Phil Jenkins

@saylor First political party to add banning everyone over 50 from using AI will win the presidency

Let me recap the earnings call. $MSTR

@zengucapital @DeItaone What? AI was in the name before and after

@DeItaone lol everyone and their mom on the AI run right now, so many top signals

MUSK: XAI WILL BE DISSOLVED AS A SEPARATE COMPANY, SO IT WILL JUST BE SPACEXAI

@BenKizemchuk @JeffDiamond3 Need to have you back on @ForwardGuidance !

@JeffDiamond3 @PhilJenkins19 My "official" commentaries are here: advisor.wellington-altus.ca/stonehavenweal…

When voluntary liquidity disappears, market activity is dominated by non‑discretionary flows.

@Globalflows 35% must capitulate

Are you long $PURR ?

@BenKizemchuk of expectations from here. Or are you just saying the market is totally wrong and has been this whole rally? Don't think it can be called a bear rally when you crush new ATHs

@BenKizemchuk I've been following you for a while as you had been on a roll for a while (last 18 months that I've tracked). However you've been bear posting nonstop every day of this rally. Maybe I missed it but it would be useful to have some kind of "what I got wrong" post and a reset

@LeungmanLM @Globalflows Does he even own any? Thought he fully pivoted to PURR

@Globalflows HYPD absolutely tanking….. 😭😭😭

@ColdBloodShill Show the zoomed out chart that isn't clipped only during a bear market

$BTC has been in this position 3 times in the last 8 months. October 2025 January 2026 April 2026 Each time has capped the ascent. If you're looking to short you have the best RR. If you're looking for exposure and to be long you work with simplicity. If this breaks up, it's the most significant change to the market we've seen for the best part of 12 months. We know how powerful focusing on the simple signals has been for the indexes.

@mrcanute1 @DeItaone Did you not read the stipulations to get this?

@DeItaone elon is really the only person who would look at a $7.5 trillion goal and say "yeah that's fair" lmao

MUSK PAY TIED TO MARS COLONY AND SPACE DATA CENTERS SpaceX has tied Elon Musk’s pay to bold goals like building a Mars colony and space-based data centers. He could earn massive share awards if the company hits a $7.5 trillion valuation and establishes a million-person presence on Mars, along with major computing capacity in orbit. He gets nothing unless these targets are met and currently earns only a minimal salary. The plan is highly unusual and may create tension with Tesla, as both companies compete for his attention.

@Globalflows @HyperliquidX I'm a holder of Hype and Purr but have been concerned on the regulatory side with how Donald Trump Jr has stakes in Polymarket and Kalshi, along with tons of other crypto ventures but nothing with Hyperliquid. Makes me wonder if they'd put their finger on the scale against them

I will just say this: there is such an extreme compression of capital around Hyperliquid right now, but one of the main factors holding it back is US regulatory acceptance Once @HyperliquidX gets added to the United States, there will be such a mad dash to implement all of the things being built in the background. And I assure you, this is not being priced at all. The HYPE price continues to move in lockstep with revenues and buybacks. The coin doesn't even have the ability to price this type of regulatory change because institutions know that they can't even touch it without getting into massive trouble. This is fundamentally different from Bitcoin reaching mass adoption with ETFs and DATs. Hyperliquid is actually generating cash flow every day in real time as it brings THE most disruptive financial product to the market. Right now, $PURR is THE way to get exposure to this without hitting regulatory and compliance issues. If a large player goes to their compliance desk and asks if they can buy HYPE, compliance will just shut them down because it's too risky when the protocol is banned in the US. Add in the fact that ZERO VC money is backing Hyperliquid and you have a perfect storm where Hyperliquid is setting up for one of the largest rallies ever seen in crypto. This is why my largest position is $PURR HYPE is already telling you this in that it has diverged from Bitcoin and has almost more HIP-3 open interest than crypto open interest. This will only increase as we move forward. I make ZERO apologies for being vocal about my $PURR position. I am here as a risk taker with skin in the game. If you own $PURR, you deserve every single penny of gain for the risk you are taking. There is ALWAYS risk to everything. And we haven't even talked about the credit cycle right now! I will link my thread below on this. Fundamentally, my entire goal is to focus on highly concentrated asymmetric bets. Hyperliquid and specifically $PURR is this bet. We are up 100% from when I first shared the thesis with subscribers and we are just beginning. Welcome to global macro

@qthomp Idk I wouldn't bet against Citrini's expectations

Since NVDA and MAGS all-time highs in late October, SOXX is +48%, NVDA is -2%, and MAGS is -4%. Historically it's rare for NVDA to "play catch up" to SOXX. If you expect NVDA to break out to new highs here, you’re may be betting on SOXX continuing its record run but via the slower horse. This week's hyperscaler earnings may reignite the discussion around capex burdens, free cash flow concerns and falling share buybacks. More in this week's note👇

@serialinvesting @aaronjmars V inspirational

@aaronjmars @PhilJenkins19

holy fuck, a hair dryer at a Paris airport broke Polymarket weather markets & made someone $34,000 richer - polymarket was settling Paris temperature bets on a single Météo France sensor sitting near the Charles de Gaulle runway perimeter - basically unguarded - the guy bought the long-shot outcome (like "22°C" when everyone expected 18°C) for pennies, since nobody thought it'd hit - then he walked up to the probe and briefly heated the air around it with a portable heat source, spiking the reading just long enough to register as the daily max - temperature snapped back to normal in minutes, the market resolved in his favor, and he cashed out - twice, on April 6 and April 15, before Météo France caught on and filed charges hyperstitions.

@lBattleRhino Hyperliquid.

People who shilled the narrative of financial nihilism and that the industry does nothing anyways so may as well gamble on memes Are now shocked and upset nobody believes in the industry anymore and prices won’t go up

@fejau_inc @j0hnwang Hyperliquid fixes this

Would be way cooler if prediction markets didn't turn fake engagement slop as a growth strategy Do better @j0hnwang

@0xasrequired @Polymarket @DecibelTrade Polymarket truly is a terrible user experience

no one is pricing in how fucking atrocious @Polymarket infra is the orderbook just does not work. It’s an offchain orderbook and it’s somehow slower than @DecibelTrade’s cranker (a wallet which pays gas to advance the orderbook each block) for its fully onchain orderbook the only reason polymarket is polymarket is that it was the first mover. Most of its revenue comes from up/down markets, which have terrible UX because of how slow the orderbook is and how unreliable execution is when you are betting where price goes in the next 5 minutes, you need execution to be near instant this isn’t some esoteric secret it’s not good enough for trades to take seconds to go through and then have to spend the next 5s figuring out if it actually executed. Just placing a trade has already taken up 1/30th of the market’s lifetime if you’re betting on a sports match, a 3s delay on the book is just too long minutes, hours, days, weeks is too long for a market to resolve the only reason polymarket has any liquidity is due to pure brute force distribution — there are just so many people playing on it that there is bound to be liquidity but this is hitting a ceiling — most people that will use polymarket, certainly as makers, are already using polymarket and it just does not make sense to be a market maker 1) you don’t have cancel priority —> you’re bending over, just waiting to be adversely selected 2) the very nature of prediction market resolutions mean that you already have a much higher risk of adverse selection 3) the LP rewards, despite pm routing pretty much all of its taker revenue to them, are nowhere near enough to cover the adverse selection 4) building market making infra on polymarket is a development nightmare and it’s almost impossible to get it to work reliably for these reasons, I think polymarket (and kalshi) is facing an extinction event with HIP-4, at least on objective markets because 1) HL has cancel priority 2) HIP-4 resolutions are instant and objective 3) HIP-4 has no opening fees and only 7bps/4bps fees on closing (pm charges 2% on winnings and has fees on every open/close, kalshi charges 7% on every open/close) 4) aside from the liquidity that will come from market makers actually being able to MM reliably on a performant orderbook, HIP-4 taps into hypercore’s already exceptional liquidity 5) the data feeds from HL, thanks to things like @hydromancerxyz, @hypedexer and @hyperpc_, are much better than pm tooling 6) MMs can hedge more easily because they can use spot, perps and defi (on hyperevm) without leaving HL. I think this might be the catalyst that corewriter needs 7) jeff is building it I’ve seen many people speak about the HL S3 and polymarket airdrops in the same breath, but even if POLY TGEs high, it will be down only imo all of the bullishness is just driven by speculation and the fact that it’s so widely adopted, but that adoption isn’t monetised well (even since the fees turned on, they’ve just been going to LPs in a desperate attempt to incentivise liquidity) and even if it is, most of it won’t go to the token and that isn’t even considering the very real possibility that they screw over users on the airdrop. They have VCs who they sold equity too and they run a gambling company — you’re not going to find the hyperliquid ethos here aside from tokenomics, HIP-4 will force them to completely abandon their current infrastructure. They need to leave polygon and rebuild their orderbooks from scratch and I can’t see them being afforded the time to do that once jeff turns his attention to your vertical, you’ve already lost hyperliquid

@MattSchmenk @fejau_inc x.com/i/status/20422…

@fejau_inc Already happening hahahaha

I think I figured out an amicable resolution to the Strait of Homuz - Iran toll booth settled in World Liberty Financial

@fejau_inc @MattSchmenk Not really though x.com/i/status/20422…

@MattSchmenk oh my fucking god

@AndrewKuhlmann @DeItaone We know Andrew

@DeItaone Sounds bad; is good. The point of them is they are cheap. It's not the only reason they get brought in, but it's a big one.

TRUMP PLANS WAGE HIKES FOR H-1B EMPLOYERS IN NEW RULE: BLAW

@acemoney21 @Citrini7 "has begun"

@Citrini7 That’s a rally?

The “Trump said to stop being a panican” countertrend rally has begun

@WarrenPies @BenKizemchuk thoughts on this?

GPU availability continues to plummet. New multi-year lows in availability for: B200, H100, and A100s. Good luck getting a B200 (availability <5%). Oil getting all the headlines (rightly), but, for markets, the dominant secular story is surging compute demand.