened at 10/20?
VIP asks BB to chop blinds. Reg says:
“I studied BvB yesterday, I don’t chop.”
There is something wrong here.
Many players play for fun, if regs make games boring and unwelcoming for VIPs, games die, no way around that.
CoinPoker@CoinPoker_OFF
What is your "this will make everyone hate me, but I don't care" poker opinion?
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@IndastinkJuan @cblezbets Right , but an "edge" is a really amorphous term and according to bookmaker profits in US. A rare one.
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Betting in shops on golf coupons close to first tee can be a mathematical juggling act, managing cuts and equity.
So some tips:
I went in to Betfred this morning and got 13 players
✅1 was held (Bob Mac)
❌12 were cut
9 were still +EV
4 became -EV
13 bets averaged 104% EV.
If I removed the -EV (and specifically Nicolai cut from 70/1 to 40/1) they averaged 108% EV.
I decided to take them all, that’s a personal risk (and time vs quality) preference.
When faced with a situation where 12 of 13 bets are cut it can feel daunting (and we very often get complaints about this at BB) but the bigger picture is a group of mostly cut bets can still be +EV as a collective.
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