Frazier Thomas

@WanderCoventry @ianbremmer Except they weren't assessing impending genocide. They were assessing how to be invested given the surrounding macro on an investment network. I'm sure Sara is disgusted by Trump and this war.

@Windspiriteagle @ianbremmer Assessing a potential impending genocide through a financial lens is heartless and soulless.

polymarket in 12 seconds

@neoavatara You're paying far too much "attention to this matter." Hopefully the rest of us are too. 😉

This aged...poorly. Again, how is this possibly not TACO?

@mattyglesias Except that we are all now worse off. Things didn't go back to zero. The tactic and strategy failed.

The media still doesn’t get it but the master dealmaker just showed us a textbook “escalate to de-escalate” tactic where first you do something that makes everyone worse off, then you threaten something insane and monstrous, and finally you call it off having achieved nothing.

@neoavatara And the ceasefire doesn't seem to be adhered to at all by the other two parties. Seems like all we got out of TACO Tuesday was a semi-closed strait, new tariffs/higher gas/oil prices and a more radicalized Iran. I'm tired of so much winning.

So now they accept that it's real?

Let's see. Iran was earning $50 billion per year before the war from oil exports, and under a blanket of sanctions. Now its $100 billion per year sanctions free. Also, the $2 million per ship through Hormuz will generate up to a $90 billion per year of fee income under normal traffic. So what was $50 billion per year of dark money is potentially $150 billion of greenbacks and yuan. Looks like the mullahs have been reading "The Art of the Deal", too.

@sentdefender No exceptions *except Russia...

According to U.S. President Donald J. Trump, any nation supplying weapons to Iran will be immediately tariffed at 50%, saying that there will be no exemptions.

@AstorAaron That's a question Trump should be asking...but probably won't.

Is there an actual ceasefire or not? This isn't a case of info not yet reaching the front lines.

@TadEdge @wsteaks @nytimes Vance has no charisma. The MAGA base will not turn out for him even in the best-case scenario. If it is found out he's behind the leaks, Trump will destroy him. In any case, it's hard to see the GOP thriving in 2028 right now.

@Windspiriteagle @wsteaks @nytimes Both parts are likely a Vance leak. Trying to distance himself while keeping MAGA base for his 2028 run.

Appears only Vance told Trump Iran strikes were a “bad idea” in final Situation Room meeting, per @nytimes

Iran Deal By Obama: •Strait of Hormuz open for free •Iran limits Uranium enrichment •Iran agrees to make no nuclear weapons •Iran allows Int'l inspectors to ensure compliance •Inspectors confirm Iran's full compliance Iran Ceasefire By Trump: •Strait of Hormuz closed, only open for $2M Per Ship •Iran makes no guarantee of limit on uranium enrichment •Iran makes no guarantee of no nuclear weapons •Iran makes no guarantee to allow Int'l inspectors MAGA: Trump Playing 5D Chess! Art Of The Deal!!

@mdubowitz @EliLake This guy is a self-deluded idiot. Get out of FP. Iran is as isolated as it ever was. The country is now controlled by an even more radicalized IRGC. We now have expensive shipping tariffs and fewer ships getting through. Uranium remains. The military is only temporarily degraded

All of this leaves Iran’s battered regime in a difficult position. It has survived for now. But it’s never been poorer, weaker, or more isolated…Considering the alternatives, TACO Tuesday has never been sweeter, writes @elilake thefp.com/p/trumps-madma…

@mblcta1 @SethAMandel 💯 But "victory has a thousand fathers. Defeat is an orphan." No one will claim responsibility for their role in this colossal screw-up.

@Windspiriteagle @SethAMandel Every foreign leader who comes to the WH does so to advocate for the national interests of his/her country. None of them hold a gun to the head of the POTUS. Trump is responsible for his own decisions, and the American people are responsible for electing Trump to be their POTUS.

Read the NYT piece and even the anon leaks don't actually make it appear to be "Bibi's war" or whatever. Article says Trump wanted to do two things: decapitate the regime that tried to kill him and stomp their missiles. His CIA chief said doable. So he ordered it done.

@PhillipsPOBrien On the tolls: Trump sure loves tariffs....

It’s a total fold by Trump. Iran gets to charge tolls and develop nukes. And the Iranian regime stays in power. What a waste all this was.

The tariffers have become the tariffed. @nytimes go.bsky.app/redirect?u=htt…

@EWErickson The "mad-man" theory doesn't work if everyone knows you'll chicken out and thinks of you as a bumbling idiot with a short attention span and no ability to make or stick to a plan. The vast majority of ppl don't live in a MAGA bubble.

What's actually happening here is the President has embraced the "mad man" theory and is trying to convince the Iranians that he's willing to do whatever to wipe them out in hopes of getting a deal. The failure is that the President, like so many others, doesn't actually appreciate that the Iranians are mad men who live in a fundamentally religious world where they really do believe they are to wipe out Israel and their citizens are expendable. But no, this is not an unhinged President. It's a man playing a role as a negotiation tactic. Unfortunately, the President is going to be backed into a corner of extreme options by doing this, or be mocked for TACO again.

@GuntherEagleman Narrator voice: Iran is still lobbing missiles at SA and Israel. Ships are now taxed by Iran for passing thru the Strait of Hormuz. The strait was open before this and gas was half the price it is now. Iran still has its enriched uranium. There was no regime change in Iran.

JESSE WATTERS NAILS IT! “Trump just got Iran to cry uncle. They called him crazy for making threats, but guess what? The threats worked!” “The Strait is on its way to reopening, and Iran is promising to stop firing missiles and drones…”

@neoavatara I don't think Trump will be so eager to go along with Bibi anymore. This could strain relations between these two leaders/nations for the rest of Trump/MAGA's time in charge. I don't foresee Trump making a comeback in popularity from here on out.

I'm a neocon. I'm ok with going to war with Iran... If we have a goal and a plan. What's clear is Trump doesn't know what his goal is, and certainly has no plan. Especially with nukes. If Iran says no compromise on nukes (which is by far the most likely result), then what?

“This is the first time the NAACP has ever called for the 25th Amendment to be invoked.”