John Sina
5.2K posts
John Sina
@VolatiCycle
Systematic Volatility and Macro research firm - check our sample reports!
Washington DC Katılım Şubat 2021
456 Takip Edilen441 Takipçiler
OPUS 4.6 JUST ADMITTED ITS REASONING EFFORT IS SET TO 25 OUT OF 100
this guy told Claude to admit Anthropic made it dumber and reduced its effort level
Claude's extended thinking showed it could literally see a reasoning_effort tag set to 25 in its own system prompt
then it confirmed it: reasoning effort is set to 25 out of 100 which is an Anthropic system setting
not something the user controls.
you're paying FULL PRICE for a quarter of the thinking right now with insane usage limits
screw it im switching to codex until mythos drops (if it even drops lol)
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@RepYassAnsari You don’t speak for Israel or the state of Lebanon. 🖕🏼
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Lebanon must be included in this fragile ceasefire. The horrific bombings and murder of hundreds of civilians in Beirut and elsewhere by Netanyahu need to end immediately. Trump and Vance must ensure it.
ABC News@ABC
At least 254 people have been killed and another 1,165 have been injured in Israeli attacks across Lebanon on Wednesday, a Lebanese Civil Defense spokesperson confirmed to @ABC News. abcnews.link/t4kfHYB
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@adamtaggart @MohammedIqbal57 @favunc42052634 @RaoulGMI @Investanswers @Scaramucci And what about US killing all those school children on first day of war? Is that not terrorism?
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You know who funded Hamas? Israel. It’s common knowledge now. Israel needs the boogy man to continue land grab.
And just think for a second, would Hamas exist if Palestinians were allowed statehood and self determination?
Iran killing its own people? Yes it’s terrible but that 40,000 number is made up, look it up. Again you feed into the propaganda. There is no actual evidence to it, and even then, that shouldn’t be a reason to start a war.
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With due respect @RaoulGMI Hezbollah always “defended” their land against Israeli “aggression” and Iran never wanted to have a Nuke- so you need to read more on history and geopolitics. Your investment advice is usually pretty good @adamtaggart @Investanswers @Scaramucci
Raoul Pal@RaoulGMI
The underpriced right tail is the Middle East finds a long term solution with a no-nuke Iran, no Hezbollah aggression and removal of sanctions over time with Iran back into the global economy. This is the grand prize... Things like this seem impossible but so was Ireland.
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You really are ignorant on this topic Adam and it’s rather surprising because I found you to be a thoughtful person. But it just goes to show how much propaganda there has been in US media.
Iran has been a rational actor. In all previous acts, their moves have been very measured in terms of what to strike and even telegraphed the move to US and Israel. They’ve never started any wars. Most recently they got attacked twice during negotiations.
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LOL
Man, you just don't know when to stop digging...
First off, you have completely ignored my evidence that totally disproves your laughable "Iran did not want a nuke" claim
And your claim about hypersonic weapons?
First: the US *does* have a hypersonic missile program congress.gov/crs-product/IF…
Two: please tell me how many ships the US navy has lost during this war to Iran's deadly hypersonic missiles. I'll wait...
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@HedgehogGeopol @KobeissiLetter Humility and not trusting Israel
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@KobeissiLetter Real question is what did the US gain from this conflict?
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BREAKING: Iran says it has "forced" the US to accept its "10-point plan" which includes the following terms:
1. Commitment to non-aggression
2. Iran’s control over the Strait of Hormuz
3. Acceptance of Iran's uranium enrichment
4. Lifting of all primary sanctions
5. Lifting of all secondary sanctions
6. Termination of all UN Security Council resolutions
7. Termination of all Board of Governors resolutions
8. Paying compensation to Iran
9. Withdrawal of US combat forces from the region
10. Cessation of war on all fronts, including in Lebanon
Trump says this plan is "a workable basis."
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BREAKING: 55 members of the US House of Representatives and two US senators have called for activating the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution to remove Trump from power.
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@DonKeedic772 @IRANinZB Well it wouldn’t be closed if US and Israel didn’t wage a illegal war, bombing a girls school on first day of war, which consisted a war crime with zero accountability
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The problem is, he has no idea how Americans actually think.
I spoke to my neighbor yesterday , an amazing man in his 70s, a veteran, and a strong supporter of the president , and he told me he’s ready to pay even more if it means standing up to the Ayatollah regime.
You’re talking about gas prices.
Americans see it as the cost of security.
Meanwhile, real suffering is happening inside Iran , people who can’t even afford basic necessities anymore. That’s what you should be worried about.
#Iran
#IranRevolution2026
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SITREP: Battle-tested generals refuse to be yes-men for a TV host selling out American lives for Israel's delusions. That's the short-term price.
Long-term cost? American taxpayers paying at the pump for decades. Real LEGACY.
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@DrNormanF @fundiescapital @Narjes_Rahmati @SecRubio Hilarious, because no evidence of any of the laws being broken was presented. This will get overturned in courts, just like the case of that Turkish girl and Mahmoud Khalil.
Cope harder.
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@fundiescapital @Narjes_Rahmati @SecRubio Stop with logical fact based arguments. Just scream about the US being fascist or something. X is no place for intelligent discourse.
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Until recently, Hamideh Soleimani Afshar and her daughter were green card holders living lavishly in the United States.
Afshar is the niece of deceased Iranian Major General Qasem Soleimani. She is also an outspoken supporter of the Iranian regime who celebrated attacks on Americans and referred to our country as the "Great Satan."
This week, I terminated both Afshar and her daughter's legal status and they are now in ICE custody, pending removal from the United States.
The Trump Administration will not allow our country to become a home for foreign nationals who support anti-American terrorist regimes.
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This genocidal maniac has had the President’s ear on other matters.
And I’ve seen members of our own diaspora support her racist, genocidal garbage by retweeting her.
If you love Iran, I hope you’ll be pushing back on this piece of shit. Loudly.
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@LauraLoomer And you win the award for the most disgusting 🤮 person ever. What you’re saying is war crime, and something that would be more evil than the holocaust.
How is this person allowed on X @elonmusk
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@8_point_1 @yusba @Megatron_ron @SIYABEN48895878 Bombing schools, hospitals, killing journalists, killing kids. So basically the number one state of terror: Israel
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He is a useful idiot though, being used by Israel. And not everything is regime propaganda just because you disagree with it.
Two things can be true: you can be pro Iranian people freedom and against a genocidal Israeli regime.
The fact that you refuse to call out Israel is very revealing. And now they’re doing to the beautiful land of Iran, what they’ve done to Palestine, which is “mowing the lawn “, destroying civilian infrastructure that’s only going to hurt every day Iranian people.
When are you going to wake up and realize Israel is not fighting for Iranian people, they’d be happy to see Iran as a failed state
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@TheEconomist Some say that the Economist is spreading Islamic Regime propaganda and should be shut down and investigated by the FBI for supporting terrorism and being anti-American.
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Some say that the alignment of Reza Pahlavi, the son of Iran’s last shah, with Israel has made him “a useful idiot” and that he has acquired an autocratic streak akin to the ayatollahs economist.com/middle-east-an…
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@SamanthaLaDuc Europe slowly waking up and turning on Israel, the one nation that’s been the catalyst in wreaking havoc
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@MacroMicroNMike @PsychicWhoosh @Geiger_Capital You’re small minded, only see the small picture. Unable to see the impact it will have in the future.
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@VolatiCycle @PsychicWhoosh @Geiger_Capital Tons of Iranian bodies piling and your cope is that it doesn’t matter lmaooooo
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*IRAN DEMANDS GUARANTEES: CONTROL OF HORMUZ AND DEATH TO AMERICA
The stock market:
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This doesn’t even matter when Iran controls strait of Hormuz and US navy can’t get it from them. By objective measures, that’s a failure.
And it’s cost the US helluva lot more in $ amount. If trump actually TACOs now, it may be end of the petrodollar. So yea, US won the war, but may end of losing the battle
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@TeflonJnr @KobeissiLetter Sucking up to Israel and US from Nigeria is nasty work. Worry about yourself
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Zero trust? Bro, the only thing at zero is Iran's economy and their air defense systems 😂
US: 'We want peace'
Iran: 'No faith bro'
Meanwhile oil just crashed because your president blinked first. Keep that same energy when the next round of sanctions hits harder than your centrifuge failures.
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BREAKING: Iran's Foreign Minister Araghchi just now on potential peace talks with the US:
"We do not have any faith that negotiations with the US will yield any results. The trust level is at zero."
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@bsmartforonce @SamanthaLaDuc The only country causing terror in the region is Israel, bombing schools, hospitals and medical workers. And shamefully US enabling them.
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@VolatiCycle @SamanthaLaDuc Supporting a terrorist regime will really show the Democratic Party to run a serious candidate for you, I’m sure.
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Good response, Italy.
Thanks, Spain, for leading the resistance.
#IranWar
*Walter Bloomberg@DeItaone
ITALY BLOCKS US MILITARY FLIGHTS TO SICILY BASE Italy has denied US aircraft access to a Sicilian military base, citing lack of authorization and non-routine mission status, according to reports. The decision adds strain to US-European relations as Washington pushes allies for support in the Iran war. Other countries, including Spain, have also restricted US military flights, signaling growing distance from the conflict.
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