Top Tip Tom

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Top Tip Tom

Top Tip Tom

@toptiptom

Fuck Uni, Watch YT ☄️

Katılım Ekim 2020
389 Takip Edilen102 Takipçiler
Walter Piecyk
Walter Piecyk@WaltLightShed·
81k miles, clean and still in good shape.
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Walter Piecyk
Walter Piecyk@WaltLightShed·
Good context from @Waymo showing the car at stoplight. Also no pressing buttons to open door or waiting for me to buckle to drive. A+
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Top Tip Tom
Top Tip Tom@toptiptom·
@Jason Uber will be fine but maybe another 5 years of sideways trading with all the turmoil. They will have 50% robotaxi market share and pivot to renting out humanoid robots too
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@jason
@jason@Jason·
Uber is going to be bought by Google/Waymo, Amazon or Tesla/SpaceX in the next year. For a “buy it now” price of $250b, one of those three companies gets a $12b a year free cash flow machine with $70b in revenue — and hundreds of millions of global customers This is the most obvious M&A deal since Instagram, Android and YouTube transformed Meta and Google Discuss
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Reuters
Reuters@Reuters·
A Croatian company is launching what it says is Europe’s first self-driving taxi service, Robotaxi. The service, operated by Verne, started last month with 10 self-driving vehicles covering a 90-square-kilometer area in the Croatian capital, Zagreb
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Top Tip Tom
Top Tip Tom@toptiptom·
@nerdalert @TeslaBoomerMama @bradsferguson Completely agree all Alexandra, cern and Herbert have shown over the last couple of months is that they have zero critical thinking and just go along with whatever Elon wants. Saying Tesla is worth $10T and trying to get us to sell at $2T. They are clowns, zero introspection.
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Matt Smith
Matt Smith@nerdalert·
There's probably no topic I hate more than Tesla Twitterverse drama, but I have been a bit triggered by the disagreements between @TeslaBoomerMama and @bradsferguson recently. Here's my unedited take.
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Top Tip Tom
Top Tip Tom@toptiptom·
@Geo_Pelton @grok @TheEVuniverse @ryanwang Yes I think they are just using the 4680s in fremont pilot. 2170 Batteries for model 3/y need to be shipped from Reno to free money and have an empty load going back to Reno. So now they fill them with 4680 from the freemont pilot
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George Pelton
George Pelton@Geo_Pelton·
That Electrek article is not a primary source. I suspect the author is confusing cell production with pack production. Is there anything posted directly by Tesla or said by Tesla execs in public? Failing that, any info from suppliers of cell manufacturing equipment or cell component suppliers?
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Gali
Gali@Gfilche·
If @Tesla & @SpaceX merge, there will be a very intense shareholder vote to get this approved Here's my 2 cents & how I'm voting. Yes. Whatever Elon & management say is fair, is a yes from me. Why? Tesla & SpaceX are valued at roughly $1.5T & $1.75T respectively. If SpaceX buys Tesla (makes sense because of Elon's dual voting class shares), maybe they do it a ~20% premium to $1.5T and make it a 50/50 merger of equals. Tesla shareholders will complain about not getting compensated for @robotaxi success, @Tesla_Optimus, etc ... But the truth is, both companies are very similar in size with parrelel upside trajectories. Additionally, they are joined at the hip with Elon leading them both and the Terafab project. Tesla is a ~$100B revenue run-rate, barely growing, valued at nearly 20X sales in this merger... extremely high for a low gross margin company. Giving $TSLA arguably ~$1T of value based on future product lines that aren't material yet SpaceX is a $25B revenue run-rate company with @Starlink already 0 to 1 poised to hit a $30-40B revenue run-rate in the next 18 months. With MUCH HIGHER profitability than Tesla's current business. That means even thought Tesla has 4X the revenue of SpaceX, it's profitability is actually equal in size. When I look at the intrinsic earnings power ($15B of operating cashflow/yr) of Tesla & SpaceX they are actually very similar. With each of them spending all their operating cash flow and more on CAPEX for future projects (including @Xai in SpaceX). Each getting a very aggressive valuation based on future growth prospects. It's almost impossible to predict how the earnings/cashflow will evolve. Especially because a lot of it depends on accounting and how the Terafab/Optimi in Space is structured. Long story short, it's very complicated, and millions of hot take articles will be written about it ... but all in all, a merger of equals, or roughly that, looks fair to me. Another kicker to consider and why I'm voting yes. I trust Elon to do right by shareholders. $TSLA is up 34,687% since it's 2010 IPO, not bad. Tesla has a management team with a track record of making crazy ambitious goals and executing. They're vision for an intergalactic future gets even grander as a combined entity with SpaceX. Let them cook. Full disclaimer I'm a $TSLA & SpaceX investor.
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Top Tip Tom
Top Tip Tom@toptiptom·
@TheWiseIC Agree outside USA. People will only have 2 apps. 3 max
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The Wise Investor 🧠
The Wise Investor 🧠@TheWiseIC·
Americans have a tough time comprehending this. Autonomy has been solved by many non-American companies. This is why $UBER wins. Let everyone fight for the rider on one platform. No one is downloading 100 apps to try each car. Consolidation is necessary. Uber is the answer.
ApoStructura@ApoStructura

It seems we have a collective blind spot when it comes to Chinese tech, for example self driving cars: It’s not just Waymo vs Tesla. Apollo, Pony, and WeRide are huge and already doing paid ride hailing at scale in China. I tried Pony and it drove like a Waymo, flawless.

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🇩🇪EV, Engineering & Life🇨🇳
I just had a test drive with the AVATR 06T and here is my honest opinion on its Huawei ADS 4.0 system: Spoiler: I’m pretty negatively surprised!
🇩🇪EV, Engineering & Life🇨🇳 tweet media🇩🇪EV, Engineering & Life🇨🇳 tweet media🇩🇪EV, Engineering & Life🇨🇳 tweet media
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Top Tip Tom
Top Tip Tom@toptiptom·
@CernBasher @CashMoneyLemon All Tesla influencers lost all credibility trying to tell us to sell our shares for cheap when they are the ones saying Tesla is worth 5x. No morals
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Nick's Lemonade Stand
Nick's Lemonade Stand@CashMoneyLemon·
Apparently smart people can't tell the difference 🤷 Streaming disrupts Blockbuster's physical stores Terafab & space data centers do not disrupt $TSLA
Cern Basher@CernBasher

Blockbuster & Tesla -- The Success Trap Blockbuster shareholders, circa 2000: “We want our CEO to stay focused on executing the plan we already approved. The goal is simple: a video rental store on every street corner. That is what shareholders voted for. That is what management must deliver. We do not want our CEO getting distracted by this unproven DVD-by-mail nonsense. And we certainly do not want him wasting time on some reckless fantasy called ‘streaming video.’ Streaming? Over the internet? Please. We are a VHS rental company. Our shelves are full. Our blue-and-yellow signs are iconic. We need more late fee revenue. The model works. Before we even discuss these speculative new ideas, management needs to prove it can hit the targets already laid out in the compensation plan. We have waited too long for a return on our investment. The CEO must focus. Just execute on the model!” Tesla shareholders, circa 2026: “We want our CEO to stay focused on executing the plan we just approved. The goals are simple: 20 million cars, 10 million FSD subscriptions, 1 million Robotaxis, and 1 million humanoid robots. That is what shareholders voted for. That is what management must deliver. We do not want our CEO getting distracted by this unproven Terafab concept. And we certainly do not want him wasting time on some reckless fantasy about 100 terawatts of compute, orbital data centers, or building civilization-scale AI infrastructure. We are an electric car company. Yes, and hopefully soon, a robotaxi company. Perhaps someday a humanoid robot company. But let’s not get carried away. Before we even discuss these speculative new ideas, management needs to prove it can hit the targets already laid out in the 2025 compensation plan. We have waited too long for a return on our investment. The CEO must focus.” Note 1: Blockbuster peaked in 2004 with over 9,000 stores globally and 84,000 employees. The company made roughly $800 million annually in late fees alone. In 2010 they filed for bankruptcy. Note 2: Tesla is not Blockbuster, but it faces the same "Success Trap": the moment a disruptor’s shareholders value the safety of a proven roadmap over the volatility of the next frontier, they inadvertently begin voting for the company's eventual irrelevance.

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Top Tip Tom
Top Tip Tom@toptiptom·
@CernBasher @poshimoto @WR4NYGov 10% chance the spacex merger happens in the next 2 years. Too complicated too many parties involved and nobody wants the merger. People want to be able to purchase shares of each company
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Cern Basher
Cern Basher@CernBasher·
Tesla's value is overwhelmingly Elon-centric - it's not a generic bundle of assets. What would the value of Tesla be if Google purchased the company and Elon was no longer driving the business forward? Elon has spent years pushing for more voting control at Tesla precisely because he doesn’t want to be subordinate to another entity’s priorities. He bought Twitter/X for control reasons. The SpaceX-Tesla merger discussion is about consolidating his control across companies, not shopping Tesla to the highest bidder. Elon doesn’t get “sold” on ceding his life’s work.
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Top Tip Tom
Top Tip Tom@toptiptom·
@CernBasher @poshimoto @WR4NYGov Completely false Google want to acquire, the best humanoid and robotaxi company in the world. Sure if Elon left the stock would drop 30% but he wouldn’t get his 10% comp package so net loss to TSLA shareholders is 20% and Google might pay 20% more so net net equal
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xciteseeker
xciteseeker@xciteseeker·
@toptiptom @AFP No, it's a Rimac designed car with Chinese software. I have been following Rimac for over a decade and also this who Verne story.
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AFP News Agency
AFP News Agency@AFP·
🇭🇷 🚕 Europe's first commercial robotaxi service rolls out in Croatia A Croatian company has been rolling out what it says is Europe's first robotaxi service on the streets of Zagreb.
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xciteseeker
xciteseeker@xciteseeker·
@toptiptom @AFP It's Verne, major stake holder Rimac group. They are using Pony AI software.
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Top Tip Tom
Top Tip Tom@toptiptom·
@TeslaBoomerMama @DoctorJack16 Not a great argument, 80% of spacex share holds don’t want it as they can already own TSLA and 80% of institutional and retail TSLA shareholders don’t want it either. See Tesla $2bn investment in xai vote
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