Rob O'Brien

@catholic_red @CJ6951877575726 @WarMonitor3 French Intel: Fellow NATO members. Our spies have discovered that Russia is far more powerful than we thought. Secretary Rutte: What do we need to do? Go to 6% GDP? French: We should surrender immediately. Rutte: But Putin hasn't declared war! French: But what if he does...

@CJ6951877575726 @WarMonitor3 Well, now let French intelligence take over. I’m sure it’s as good

Europe is urgently drawing up a fallback plan if the US pulls out of NATO European officials are pushing for a European dominated NATO designed to continue deterrence against Russia and with its own conventional and nuclear capabilities-WSJ

@MarinaMedvin That's because they are Ubiquity. They're ubiquitous. People would be like "Fuck you, Ubiquity, pretending you're ubiquitous and shit. You ain't even available in the largest country by area."

Did you know that Russians are using American tech Ubiquiti to communicate on the front lines? While Starlink is inaccessible in Russia, Ubiquiti is available. Concerning report —

@JMikeGilchrist @ClimateWarrior7 This is why people like Trump get elected. You're not wrong about Orban, but that has nothing to do with his point. Then you finish with the smug, condescending "Get it?", that makes anyone right-of-center want to punch you in the dick. Tons of "Trump votes" were an "FU" to libs

@ClimateWarrior7 Orban was Putin’s “mouse”, OK? Get it?

I lived in Hungary for several years under the Orbán dictatorship. The funny thing was, people could and did say whatever came into their heads, protests were held in front of the parliament, there was a gay cruise bar down the road and Orbán held elections. And yet, the country was a dictatorship. Whereas in the UK, people tend to be distinctly guarded and if they do say the wrong thing very publicly, they get locked up. And yet, it's a free country. Once you understand that words can mean whatever we want them to mean, it begins to make sense.

@BrianB5000 @Osint613 Fattah-2 is optimized to defeat anti-aircraft systems and hit stationary targets. It can change trajectory to avoid tracking/interception. Doing that + adjusting to hit a moving target w/o established coordinates requires use of the Force. Possible, but does Iran have any left?

@amishalc @Osint613 ...where they can be sunk by hypersonic antiship missiles.

3 carrier strike groups All assets still in theater Non stop resupply trains CENTCOM Chief coming to Israel Some call it a ceasefire. Carrier strike groups call it a reload pause.

@BrianB5000 @Osint613 Here's the difference: Germany went *around* the Maginot Line because it is stationary. A nice scenic drive through Belgium. Aircraft carriers let you bring your airplanes to a country 6k+ miles away in a totally different continent.

@Osint613 Aircraft carriers have been shown to be the 21st century Maginot Line. They don't dare get anywhere near Iran. Trump's hubris caused him to wade into a swamp that he cannot get through and his rampant narcissism will not permit him to turn around.

@DGK1285 @ItsDecado

Aragchi has always been suave, Western elite appealing wrapper on the odious and malignant cancer that is the #IRGC. JCPOA pretty boy almost presented at Davos in January, 2026 but the WEF revoked his invite at the last minute. Vance exposed Aragchi for what he is, a smooth regime apologist and war criminal. I imagine he and 84 of his traveling companions to Islamabad are not sleeping in their own beds tonight.

Araghchi is actually whining that Vance holding a press conference before leaving Pakistan was unnecessary. Let me translate. He means Vance ruined their media game. He means it stripped the regime of the hours they needed to spin a new hallucination to feed the people trapped inside this cage. Mr Araghchi, out there in the real world, that is called transparency. It is a concept your terror syndicate cannot comprehend. You survive on blackouts and fabricated realities. And your absolute obsession with deception is exactly what dragged this country into two different wars. Keep whining. You cannot spin your way out of this one Oraghchi.

@Based_AFSpect8r @BuzzPatterson So which one did you pick?

Why should I even care about anything other than that it makes our life worse? I get to pick between a party that sold itself to Israel and starts wars and another party that starts wars but wants to trans my kids. How did we get to a place this fucked up? So no. I don’t care at all what obscure benefit you might able to conjure up. I care about what’s in it for me, and the answer to that is NOTHING.

The US blockade does a few things. Among them: 1) it forces NATO to get off their ass. They need that gas. 2) US’s oil exports just got a huge bump. UN is strangled and so is Iran.

@gatorgar The same people: 1) Defund the police! They are killing people! 2) Trump is a fascist threat to democracy! He wants a third term! 3) ICE are Nazi stormtroopers! 4) People shouldn't have guns! Only a well-regulated (by the government) militia should have guns!

There sure are a lot of people who agree that government doesn’t work. Oddly enough, many of them advocate for using more government to fix that.

@gatorgar @Mybjjnotes If you like the first few QOTSA albums, then Kyuss' Welcome to Sky Valley is a must.

@Mybjjnotes I dig the first few Queens albums! Not scratching that itch though…

I’ve been skipping songs on Spotify shuffle for over an hour. Music is mostly bad. Very difficult to find a single tune worth listening to. What is YOUR favorite song of all time? (I apologize for doing a question post, but I mean it)

@TheAmer96874779 @iranidaturan @Everton4Life We need a pause to figure out who to target. Vahidi's the only one left of the IRSG top 8 - of the provincial commanders, most are dead/missing/replaced. Could the *real* negotiations be about personal retirement plans in Russia with Assad in return for Intel?

Was there a delay to defeat the Nazis?! No! There should be zero delay to take these maniacs out! The Iranian people know what they want and that is the end of the regime and a secular democracy in its place. Delaying this is fucking dangerous and they're expecting a shipment of sophisticated Chinese weapons. This embarrassment has to end!

A few key things to keep in mind about the upcoming regime’s negotiations in Pakistan: 1. The regime is falling apart from the inside, and this collapse is inevitable. It is like a building that has been eaten away by termites, extremely unstable and basically one step away from total breakdown. The reason US paused, was to manage the fall and consequences. Just as President Trump said, the only reason these crazy bastards are still alive today is so they can come and surrender. 2. According to IAEA reports, the regime still has around 440 kilograms of uranium enriched to 60 percent. The exact location and condition of this stockpile remain unknown. The regime's policy has long been to create ambiguity around it, so they could use any clarification as a bargaining chip to gain concessions. 3. If the regime collapses without any controlled transition, it could create total chaos and a dangerous power vacuum. Out of that mess, uncontrolled local terrorist groups could rise, factions that no one would be able to restrain. 4. Even after the heavy hits they have taken, with the US and Israel humiliating them, killing their leader in the very first seconds of the war, they are still lining up for negotiations. That tells you they still have something to lose. As long as that is the case, they can still be pressured to behave. 5. There is something much worse than a terrorist regime that still acts like a state: terrorists who have nothing left to lose. That is why it is critical to get this highly enriched uranium out of their hands while they are still somewhat controllable. Even now, this material can be used to make a dirty bomb or a crude nuclear device. If control is completely lost and this material falls into the hands of rogue terrorist groups, the consequences could be truly catastrophic. 6. I hope that in tomorrow’s negotiations, Vice President Vance and the team can force these terrorists to hand over the uranium with the least possible cost. The situation feels like dealing with a psychopath pointing a gun at a crowd of hostages. The main priority right now is to take that gun away from him, safely and quickly. President Trump’s made it clear that the number one goal is: no nuclear weapon. The President’s men are doing a great and important job, not only for America but also for the Iranian people. Dear @JDVance,@jaredkushner and @SEPeaceMissions we are rooting for your success in bringing these terrorists under control with the least possible cost. And by the way, keep @elonmusk’s famous reply to Khamenei in your toolbox, because it will probably come in very handy against their shameless demands: “زهی خیال باطل” (What a vain delusion). #ThankYouTrump‌ #MIGA

@KathyMicha42842 @RafaMorgan64 Sure they would. Stalin would've made them full-on socialist republics.

@RafaMorgan64 Were it not for the USA being the unpaid and unappreciated protector of Europe since 1945, European countries would have not been able to be the Welfare States they have been and are.

Americans are increasingly aware that the European Union isn't against them; it's against Trump. As soon as Trump is out of power, the European Union will open its doors as it always has. I don't know what the rest of the world will do; too many countries are already angry with the USA. Trump's legacy will be a huge cesspool of accusations and recriminations. Eighty years wasted.🇪🇺

@Zander_Assassin @RedWavePress *you're.

@RedWavePress I wish Trump wasn’t an embarrassing mess. Fake another assassination attempt while your at it

Reporter: What role is the military playing in escorting vessels through the Strait of Hormuz, and what does the president mean by the U.S. military hanging around? War Secretary Pete Hegseth: “We'll be hanging around. We're not going anywhere. We're going to make sure Iran complies with the ceasefire and then ultimately comes to the table and makes a deal.” “Our troops are prepared to defend, prepared to go on offense, prepared to restart at a moment's notice with whatever target package would be needed in order to ensure that Iran complies.” “Iran’s letting ships go through [the Strait of Hormuz].”

@Rozz74637537571 @Arash79634196 @m4h007 Iran isn't capable. Propaganda campaigns have convinced half of Americans and all of Europe that 15 deaths in a war is a BFD. By comparison, the Russians have been taking 800 casualties per sq mile gained so far this yr.

@Arash79634196 @m4h007 Agreed. He doesn't have the stomach for it. Especially now that he knows how capable Iran is he won't want to risk it. His presidency won't survive a pilot getting captured.

Trump wants out with a win, and Iran gave him one in its 10-point list, which was accepting the no nuclear weapons principle. Trump won’t take that and call it a win, because he will be attacked by Democrats and pundits for conceding Iran’s demands. The most likely outcome is that US will try more military means until it gives up because of consumer prices. At that point individual nation-states will make separate agreements with Iran on passage.

@icompassoftime @JohnSmithNew2 @MarioNawfal Not 1 or 2....but 4. You know that's not a very long time for geopolitical conflicts right?

@JohnSmithNew2 @MarioNawfal "How long before the other countries of the world take it back, by force" Well, that's the problem isn't it? Nobody wants to clean up America's mess by sacrificing own men and militray resources. By the way, Iran has held the Strait over 4 weeks now, not a week or two.

Iran is making it seem they’re ready to walk out from the Pakistan negotiations without a deal And they’re not lying, they control the Straits of Hormuz and are printing money! However, they also don’t want to get bombed again. Many of their leaders have been assassinated, and whether they admit it or not, they’re terrified of Trump’s unpredictability So yes, they’re comfortable walking out without a deal, but they cannot risk pushing their luck too far and ending up assassinated I don’t envy the position they’re in, terrifying to be up against both the U.S. and Mossad 💀

@MichaelRigg860 @DavisTodder @stengel More extreme? They rape women before hanging them from cranes so they can't go to heaven. How much more extreme can you get?

@DavisTodder @stengel The Iranian navy and Air Force were a threat? And we swapped out younger, more extreme, leaders in Iran for the older ones. How does any of that help?

You know what would be amazing if Vance and his team can negotiate an agreement where Iran doesn't enrich above 3.67% (far below weapons grade); gets rid of 98% of its stockpile of enriched uranium; has weekly inspections by the IAEA; keeps the straits open without charging anyone; and commits to all of this for at least ten years. Oh, yeah, that was the Obama Iran deal.

@TobbeG3 @DavisTodder @stengel "Death to America and Iran"? That's peak nihilism and political sadomasochism.

@DavisTodder @stengel What you will end up with is a more united country behind the Ayatollah and a new generation kids growing up chanting ”Death to America & Iran” & be even more determined to commit Terror! Exactly like the kids in Gaza will do! Those who survived the massacre I should point out!

@JeremyWittrock @KembreyNigel @Pro__Trading Because Trump made the stupid "tonight a civilization dies" comment & announced what we'd blow up. I think we needed the pause to figure out who's left,who's calling the shots & where they are. And whether any internal conflicts are emerging in the IRGC or with Artesh.

@KembreyNigel @Pro__Trading So, why are we negotiating right now with them? You can't have it both ways.

We have to acknowledge that President Trump is in a very difficult situation here. And it's not his fault he's the only politician who actually had the courage to do what needed to be done against Iran. But, now we can see why all those cowards before him didn't want to act. There are no easy solutions. He doesn't want boots on the ground six months before the midterms. But he also doesn't want to allow terrorists to control the Strait. So he's trying to figure out the best solution in a tough situation. President Trump did what he did because he wasn't gonna allow Iran to get a nuclear weapon to threaten the world. And I applaud him for that. This is a difficult situation and I think we have to give him some leeway here.

@PresidenttMusk @droguul @Pro__Trading I just paid $3.70 and Massachusetts hasn't touched its 24 cent gas tax. It really depends where you are.

@droguul @Pro__Trading Did your State Governor suspend your state gas tax? My bet is he/she did.

@apieck @Mark_Penn There are two miscalculations: 1) Thinking the rest of the world might have enough balls to travel international waters without paying a toll to a country w/o a navy or airforce. 2) Assuming that we'd know who to kill next once we ran through our list of leaders.

Iran manages now the Strait which is vital for most of the world's industry. The US underestimated the distributed and layered management system in Iran: the survival and strengthening of the system is what they care of, not that some at the top are killed. The failure to incorporate actions in the attack plan to keep the Strait open was another big miscalculation.

Iran’s upper hand? The press is at it again. Iran has the upper hand now. Iran will collect billions in tolls. Trump is backed into a corner. Iran has once again won and they will be even tougher now As they have at every turn they have systematically undermined America and pushed Iranian propaganda and it keeps getting worse. First, the Biden administration negotiated with Iran for 4 years and what did they get? Spit. And they effectively let Iran off the hook and Iran collected billions of dollars they used to build missiles and enrich Uranium. Today, they are coming to the table minus most of their leadership, without a Navy, without a functioning nuclear program, with no air defenses, their proxies in ruins, down 90 per cent in functioning missiles, shot down a single plane in 18,000 missions, are having to execute their own people and keep the internet off to prevent people from overthrowing them. And there is a huge armada circling them. Yup. They got us right where they wanted us. Our negotiators have no leverage at all. Because if you listen to mainstream media analysis they can send some drones to increase oil prices on a temporary basis until they face another round of devastation and new leadership. Reality is they are at the table because they had nowhere to go and they alienated all the neighboring countries and Trump has always made clear that like the symbol of America itself he holds olive branches in one hand and arrows in the other. If Iran does not realize this is not the Biden administration they are dealing with, these negotiations will be over fairly quickly and there will be another round of military action and we will see where they are then.

@LongDongUSA @PolyLacuna @WarMonitor3 You forgot to mention that it is now impossible to sink Iran's ships or shoot down their planes!

@PolyLacuna @WarMonitor3 “It was actually a good thing they killed our entire political, civil, and military class, such a blunder by the U.S. and Trump cuz he’s a Nazi, Free Palestine!” You’re a crack head

This ceasefire deal at the moment only looks to have benefited the regime in Iran…