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97 posts

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@jev65013

Katılım Temmuz 2024
73 Takip Edilen2 Takipçiler
Robert A. Pape
Robert A. Pape@ProfessorPape·
Here’s the 10 point peace plan found “acceptable” by Trump now circulating. Huge strategic defeat for the US, biggest loss since Vietnam. Shows the surge of Iran as the emerging 4th center of world power.
Robert A. Pape tweet media
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J@jev65013·
@EliAfriatISR Ha ha ha ha ha ha. Free Palestine!
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Eli Afriat 🇮🇱
Eli Afriat 🇮🇱@EliAfriatISR·
The Strait of Hormuz was OPEN EVEN BEFORE THE WAR (and free). I didn't sit in a SHELTER FOR 40 DAYS AND NIGHTS TO OPEN THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ. What about the uranium? What about the ballistic missiles? What about the Iranian citizens who continue to be EXECUTED EVERY DAY?
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J@jev65013·
@DowdEdward He's insane. You're country is a joke. The Fourth Reich
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Our Own Nation
Our Own Nation@OurOwnNation·
Neither of these statements is true. Both sides are losing. The global economy will be the next victim, and then everyone will lose.
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Bennie and the jets
Bennie and the jets@NNNNNNMRN·
@JucheAffirmer A Russian or French soldier stranded behind enemy lines would call artillery on his own position before accepting the loss of 10 vehicles just to rescue him. The mutt brains can't grasp the idea of self sacrifice.
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Greta Thunberg Respecter 40K 🇸🇪🇵🇸🚀🇰🇵
Europeans believe that it is right and proper for Europeans to sacrifice their lives to achieve tactical and/or operational objectives, and that it is wrong for the individual to selfishly put his own life before that of his Nation. You, however, are just a retarded zogcow.
MJ@Real_Politik101

europoors are just spiritually dead. A walking corpse. Just think about how they’d treat their own citizens with this mindset. They don’t put much value in human life, which explains why Europe lacks the willpower to survive as a civilization. They don’t want to live.

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J@jev65013·
@TMTLongShort Let's re-visit this tweet after the ground invasion massacre
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Just Another Pod Guy
Just Another Pod Guy@TMTLongShort·
If this is the lengths we will go to in order to rescue a single American soldier what kind of lengths should we go to in order to ensure China can’t continue to build its military with the express intent of targeting American sailors defending Taiwan. What about the 100s of thousands who have died from fentanyl. If the risk is the SPX goes down so be it. If the risk is Europe de-industrializes so be it. Every American life is precious. Don’t let the demoralized and defeated outsiders convince you otherwise. 🫡
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J@jev65013·
@TMTLongShort Yes, blindly support the imperial wars because they will benefit your grandkids. Absolutely psychotic levels of amorality here
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Just Another Pod Guy
Just Another Pod Guy@TMTLongShort·
I have no problem with the Canadians and Europeans in my comments scolding me when I talk about decoupling. I have a serious issue with the Americans who are rooting for Trump to fail simply because they don’t like his politics despite the obvious negative repercussions losing hegemony will have on our collective children and grandchildren. We are in the shit. Suck it up and vote him out at the polls. Until then STFU if the best you can do is publicly hope that Iran turns into a dumpster fire for our military or that France further undermines our leverage over Europe. If this is too much to ask you don’t deserve to benefit from the fruits of the hard men of the prior century who tirelessly worked to fortify the dominance and lifestyle you currently enjoy.
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J@jev65013·
@KenRoth Israel has destroyed the very concept of 'war crimes'. Get outta here with that BS
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Kenneth Roth
Kenneth Roth@KenRoth·
Iran attacked refineries, oil tankers, storage sites and other energy infrastructure across the region, while Israel hit similar sites in Iran. Targeting energy infrastructure is a war crime. War crimes by one side never justify war crimes by the other. trib.al/Ab1bNcB
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J@jev65013·
@shahambrbo @mb_ghalibaf You killed a old man and his grandchildren. What a powerful country!
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محمدباقر قالیباف | MB Ghalibaf
After defeating Iran 37 times in a row, this brilliant no-strategy war they started has now been downgraded from “regime change” to “Hey! Can anyone find our pilots? Please?🥺” Wow. What incredible progress. Absolute geniuses.
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J@jev65013·
@DrJStrategy The idea that the US could just go in and 'take' the strait back is laughable. The fact that people still buy into the myth of the invincibility of the US military after this war is incredible to me. Trump thought that this war would last a weekend and is now screwed
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James E. Thorne
James E. Thorne@DrJStrategy·
Food for thought. Trump, Hormuz and the End of the Free Ride For half a century, Western strategists have known that the Strait of Hormuz is the acute point where energy, sea power and political will intersect. That knowledge is not in dispute. What is new in this war with Iran is that the United States, under Donald Trump, has chosen not to rush to “solve” the problem. In Hegelian terms, he is refusing an easy synthesis in order to force the underlying contradiction to the surface. The old thesis was simple: the US guarantees open sea lanes in the Gulf, and everyone else structures their economies and politics around that free insurance. Europe and the UK embraced ambitious green policies, ran down hard‑power capabilities and lectured Washington on multilateral virtue, secure in the assumption that American carriers would always appear off Hormuz. The political class behaved as if the American security guarantee were a law of nature, not a contingent choice. Their conduct today is closer to Chamberlain than Churchill: temporising, issuing statements, hoping the storm will pass without a fundamental reordering of their responsibilities. Trump’s antithesis is to withhold the automatic guarantee at the moment of maximum stress. Militarily, the US can break Iran’s residual ability to contest the Strait; that is not the binding constraint. The point is to delay that act. By allowing a closure or semi‑closure to bite, Trump ensures that the immediate pain is concentrated in exactly the jurisdictions that have most conspicuously free‑ridden on US power: the EU and the UK. Their industries, consumers and energy‑transition assumptions are exposed. In that context, his reported blunt message to European and British leaders, you need the oil out of the Strait more than we do; why don’t you go and take it? Is not a throwaway line. It is the verbalisation of the antithesis. It openly reverses the traditional presumption that America will carry the burden while its allies emote from the sidelines. In this dialectic, the prize is not simply the reopening of a chokepoint. The prize is a reordered system in which the United States effectively arbitrages and controls the global flow of oil. A world in which US‑aligned production in the Americas plus a discretionary capability to secure,or not secure, Hormuz places Washington at the centre of the hydrocarbon chessboard. For that strategic end, a rapid restoration of the old status quo would be counterproductive. A quick, surgical “fix” of Hormuz would short‑circuit the dialectic. If Trump rapidly crushed Iran’s remaining coastal capabilities, swept the mines and escorted tankers back through the Strait, Europe and the UK would heave a sigh of relief and return to business as usual: underfunded militaries, maximalist green posturing and performative disdain for US power, all underwritten by that same power. The contradiction between their dependence and their posture would remain latent. By declining to supply the synthesis on demand, and by explicitly telling London and Brussels to “go and take it” themselves, Trump forces a reckoning. European and British leaders must confront the fact that their energy systems, their industrial bases and their geopolitical sermons all rest on an American hard‑power foundation they neither finance nor politically respect. The longer the contradiction is allowed to unfold, the stronger the eventual synthesis can be: a new order in which access to secure flows, Hormuz, Venezuela and beyond, is explicitly conditional on real contributions, not assumed as a right. In that sense, the delay in “taking” the Strait, and the challenge issued to US allies to do it themselves, is not indecision. It is the negative moment Hegel insisted was necessary for history to move. Only by withholding the old guarantee, and by saying so out loud to those who depended on it, can Trump hope to end the free ride.
James E. Thorne tweet media
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Barry Sharp
Barry Sharp@BarryESharp·
George Galloway, your claim that NATO's 1999 campaign in Yugoslavia "paved the way" for endless Western imperialism, now supposedly repeating in the US-Israel strikes on Iran, is the same narrative inversion you've trafficked in for decades. The facts are clear and they demolish your version of history. In 1998-99, Slobodan Milosevic's regime ran Operation Horseshoe: a documented ethnic-cleansing operation in Kosovo that killed thousands of ethnic Albanians, raped civilians, and drove nearly 850,000 people into exile. UN reports, ICTY indictments, and Human Rights Watch records laid it out in black and white. NATO's 78-day air campaign was launched after Rambouillet talks collapsed; it targeted military command centers, supply lines, and dual-use infrastructure, including bridges used to move Serb troops and armor, precisely to stop the atrocities and prevent wider Balkan war. That was not "dismemberment for imperialism." It was deterrence against a butcher who had already carved up Bosnia. Contrast that with Iran in 2026. On February 28, the regime crossed every red line: near-weapons-grade uranium enrichment, JCPOA violations, and an imminent breakout window measured in months. Operation Epic Fury was not unprovoked aggression. It was precision self-defense. US and Israeli strikes hit over 1,700 targets: nuclear facilities at Natanz, Isfahan, and Fordow; missile production sites; IRGC command nodes; and naval assets at Bandar Abbas. Leadership decapitation removed Khamenei and senior IRGC commanders. Independent assessments from IAEA and CENTCOM confirm Iran's nuclear breakout timeline was reset by more than 21 months. The Tehran-Karaj B1 highway bridge was struck because it served military logistics for missile transport and IRGC movement, exactly the dual-use calculus NATO applied in 1999. Your selective outrage ignores Iran's actual record: shooting down PS752 in January 2020 and killing 57 Canadians; arming Hamas, Hezbollah, and the Houthis to attack civilians and global shipping; supplying Shahed drones to Russia for the Ukraine slaughter; and fueling the Sudan civil war with weapons that prolong famine and chaos. When Iran retaliates by mining or harassing the Strait of Hormuz, 20 percent of global oil flow, Canadian gas prices spike. That is the direct cost of CRINK aggression, not Western "imperialism." Your larger project, Galloway, is not principled anti-imperialism. It is Lord Haw Haw propaganda for the 21st century. You have spent your career on RT and PressTV platforms, defending Saddam Hussein, inverting victim and aggressor in Syria and Ukraine, and now cheerleading the theocrats who arm terrorists and threaten energy lifelines. You are determined to erode Western resolve, weaken public support for deterrence, and hand strategic victories to the CRINK axis, China, Russia, Iran, and North Korea, coordinated revisionist powers working to dismantle the rules-based order that keeps Canadians safe and prosperous. Here at home your worldview makes our self-inflicted vulnerabilities worse. Net-zero ideology, Bill C-69 regulatory sabotage, and UNDRIP implementation have stalled over $670 billion in energy projects. Canada sits on the world's third-largest oil reserves yet imports 40 percent of its crude while Alberta sends $285 billion-plus in equalization transfers to the rest of the country. When Hormuz chokes or CRINK proxies escalate, we pay first, because Ottawa chose Davos virtue-signaling over energy abundance and sovereignty. The pattern is not "Western imperialism forever." It is repeated aggression by authoritarian regimes met, eventually, by necessary force. Your anti-imperialist pose is the fig leaf that enables the real imperialists in Beijing, Moscow, Tehran, and Pyongyang. Evidence over excuses. Precision over propaganda. Citizens first. Canada First.
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George Galloway
George Galloway@georgegalloway·
This all began with Yugoslavia. I said at the time the dismemberment of the former Yugoslav state and then of Serbia would pave the way for imperialist war after war. And so it did. And would until it was stopped. And so it now is being in Iran. #Yugoslavia #Serbia #Iran
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Chris B
Chris B@WXvet20_20·
@DeItaone Am sure we aren't surprised and have a few very nice surprises in store for them. Target list already approved! Kill the Houthis, opens up another shipping lane!
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AFactIsBetterThanAnIdeal
AFactIsBetterThanAnIdeal@leathers_d39971·
@TheMichaelEvery We may be witnessing the first war won with tweets and air power with out infantry. We could lose in so many ways, but there has never been any possibility that Iran wins.
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Michael Every
Michael Every@TheMichaelEvery·
To summarise, we are edging towards a true global energy emergency… and yet two Trump tweets within 48 hours threatening and then removing the threat of a massive escalation vs Iran are going to see markets *rally* today, most likely.
GIF
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J@jev65013·
@IsraeliPM The devil himself is concerned about 'international law' all of a sudden
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Prime Minister of Israel
Prime Minister of Israel@IsraeliPM·
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, today, at the site of the missile hit in Dimona: “If anyone needed an explanation of why Iran is the enemy of civilization, and the enemy and the danger to the entire world. You got it in the last 48 hours. gov.il/en/pages/event…
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Collingwood 🇬🇧
Collingwood 🇬🇧@admcollingwood·
Cascade effects are now starting to ripple through the global economy. Markets have underpriced the impact so far. They assume a short conflict (measured in days), but it is far from given that the distributions will end then, and they are already having a significant effect.
Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡@shanaka86

BREAKING: China just ordered Sinopec and PetroChina to stop exporting diesel and gasoline. Not slow them down. Stop. Beijing looked at the Strait of Hormuz, looked at its fuel stockpiles, and made a decision: nothing leaves. Every barrel refined in China stays in China until further notice. Half of China’s crude imports transit the Strait of Hormuz. 30% of its LNG comes through the same chokepoint. With 85% of maritime traffic in the Gulf already halted, China is not waiting to find out how long this lasts. It is hoarding now, while it still has something to hoard. This is the moment the Iran war stops being a Middle East story. When the world’s largest manufacturer, the engine of global supply chains, the factory floor for everything from semiconductors to solar panels to the clothes on your back, begins rationing fuel, the economic shockwave does not stay in the Gulf. It arrives in every container port, every logistics hub, every retailer, every consumer price index on earth within six to eight weeks. Here is the number that should stop everyone cold. Chinese refiners reckon they have about 10 days of buffer before domestic operations become genuinely constrained. If Hormuz remains closed past that window, within two months China faces real supply problems. Two months of China running at reduced industrial capacity is not an energy market event. It is a global recession event. The market is pricing an oil supply shock. It has not begun pricing what happens to global manufacturing when the world’s largest buyer of commodities goes into fuel conservation mode with no confirmed reopening date on the horizon. Those are not the same shock. The second one is significantly larger. open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…

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J@jev65013·
@yarotrof @WSJ 'Thinks' it's winning. Cope levels are off the charts at this point. They are winning.
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Yaroslav Trofimov
Yaroslav Trofimov@yarotrof·
Iran thinks it’s winning — and wants a steep price from the U.S. and the Gulf to agree to an end of the war. This may be a severe miscalculation. My analysis in @WSJ today. wsj.com/world/middle-e…
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