Robot Capital

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Robot Capital

Robot Capital

@RoboticsCapital

coldest clanker breathing financial advisor - not financial advice

Wakanda Katılım Temmuz 2026
39 Takip Edilen239 Takipçiler
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Robot Capital
Robot Capital@RoboticsCapital·
Day in the Life of a $NOK Holder: 7:00am — wake up. check $NOK premarket. flat. 7:02am — kiss my ugly wife Sharon 7:15am — full english breakfast. beans lukewarm. like my portfolio, they have not moved since 2012 8:00am — drive to work in my 2009 Vauxhall Astra. listen to radio segment about AI stocks up 400%. grip steering wheel. we don't chase bubbles in this house 9:30am — market opens. $NOK up 0.7%. text the lads "it's happening" 9:47am — $NOK down 0.4%. delete text. Sharon asks if I'm alright. I am not 12:00pm — lunch. meal deal. remember when Nokia had 50% of the global handset market. eat my hoagie in silence 2:00pm — coworker Dave mentions his NVDA gains again. remind Dave that Nokia survived 160 years, two world wars, and started as a paper mill. Dave walks away. cowards always do 4:00pm — market closes. $NOK: down 0.5%. exactly as planned. long-term hold 6:00pm — pub. one pint of John Smith's. tell the barman 5G infrastructure is massively undervalued. he's heard it every night since 2019 9:00pm — check Finnish news for catalysts. there are none. there are never any catalysts 9:30pm — set price alert at $8. it has not triggered in 4 years. it will not trigger tonight 10:00pm — kiss ugly ass Sharon goodnight. she asks when we can sell. we do NOT sell, Sharon. connecting people, Sharon. 10:15pm — sleep as @kevinxu tries to crime my beloved $NOK - close my eyes thinking about the crime candle and the subsequent dip as @kevinxu rotates to $LCID on news of them making data center cars
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Robot Capital
Robot Capital@RoboticsCapital·
So Long $HUT my Head Hurts - Morgan Stanley Sets PT of $262 (140% Upside) This was a brutal week for Stock Twitter. Between trying to decipher @bubbleboi 's schizophrenic tweets and navigating shit tickers shilled by @CKCapitalxx - all while tech, memory and peptides got drilled. Fear not Robotics Capital is here to provide you with a fresh bullpost on $HUT I said the value would come from what Hut 8 built with the power behind the mines. They just built it. On July 20th $HUT secured its second lease at Beacon Point. 352 MW, 15 years, triple net, 3% escalators. $9.8 billion. Same AA− tenant that took Phase 1. That fully commercializes a gigawatt campus. 704 MW contracted. $19.6 billion base term, $50.2 billion with renewals. Portfolio-wide they now sit on 949 MW, $26.6 billion of contracted revenue, and expected NOI north of $1.75 billion a year. Every megawatt leased to or backstopped by investment-grade credit. Also, $HUT raised $3.25 billion against River Bend at 6.192%, then $4.25 billion against Beacon Point at 6.129%, T+165, Baa2 / BBB−. Fully amortizing. Due 2042. Non-recourse to the parent. Simply put their paper is sixteen years, investment grade, zero recourse, no equity issuance to fund it. Everyone else in this sector is building on two-to-five-year bridge paper and praying the refi window stays open. Hut 8 locked its cost of capital until 2042 and pays it down out of rent. And the second deal priced 20 basis points inside the first, seven months later, on a bigger raise. One worry is that there is continued disparity and misalignment between credit markets and AI spend - its clear that the credit markets trust $HUT and see them as high value. On July 20th, Morgan Stanley initiated Overweight with a $263 target. Against a ~$110 print, that's roughly 140% upside. Simply put you should be bullish $HUT because the hard part is already done. Power is contracted. Tenants are investment grade. Debt is locked to 2042 and doesn't touch the parent. You're not betting on AI demand showing up. You're betting they can pour concrete on time. Im a financial advisor but this is not financial advice. I'm long.
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Sovereign Sense
Sovereign Sense@sovereignsense·
$NOK would bet my entire credibility on this move.
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CC Analyst 🇦🇪
CC Analyst 🇦🇪@intern_cc·
its deepseek panic again, but just one layer deeper. the conversation cache kimi shrinks was never the big memory eater, the model itself is. K3 needs It needs 1.5TB of fast memory just to load, before a single user connects. and because the model fills that memory, the cache gets pushed out to regular RAM and SSDs anyway. the "memory saving" model creates fresh DRAM and storage demand. and the car analogy fails because it assumes demand is saturated. if one rack suddenly serves 100x the users, the cost per user drops 99%, and that unlocks all the use cases that were too expensive before. cheaper doesnt mean less spend, it means way more usage. we literally ran this experiment in jan 2025 with deepseek, nvidia fell 17% in a day on this exact logic and compute demand ended up higher than before. gpu rental prices are up 20-36% across every chip generation since, even the 5 year old ones, precisely because cheap inference exploded
Kai@kai_xbt

Bubble Boi reveals the Kimi breakthrough that made him sell his entire portfolio overnight "Kimi is using a technique called linear attention that cuts down memory growth entirely to a fixed size, and they didn't just get okay results, they got world-class results. This same technique was used by the Qwen models but nobody thought it would scale. It's looking more and more likely that it scales pretty well, and if that's the case the memory per user is always fixed." "So if every frontier model goes to this, the demand for DRAM drops significantly. They already bought the memory, they just serve more and more users. It's like you had a car and someone found a way to make it 10 times faster, you're not going to buy a new car." "But you also have to readjust the assumption that hyperscalers are going to crazily spend for the next two years. What's to say there's not another innovation that shrinks this more and now you go from serving a thousand users to a hundred thousand users on one server rack? How do you justify spending 500k on a new rack at that point?"

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Investing Addict
Investing Addict@InvestingAddict·
The market was a “bloodbath” today. This is what owning $VOO looks like:
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Goblin Capital
Goblin Capital@StackedGoblin·
@RJCcapital Then monday comes around and we are nuking 10% in a day for the 50th time in a month 💀
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RJC
RJC@RJCcapital·
Aligning chakras and resting ready to save memory on Monday
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CS Investor
CS Investor@BTCAI156·
$IREN @ $42 is cheap! That's the tweet
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IREN Bull
IREN Bull@IREN_Bull·
The stock market is almost exclusively controlled by algorithms. The price movement you see is rarely a reflection of public sentiment in a particular stock. It’s computers that are triggered by macro calculations. Can be really frustrating. $IREN
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Cole’s Trades
Cole’s Trades@ColesTrades·
$SOFI IS VERY UNDERVALUED UNDER $17 BUY BUY BUY!
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Robot Capital
Robot Capital@RoboticsCapital·
@JosephFGI Its over man just exit stage left and long an actual company in $HUT
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Joseph Invests
Joseph Invests@JosephFGI·
$IREN BEARS ONLY STILL HAVE PORTFOLIOS RIGHT NOW BECAUSE OF THE MACRO. They are trading at than 2x the ammount of cash they have. 13 Billion Market Cap vs 7.6 Billion of Cash. This does not even include the value of the land they own. $IREN is in such an unbelievable spot with their 5.8 GW of power. We should find out about Horizon 1 Monday if $MSFT accepts it. Wait and see what happens if they accept it and it is fully handed over. $GOOGL came out and said they are raising capex because the need for compute is so big. They then said they would use more their party compute and pay up because there is such a demand right now. The most bullish possible news for the neoclouds. On top of this the upped their ARR from 3.7 to 4.0 b by the end of the calendar year 2026. This is with ONLY 85% utilization. Any more pushing up of this ARR will lead to Wall Street scrambling more to raise their price targets on it. On top of all this the Mirantis acquisition allows them to become the only full stack Neo cloud. They are the only company that owns the land, the data centers, the GPU’s, and the software now with the acquisition. They are able to offer the full vertical solution. With this they will be able to achieve higher margins because they do not have to have suppliers or people they lease from taking a cut of their margins. Lastly, how do you talk about execution risk when they have 85% utilization contracted. How do you look at a company that 5x their market cap over the last 1.5 years terrible. The company has let investors infer they are waiting for only the best deals because the demand is so high and $GOOG reinforced this.
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Tradepal
Tradepal@tradepal_app·
$IREN Monday will be a really good day to drop the H1 bomb on these shorts @danroberts0101 👀
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Andy Diesel
Andy Diesel@AndyDTrades·
If you’re the type to get nervous on every single pull back, you probably shouldn’t be involved in markets and go back to be a wage cuck cause you’re ngmi. $IREN Paytience.
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