

Gabe Orlanski
306 posts

@GOrlanski
PhD student @WisconsinCS | Intern @SnorkelAI & Prime Research Resident Former intern @replit / @magicailabs / @Google





That new LFM2.5-350M is super overtrained, right? And everyone was shocked about how far they pushed it? As it turns out, we have a brand new scaling law for that! 🧵 [1/n]





We expect agents to act like senior engineers, but most benchmarks still evaluate them like interns. Excited to introduce Senior SWE-Bench, an open-source and @harborframework-native benchmark that assesses agents as senior engineers on long-horizon tasks with realistically under-specified instructions. We expect agents to build real features going on just a quick Slack message, nothing like the super technical instructions most benchmarks provide. Senior SWE-Bench fixes that. Claude Opus 4.8 is the current leader at 24% high quality solves, but it took 117K tokens on average to get there. Claude Sonnet 5 looked like it was going to swoop in for the top spot, but we found it cheated on 26% of trials.






im not kidding i hate this guy sometimes

One of the most important and under appreciated trends in the world right now. 1. 100s of billions of dollars will soon be available to solve big problems (making the world resilient to ASI, ending factory farming, etc). 2. The projects and organizations which will turn billions of 2027/28 dollars into impact need to be started NOW. 3. We need really talented people to start and run and work for these new projects. What @nanransohoff calls general managers, who feel personally resposible for solving one of the world’s important problems. What is especially scarce are detailed visions about what making AI go well looks like. These will help inform what problems these new projects ought to work on.

Doubling the size and running more models has shown a quite interesting Pareto frontier for cost vs solve rate. The GPT family is dominant. Opus 4.7 marks a massive efficiency jump for Anthropic. And to my surprise, @cursor_ai's Composer-2 is a very cost-effective model.


Today, we’re releasing Continual Learning Bench 1.0: the first, realistic benchmark for measuring how AI systems can improve in online settings. Benchmarks today assume models are stateless. Each example is independent, and once a system finishes a task, it moves on as if nothing happened. But deployed AI systems should learn from experience. We tested 10+ frontier systems against novel, expert-validated tasks and find there’s still plenty of headroom for learning. (1/n)

@raw_works @OpenAICodexCli raymond stop, its already saturated :(

Today, we’re releasing Continual Learning Bench 1.0: the first, realistic benchmark for measuring how AI systems can improve in online settings. Benchmarks today assume models are stateless. Each example is independent, and once a system finishes a task, it moves on as if nothing happened. But deployed AI systems should learn from experience. We tested 10+ frontier systems against novel, expert-validated tasks and find there’s still plenty of headroom for learning. (1/n)




