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Was able to capture the Partial Solar Eclipse in Sumerduck, VA this morning. #SolarEclipse #solareclipse2021 #vawx @capitalweather @StormHour @hbwx @spann @wxbrad
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Adam Moore
25.3K posts
Adam Moore
@AdamMooreWX
Forecasting since 2018. Love me a good snowstorm or supercell. Storm Chaser. Emergency Manager. SAU Analyst - VDEM. Millersville Graduate Student.
Beigetreten Eylül 2015
634 Folgt5.1K Follower
The NWS has issued a Red Flag Warning for Warren and Clarke County in VA until 7:00pm Thursday. bit.ly/3roNNv2 #VAWX
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The NWS has issued a Severe Thunderstorm Warning for Fairfax, Prince William, and Stafford County in VA until 6:45pm. bit.ly/3roNNv2 #VAWX
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The NWS has issued a Severe Thunderstorm Warning for Fairfax and Prince William County in VA until 5:30pm. bit.ly/3roNNv2 #VAWX
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Adam Moore retweetet
⚠️ Why the storm forecast that scared D.C. fell short
Monday brought one of the most ominous severe weather forecasts in years, including a rare Level 4 out of 5 risk for damaging winds and tornadoes.
Schools dismissed early and plans changed but while there were indeed many reports of severe weather (111 severe wind reports), some of the most feared impacts never materialized.
Here’s what happened:
• Limited storm fuel: Thick cloud cover held temperatures down, reducing the instability needed for widespread severe storms
• Early storms “used up” energy: A late-morning line likely “stole the second round’s thunder”
• Downdrafts couldn’t get going" Moist air near the surface limited the ability for strong winds aloft to reach the ground
At the same time, the concern was justified. The setup had the ingredients for dangerous storms, and had those ingredients come together differently, the outcome could have been far worse.
But this event also highlights something important:
👉 We need to do a better job communicating uncertainty.
Severe storms are highly sensitive to small changes. Even with strong signals, they’re not guaranteed. That nuance didn’t come through clearly enough.
Forecasting severe weather remains one of meteorology’s hardest challenges — and this was a reminder that how we communicate risk is just as important as the forecast itself.
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Announcement Time: I have been sitting on this for a few weeks now but I think it’s time to share... I’m excited to announce that I accepted a job as an SAU Analyst at the Virginia Department of Emergency Management (VDEM). (1/2)
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@DanielJohnsonWx Thanks Daniel! I guess I’ll be seeing you around!
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@AdamMooreWX Congratulations! 🎉 I am so excited for you! Welcome to VDEM!
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Sending a huge congratulations to my great friend Adam on getting this job!
Adam Moore@AdamMooreWX
Announcement Time: I have been sitting on this for a few weeks now but I think it’s time to share... I’m excited to announce that I accepted a job as an SAU Analyst at the Virginia Department of Emergency Management (VDEM). (1/2)
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I’ll be coming back home to Virginia in early May to start my new position. Thank you to everyone for all the support as it means a lot! (2/2)
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The NWS has issued a Severe Thunderstorm Warning for Washington D.C. in DC until 9:45pm. bit.ly/3roNNv2 #DCWX
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Adam Moore retweetet
849 pm and the lawn is turning white from the wet snow. It was well into the 60s earlier today in Duncansville, PA. @NWSStateCollege @JoeMurgo @ChrisClimate @AdamMooreWX
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