Gabe Orlanski

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Gabe Orlanski

Gabe Orlanski

@GOrlanski

PhD student @WisconsinCS | Intern @SnorkelAI & Prime Research Resident Former intern @replit / @magicailabs / @Google

Katılım Ocak 2021
184 Takip Edilen511 Takipçiler
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Henry Kiss Ehrenberg
Henry Kiss Ehrenberg@henryehrenberg·
Grok 4.5 and GPT-5.6 Sol join the Pareto frontier on Senior SWE-bench, and there's a clear trend towards efficiency. GPT-5.6 Sol: Opus 4.8 perf @ 40% of the cost Grok 4.5: GPT-5.5 perf @ 25% of the cost Grok 4.5 climbed to #2 on senior-level bug solving but for just ~$1 / task
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Nicholas Roberts
Nicholas Roberts@nick11roberts·
Excited to share that Train-to-test (T^2) scaling was accepted to COLM! 🌉 We show that when you factor test-time scaling into pretraining scaling, extreme overtraining becomes compute optimal. Check out our paper below! 👇
Nicholas Roberts@nick11roberts

That new LFM2.5-350M is super overtrained, right? And everyone was shocked about how far they pushed it? As it turns out, we have a brand new scaling law for that! 🧵 [1/n]

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John Cooper
John Cooper@jfrcooper2·
Excited to be presenting an oral and poster at #ICML2026 about hybrid models and their capabilities! There have been many empirical results, but far too few theoretical ones explaining their expressivity. We show there are tasks with a separation! Come chat! Oral 6A, poster 4622.
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Henry Kiss Ehrenberg
Henry Kiss Ehrenberg@henryehrenberg·
Claude Fable 5 results are in! It's the new Senior SWE-bench leader at 27.9%, 3 pts above Opus 4.8 (the previous #1). Fable 5 excels at open-ended feature tasks, improving 35% over Opus 4.8. It's also more expensive: 8x more output tokens than GPT-5.5 on avg. And we observed some capability jumps that we didn't fully expect.
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Avi Trost✈️ ICML
Avi Trost✈️ ICML@atrost3122·
Nested models let you train a whole family of submodels at once. What if you could use them all at once, too? Block triangular weights enable this structure. It gives us token-adaptive routing, self-speculative decoding, and more. Introducing: Fully Nested Transformers (1/9)
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Tzu-Heng (Brian) Huang ✈️ ICML'26
LLM-as-a-judge is now everywhere for automated evaluation. But it can be slow, expensive, and opaque. What if we ask the judge for its rubric once, and execute that logic as a program? Introducing PAJAMA—a new hybrid evaluation system that pushes the LLM-judge Pareto frontier! 🚀
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Gabe Orlanski
Gabe Orlanski@GOrlanski·
An agent's poor taste is probably 95% of the issues I run into with agents. Senior SWE-Bench measures exactly this with realistic requests that give the agent the freedom to mess up. Was a lot of fun to be a part of. Worth reading @henryehrenberg's amazing work here!
Henry Kiss Ehrenberg@henryehrenberg

We expect agents to act like senior engineers, but most benchmarks still evaluate them like interns. Excited to introduce Senior SWE-Bench, an open-source and @harborframework-native benchmark that assesses agents as senior engineers on long-horizon tasks with realistically under-specified instructions. We expect agents to build real features going on just a quick Slack message, nothing like the super technical instructions most benchmarks provide. Senior SWE-Bench fixes that. Claude Opus 4.8 is the current leader at 24% high quality solves, but it took 117K tokens on average to get there. Claude Sonnet 5 looked like it was going to swoop in for the top spot, but we found it cheated on 26% of trials.

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Parth Asawa
Parth Asawa@pgasawa·
I'll be at ICML July 7th-10th, hit me up if you want to chat about continual learning, AI policy, etc! I’m giving an invited talk on evaluating continual learning at the CATS workshop on July 10th at 8AM KST and @aczhu1326 and I are presenting a poster on Advisor Models on July 8th at 10:30AM KST (Hall A #2107).
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Braden Hancock
Braden Hancock@bradenjhancock·
T minus one hour until openfrontier.ai — one room with the top 100 researchers driving AI progress in the open. The attendee list looks like a joke, because you couldn’t seriously expect that many icons to gather in one place. I’m excited for literally every segment, but the working sessions especially. Join us on the livestream!
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vincent sunn chen
vincent sunn chen@vincentsunnchen·
capability != learning new benchtalks with @pgasawa on continual learning, where we discuss teaching models to learn from experience, measuring learning ability, the bet on parametric models, and more 01:06 What is continual learning? 04:10 Why capability and learning are different 06:13 Why build a benchmark? 08:07 Continual Learning Bench launch and reception 09:13 Anthropic's Fable release and Continual Learning Bench 11:02 How to design tasks for continual learning 18:41 The gain metric 24:01 What good looks like on the leaderboard 29:13 Failure modes: why models can't update their beliefs 31:12 Parametric systems and future architectures 34:30 Open science and AI safety 45:42 Lightning round 49:08 How to contribute to Continual Learning Bench
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Gabe Orlanski
Gabe Orlanski@GOrlanski·
@zebassembly Making a pre commit tool that flags these is the only consistent way I have found. Even then it is hard to flag exactly these statically. There are cases where it makes sense to have a smallish function
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Braden Hancock
Braden Hancock@bradenjhancock·
Hard agree: we absolutely need more detailed visions of what AI going well for the species looks like and how to get the right funds to the right orgs fast enough to pull it off. Obviously I'm biased here, but @LaudeInstitute's recently launched Moonshots program (laude.org/moonshots) feels pretty relevant to this line of thinking. Philanthropically funded, technology focused, executed by former startup founders & operators and a Turing award winner, structured to be competitive/efficient, etc.
Dwarkesh Patel@dwarkesh_sp

One of the most important and under appreciated trends in the world right now. 1. 100s of billions of dollars will soon be available to solve big problems (making the world resilient to ASI, ending factory farming, etc). 2. The projects and organizations which will turn billions of 2027/28 dollars into impact need to be started NOW. 3. We need really talented people to start and run and work for these new projects. What @nanransohoff calls general managers, who feel personally resposible for solving one of the world’s important problems. What is especially scarce are detailed visions about what making AI go well looks like. These will help inform what problems these new projects ought to work on.

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Gabe Orlanski
Gabe Orlanski@GOrlanski·
@teortaxesTex It is really, really cost-effective. Very surprising, especially compared to the base Kimi K2.5. K2.6 def gets close in terms of capabilities, but Kimi's harness seems not to be as good x.com/GOrlanski/stat…
Gabe Orlanski@GOrlanski

Doubling the size and running more models has shown a quite interesting Pareto frontier for cost vs solve rate. The GPT family is dominant. Opus 4.7 marks a massive efficiency jump for Anthropic. And to my surprise, @cursor_ai's Composer-2 is a very cost-effective model.

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Teortaxes▶️ (DeepSeek 推特🐋铁粉 2023 – ∞)
> Composer 2 in Cursor CLI is cheapest at $0.07/task, followed by DeepSeek V4 Pro in Claude Code at $0.35/task and Kimi K2.6 in Claude Code at $0.76/task This is pretty weird. DS in Claude Code has garbage cache hit rate (in pi it's ≈100%), but anyway, Cursor is crazy efficient
Teortaxes▶️ (DeepSeek 推特🐋铁粉 2023 – ∞) tweet media
Artificial Analysis@ArtificialAnlys

Announcing the Artificial Analysis Coding Agent Index! Our new coding agent benchmarks measure how combinations of agent harnesses and models perform on 3 leading benchmarks, token usage, cost and more When developers use AI to code they’re choosing a model, but also pairing it with a specific harness. It makes sense to benchmark that combination to understand and compare performance. The Artificial Analysis Coding Agent Index includes 3 leading benchmarks that represent a broad spectrum of coding agent use: ➤ SWE-Bench-Pro-Hard-AA, 150 realistic coding tasks that frontier models struggle with, sampled from Scale AI’s SWE-Bench Pro ➤ Terminal-Bench v2, 84 agentic terminal tasks from the Laude Institute and that range from system administration and cryptography to machine learning. 5 tasks were filtered due to environment incompatibility ➤ SWE-Atlas-QnA, 124 technical questions developed by Scale AI about how code behaves, root causes of issues, and more, requiring agents to explore codebases and give text answers Analysis of results: ➤ Opus 4.7 and GPT-5.5 lead the Index: Opus 4.7 in Cursor CLI scores 61, followed closely by GPT-5.5 in Codex and Opus 4.7 in Claude Code at 60. GPT-5.5 in Cursor CLI follows at 58. ➤ Open weights models are competitive, but still trail the leaders: GLM-5.1 in Claude Code is the top open-weight result at 53, followed by Kimi K2.6 and DeepSeek V4 Pro in Claude Code at 50. These are strong results, but still meaningfully behind the top proprietary models. ➤ Gemini 3.1 Pro in Gemini CLI underperforms: Gemini 3.1 Pro in Gemini CLI scores 43, well below where Gemini 3.1 Pro sits on our Intelligence Index, highlighting that Gemini’s performance in Gemini CLI remains a relative weak spot for Google’s offering. ➤ Cost per task (API token pricing) varies >30x: Composer 2 in Cursor CLI is cheapest at $0.07/task, followed by DeepSeek V4 Pro in Claude Code at $0.35/task and Kimi K2.6 in Claude Code at $0.76/task. At the high end, GPT-5.5 in Codex costs $2.21/task, while GLM-5.1 in Claude Code costs $2.26/task. For both models this was contributed to by high token usage, and in GPT-5.5’s case by a relatively higher per token cost. ➤ Token usage varies >3x: GLM-5.1 in Claude Code uses the most tokens at 4.8M/task, followed by Kimi K2.6 at 3.7M/task and DeepSeek V4 Pro at 3.5M/task. GPT-5.5 in Codex uses 2.8M tokens/task, substantially more than Opus 4.7 in Claude Code at 1.7M/task. In GLM-5.1’s case, higher token usage, cost and execution time were partly driven by the model entering loops on some tasks. ➤ Cache hit rates remain high but vary materially: Cache hit rates range from 80% to 96% across combinations. Provider routing, harness prompt structure and cache behavior can materially change the economics of running the same model given cached inputs are typically <50% the API price of regular input tokens. ➤ Time per task varies >7x: Opus 4.7 in Claude Code is fastest at ~6 minutes/task, while Kimi K2.6 in Claude Code is slowest at ~40 minutes/task. This is contributed to by differences in average turns per task, token usage and API serving speed. Opus 4.7 had materially lower amount of turns to complete a task than all other models while Kimi K2.6 had the most. ➤ Cursor made real progress with Composer 2: Composer 2 in Cursor CLI scores 48, near the leading open-weight model results, while being the cheapest combination measured at $0.07/task. Cursor has stated Composer 2 is built from Kimi K2.5, showcasing they have made substantial post-training gains. This is just the start. We are planning to add additional agents (both harnesses and models). Let us know what you would like to see added next.

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Gabe Orlanski
Gabe Orlanski@GOrlanski·
@m_sirovatka caused by test cases for those methods and/or model's obsession w/ backwards compat. Removing test cases first or adding a lint-ish rule for these worked well in my uses
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Matej Sirovatka
Matej Sirovatka@m_sirovatka·
Whoever taught claude to write code like this deserves a capital punishment
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Gabe Orlanski
Gabe Orlanski@GOrlanski·
We are going to have more findings out soon on the impact of harnesses, how to steer agents toward better coding practice, and the works. So keep an eye out for those!
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