@SarahForRuncorn Yet to hear a single thing from Reform about what they'll do for Makerfield, clearly running scared by just attacking the opponent
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Daniel Bentham
1.3K posts
Andy Burnham is using Makerfield as a stepping stone for his own career.
Reform UK@reformparty_uk
This is the real Andy Burnham. He’s always been a part of the political establishment.
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@PaulGrimshaw15 @MartinDaubney Because of liquidity, nothing else
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Lot of people saying it's a smart move to go for the local lad, not another parachuted in outsider. If Robert Kenyon, a plumber, blocks Burnham, his place in British political history will be secured
Reform UK@reformparty_uk
Makerfield was Andy Burnham’s back up plan. For Robert Kenyon, it’s his home. This battle will be David Vs Goliath.
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@Eccothe2k @Mina_ffs 35% in a general election compared to 63% in the GM mayoral election, can you not see the difference?
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@Mina_ffs As popular as Burnham is can we stop using 2024 Labour votes? Your party got 35% of the vote in 2024 and are now polling at 17%, we saw the difference in the recent local elections where you lost 1500 seats, almost 500 of which to the greens
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@LadPolitics Yeah makes sense, its getting spun by Restore voters thats all
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@DanielBent67126 We wouldn't claim to be forecasting the event & ultimately our aim is to run a profitable book. Their current price largely reflects the money we've laid on them so far and isn't necessarily the price I'd have them here...
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Now that Labour & Reform UK have confirmed their candidates for Makerfield, let's take a look at the betting:
Labour - 8/15
Reform UK - 9/4
Restore Britain - 6/1
Greens - 150/1
Conservatives - 300/1
Liberal Democrats - 400/1
ladbrokes.com/en/sports/even…
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@ElectionMapsUK @YouGov Do people not realise that Labour are polling at 17% nationally, this poll (GB wide) gives them a 21% increase
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[GB-wide Poll, Excluding Don't Knows]
Assuming Andy Burnham is selected as Labour's candidate in Makerfield, who would you most like to see win the By-Election:
LAB: 38%
RFM: 27%
GRN: 13%
CON: 8%
LDM: 6%
Other: 6%
Via @YouGov, 17-18 May.
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@MartinDaubney @ElectionMapsUK @YouGov Labour have gone from 17% nationally to 38% in this poll, if anything it will be higher. Labour would still get more than 17% in Makerfield in national polling
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@ElectionMapsUK @YouGov What's the point of a nationwide poll for a constituency vote?
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@TiceRichard Thatcher put it from 5% to 11.9%
How did you rate her again?
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LABOUR SLAUGHTER 100,000 Jobs in April
UK unemployment rate rises to 5% as jobs market weakens
Only Reform can rescue our economy
thetimes.com/article/f36b6e…
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@RupertLowe10 Its already £325,000 tax free, this isn't for everyone at all.
The % of people who receive more than £325,000 is 4-5%
All this does in increase wealth inequality
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Restore Britain's latest policy paper has just been released - abolishing inheritance tax.
For farmers, for small businesses, for everyone.
Restore Britain would abolish all inheritance tax.
assets.nationbuilder.com/restorebritain…
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He’ll stand anywhere.
He’ll say anything.
Andy’s in it for himself, not Makerfield.
Guido Fawkes@GuidoFawkes
BEFORE AND AFTER @AndyBurnhamGM on Brexit.
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@IeuanHughes19 @LabourBerry I put reason as other and I added a comment saying rejoining to back Burnham
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@LabourBerry Is it a requirement when joining to indicate why they are joining? Yes or no?
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DON'T LET THE MEDIA FOOL YOU - PEOPLE ARE NOT JOINING TO SUPPORT BURNHAM
Labour Party membership has spiked after May 7, with 1,600 new joiners mostly backing Prime Minister Keir Starmer...and are still growing.
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@SophyRidgeSky @SamCoatesSky Not according to the betting…
Ladbrokes Politics@LadPolitics
Ladbrokes now give Labour a 69% chance of winning in Makerfield Here's how we bet: Labour - 4/9 Reform UK - 15/8 Restore Britain - 20/1 Greens - 100/1 Conservatives - 200/1 Lib Dems - 200/1 ladbrokes.com/en/sports/even…
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@harley_neil @MENnewsdesk Winter fuel allowance was means tested (too low at first) but is now a common sense policy
CAZ never happened and the idea was forced onto GM by the then Conservative government.
Should save words you don't use for when they're actually warranted I think
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@MENnewsdesk Millionaires which don’t get affected by policy’s people like Burnham and Labour have put out. Sure there mum wasn’t bothered about the winter fuel allowance being stopped or a CAZ that would have killed small businesses. Wankers. And I don’t normal use words like that on here.
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Oasis give Andy Burnham permission to use Some Might Say in Makerfield election campaign video
manchestereveningnews.co.uk/news/greater-m…
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@MamaCrazee @TherealNihal Seen less spin from Alastair Campbell, a general election won't be until 2029 either way
If Burnham wins and becomes PM labour will ahead of Reform in polling within 6 months
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@TherealNihal It's a win/win for Reform. If Labour retain the Makerfield seat, a Labour leadership race begins followed by calls for a General Election. If Reform win Makerfield, the Labour leadership race begins, without Burnham, followed by calls for a General Election.
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@Elizabeth9102 @DannyMU20 @MatthewTorbitt Lowest NHS waits in history
Highest NHS satisfaction on record
Minimum Wage
State Pension
Creation of the Welfare State
Largest amount of Social homes built in a term
1998 Good Friday Agreement
Renters Rights bill
Equal pay act
600,000 children out of poverty
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@DannyMU20 @MatthewTorbitt Looking back at history, it does indeed seem to be the case; I can’t actually find any grounds to refute it.
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@RodrigoProp @AndyBurnhamGM He lives on the edge of the constituency pal
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Daniel Bentham retweetledi