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Why i believe $BTC is nearing a decade long range stuck between $70k and $140k. $MSTR $ETH This thread will be updated as information comes in:
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illAlien Trader
6.4K posts
illAlien Trader
@illAlienTrader
Fix the💰Fix the 🌎. Trading $VIX $SPX $GC $BTC since 2018. Spend most of my time in charts & spreadsheets looking for trends. Quite bullish & bearish. 📊📉📈🤑
California, USA เข้าร่วม Aralık 2015
182 กำลังติดตาม351 ผู้ติดตาม
illAlien Trader รีทวีตแล้ว
🇮🇷 Bad day for the USAF
Today's reported incidents:
🔸F-15E (48th Fighter Wing) — Shot down in southwestern Iran. Pilot rescued; WSO still missing.
🔸A-10C Thunderbolt II — Shot down and crashed into the Persian Gulf. Pilot reportedly recovered.
🔸HH-60G Pave Hawk — Hit during CSAR mission and crash-landed across the border in Iraq. Crew reportedly rescued.
Other incidents:
🔸KC-135R Stratotanker — Emergency squawk 7700 around 10:00 UTC near Tel Aviv.
🔸F-16CJ "Wild Weasel" (F-16C Block 50/52, SEAD configuration) — Emergency squawk 7700 over Saudi Arabia near the Iraqi border around 15:00 UTC; later disappeared from FlightRadar.
🔸KC-135R Stratotanker — Emergency squawk 7700 around 19:00 UTC near Tel Aviv.
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Summary of damage to US aircraft today:
1. An F-15 fighter jet was hit by Iranian air defense fire. The pilot survived, while the search for the co-pilot is still ongoing.
2. An A-10 fighter jet crashed in the Persian Gulf and the pilot was rescued safely.
3. A Black Hawk helicopter was hit by Iranian fire during a search operation for the crew of the F-15 plane in Iran.
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A USAF A-10 Warthog crashed near the Strait of Hormuz earlier today -US officials to the NYT
The pilot was safely rescued.
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illAlien Trader รีทวีตแล้ว
@ApexMetal @Merridew__ 100% They are not that different from each other.
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@Merridew__ i agree with you but have little faith the dems will do anything. they're so weak and ineffective. so scard to do anything
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They’ll hold a meeting, realize they can’t open it if the US couldn’t, & then just agree to pay Iran in CNY…
…and the easiest/only way to secure CNY is by buying physical gold in USD and selling that gold to China in CNY.
People selling gold today are likely to be sorry.
Joumanna Nasr Bercetche@JoumannaTV
Strait of Hormuz global re-opening updates 🔹G7 countries and GCC countries will hold a meeting next week to discuss the situation in the Strait of Hormuz per France's Foreign Ministry spokesman 🔹The UK chaired a virtual meeting of around 35 nations to discuss restoring freedom of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz, initially focusing on diplomatic efforts but potentially considering economic sanctions and military options once the current conflict ends. UK foreign secretary Yvette Cooper said the focus would be on de-mining or reassurance 🔹 French President Emmanuel Macron said it would be “unrealistic” to try to reopen the Strait of Hormuz through military means 🔹 The UAE invoked Chapter 7 at UN and called on the Security Council to authorize a range of measures, including force, to reopen the Strait 🔹 UN’s Guterres emphasised that “freedom of navigation must be upheld” and that they were “sending envoy to the region for freedom of navigation”
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JUST IN: 🇷🇺🇺🇸 Russia says the United States is unable to reopen the Strait of Hormuz despite its military power.
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@SultanYavar @Pataramesh @Achilesstands No country in the world can fight the US vis-a-vis while the US spends $900 bil on their military. Vis a vis is not the only way to fight a war (i.e the Taliban). Again, Iran is fighting a war of attrition and their control of SOH is a big win.
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@illAlienTrader @Pataramesh @Achilesstands None of these goals are vis-a-vis Israel. All these goals are US centric. C'mon...
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@Pataramesh will now explain why
50 missile hits >> 16,000 bombs
And how everything is according to plan
Mossad Commentary@MOSSADil
🎯IDF: The Israeli Air Force says it has dropped over 16,000 bombs on Iran since the start of the war, conducting more than 800 waves of strikes as part of its ongoing air campaign. According to the IDF, the campaign has involved over 10,000 individual strikes on approximately 4,000 targets, reflecting a sustained effort to systematically degrade Iran’s military infrastructure, including missile systems, air defenses, and weapons production facilities Follow @MOSSADil for real-time updates.
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@Achilesstands @SultanYavar @Pataramesh True the US military can bomb Iran to hell and say they won the war.
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@illAlienTrader @SultanYavar @Pataramesh It’s easy to say you win the war when you set the bar at the floor
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@SultanYavar @Pataramesh @Achilesstands So has the US completed the following goals:
1. Extract Iran uranium?
2. Open the SOH (which was open before the war)?
3. Liberate Iran from the regime?
4. Destroy 100% of IRGC missles?
5. Destroy 100% of IRGC drones?
1-5 are not 100% complete.
Which goals are 100% fullfilled?
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@SultanYavar @Pataramesh @Achilesstands Iran goals:
1. Control SOH. ✔️
2. Disrupt local economies. ✔️
3. Destroy local radars and comunicatiion systems. ✔️
4. Force USA base closures. Getting there.
5. And more importantly. Survive ✔️
Iran did not have to make their goals clear because they are defending themselves.
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@SultanYavar @Pataramesh @Achilesstands War isnt a hollywood film. As much as we'd like Iran to 'gaza' Isreal, this is a war of attrition. Iran gaining control of SOH is a huge win on its own. Again, a war of attrition is on Irans side.
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@Pataramesh @Achilesstands What are those goals, tho?
No proportional response in terms of death and destruction.
No suppression of IDAF sorties towards Iran.
No high profile assassinations
So exactly, how would you outline Iranian goals towards Israel in this war??
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@Merridew__ A lot less. Focus has shifted to opening Strair od Hormuz. And with the war becoming less popular and economy tanking the Strait is all that matters.
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JUST IN: 🇺🇸🇮🇷 US President Trump dances after delivering a speech.
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Stagflation is written all over this move today.
Gold decisively decoupling from overall equities and rising in step with oil and other hard assets.
So much for the liquidation narrative — it’s gone completely quiet now.
Don’t believe everything you read.
Metals remain supply-constrained, historically underowned relative to financial assets, and deeply undervalued in a world where neutral assets are in high demand as governments rush to build critical mineral reserves.
The defining difference from the 1970s?
A Fed with no real capacity to raise rates.
Game on for hard assets.
open.substack.com/pub/tavicosta/…
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@ILRedAlert @EndGameWW3 Who would have guessed almost like you can’t bomb a fucking mountain
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Two missiles were launched from the Yazd region toward Israel at about 1:15 a.m. Iran time, fired from the same mountain area that was struck in recent bombings.
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illAlien Trader รีทวีตแล้ว
I said it before - those US bases are never coming back
Next is the "petrodollar"
The stupidest part is how completely unforced the entire thing is - the US could have kept the illusion going and larped as hegemon for at least another 20 years
Instead fucked itself for Israel
Amerikanets 📉@ripplebrain
US RETREATS/ABANDONMENT OF KEY STRATEGIC ZONES AND ASSETS: - The largest airbase in the Middle East - The most strategically important and busiest naval base in the Middle East, HQ of the US Fifth Fleet - Baghdad Green Zone, US embassy, possibly all of Iraq - The waters of the Persian Gulf - Half a dozen other large bases in Kuwait, UAE, Qatar, KSA Naval assets do not have freedom of movement and will have to increasingly travel vast distances to resupply. Even distant bases are under threat. Attack aircraft have to refuel multiple times to reach Iranian territory. Iran is systematically pushing the US out of the Middle East.
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illAlien Trader รีทวีตแล้ว
Ok I think i know Your plan IRAN
If in 50 years it’s been said whoever controls the biggest navy controls the
Chokepoints But you can’t take it to Hormuz
Cause you’re afraid of Iran cheap drones and ballistic missiles.
If in fact the American empire IS the petrodollar
And the GCC countries IS the petrodollar
to buy oil you need dollars. No exceptions.
USA military Bases are there to protect THAT system.
But if the bases keep taking hits?
It means you Can’t protect the petrodollar.
If the oil infrastructure gets bombed?
Less oil. Less dollar demand.
If the last oil leaving the Gulf
Has to pass through Hormuz
But Hormuz now charges in only YUAN?
Oops You Just blow the US treasury market eventually
Did Iran just crack the PETRODOLLAR /US EMPIRE right under our noses?
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@Noticer_X @LukeGromen I sure hope so. What a waste of money.
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“Many of the 13 military bases in the region used by American troops are all but uninhabitable, with the ones in Kuwait, which is next door to Iran, suffering perhaps the most damage.”
-NYT just now
First MSM admission I’ve seen of this fact
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