The Garmisch

594 posts

The Garmisch

The Garmisch

@TGarmisch

Katılım Haziran 2022
35 Takip Edilen7 Takipçiler
The Garmisch
The Garmisch@TGarmisch·
@RobertJMolnar This is a vastly underrated opinion. I remember saying the exact same thing before impeachment 2
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Chili Dog
Chili Dog@RobertJMolnar·
for the fun of it also, starting impeachment proceedings would gum up everything in the Trump admin as hearing after hearing of all of his folks dragged into under oath Dem led hearings make a mockery of Trump but mostly for the fun of it, which, as a political professional, I endorse. Fuck him....3 impeachments is a hilarious legacy
V͎O͎I͎Z͎E͎ ͎O͎F͎ ͎R͎E͎A͎Z͎O͎N͎@Voize_of_Reazon

@RobertJMolnar Honest question: Why impeach him again when it has a 0% chance for success?

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The Garmisch
The Garmisch@TGarmisch·
@scienceoverbias @Buncahn No one knows what the fuck any of that means if you have to keep your eyes on the road so it doesn't kill you it's not self driving
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𝐁𝐞𝐧 𝐂𝐚𝐡𝐧
Elon has to keep promising increasingly insane and "ambitious" projects because the more grounded in reality, the more he's actually gotta prove it (see: cybercab and optimus) so with something like Terafab, he can now effectively fully move the goalposts so that inevitably when cybercab and optimus don't come close to projected scale or timelines, the Terafab will have effectively bought him enough time to keep the whole thing going. what a big fucking joke
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The Garmisch
The Garmisch@TGarmisch·
@oh_tuntun @rob_rubsam I shouldve clarified "hard" scifi. It's the subgenre you're describing with The Martian on the hard end of the spectrum and star wars on the other. It is a bit of a trend in itself but you're right popular scifi is usually closer to star wars
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lydia
lydia@oh_tuntun·
@TGarmisch @rob_rubsam I disagree because most popular sci-fi outside or what Weir writes doesn’t go into the science like that. If most sci-fi readers want expansive science details, then you’d expect that to be a trend. But hey, most sci-fi I pick up these days is not mainstream, so what do i know.
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Robert Rubsam
Robert Rubsam@rob_rubsam·
Driving me slightly insane that everyone has to pretend that Andy Weir is a real novelist and not a guy whose books are like 70% math equations
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The Garmisch
The Garmisch@TGarmisch·
@oh_tuntun @rob_rubsam I get it but I think you're in the minority of scifi readers. I wasn't crazy about Eat Pray Love but I understand it's appeal
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lydia
lydia@oh_tuntun·
@rob_rubsam his books make fun movies but i don’t care to read a realistic breakdown on how to grow potatoes on mars
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Dominic Woodman
Dominic Woodman@dom_woodman·
@DKThomp If you’re gunning for biggest audience possible I guess you sand off all the edges and there isn’t much left to critique? (At least that’s how I’d think about tv)
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The Garmisch
The Garmisch@TGarmisch·
@615CPA @HumanProgress You haven't explained shit. You're just learning for the first time that oil had no value before machines were invented
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Human Progress
Human Progress@HumanProgress·
A barrel of oil in the Stone Age was worthless. A barrel of oil in an industrial civilization can heat homes, move trucks, and power factories. Nature gives us atoms, but it is humans who give those atoms value. humanprogress.org/the-most-impor…
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The Garmisch
The Garmisch@TGarmisch·
@615CPA @HumanProgress What? They didn't even have a reason to put it in barrels. If you read accounts from Los Angeles from before the industrial revolution, settlers thought of it like a backwater because so much greasy black shit was bubbling out of the ground everywhere. What could they do with it?
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Douglas Lain
Douglas Lain@DougLain·
The thing is Trump doesn't need a deal. The closure of the Strait hurts Europe and Asia more than it hurts the US. There are many opportunities for America with the Strait closed. Like the tarrifs the trick will be managing the transition regarding energy production rather than trying preserve what is.
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Danny (Dennis) Citrinowicz ,داني سيترينوفيتش
It’s possible that, despite everything, Trump still views Iran through a “Venezuela lens” meaning believing there’s a figure in Tehran (Ghalibaf) who can play the role of Delcy Rodríguez and accept U.S. terms to end the fighting. If so, that reflects (yes again) a fundamental misreading of how Iran actually works. The system has become more radicalized, not less, and even senior figures like Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf don’t make decisions independently. Power is fragmented, ideological, and ultimately centralized in a way that doesn’t lend itself to quick political deals. Ghalibaf is not Delcy. Iran is not Venezuela. If the U.S. wants to end this conflict through a deal, it will likely have to meet at least some of Tehran’s demands. And there is little chance that Iran’s current leadership will offer more than what it was already willing to put on the table before the war. That raises a key question: is Trump trying to mislead Iran ahead of a possible escalation, build legitimacy for future military action, or does he genuinely believe a deal is within reach on U.S. terms? What seems clear is this: “Iran 2.0” will be more rigid, more suspicious, and far less willing to compromise. A deal with Tehran has become harder to achieve, not easier, as a result of the war. #IranWar
Eric Brewer@BrewerEricM

WTF is happening between the U.S. and Iran? A few hypotheses. A. Trump is greatly exaggerating the status of talks/odds of success to calm the markets, make people think the war is working, and buy himself time/decision space (including moving more forces into the theater). Also has the benefit of causing confusion in the Iranian system and later allowing Trump to say the Iranians said they were ready for a deal but weren’t. This hypothesis would be consistent with the argument that Iran now sees advantage to dragging out the war to impose further costs and reestablish deterrence. And the related theory that Iran would see its negotiating hand as stronger as a result (ie, it wouldn’t agree to the terms that Trump claims Iran had agreed to). 1/

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Rational
Rational@rational_please·
@ABCPolitics The attacks on these young professionals just more rancid far left behavior
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ABC News Politics
ABC News Politics@ABCPolitics·
A federal judge is allowing the release of deposition videos of two former DOGE staffers, ruling that the risk of "embarrassment and reputational harm" is not enough to overcome the public interest in the videos. abcnews.link/tuiDw9D
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The Garmisch
The Garmisch@TGarmisch·
@615CPA @HumanProgress Oil literally oozed out of the ground all over the place. It was a nuisance as you couldn't work the land and anyone could go scoop up as much as they want so it had little value as a resource.
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PRob 🦚
PRob 🦚@615CPA·
@HumanProgress With a barrel of oil in the stone age I would have been your unquestioned leader and you'd still be singing my praise songs. You guys ever wonder why none of your ideas take of???
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The Garmisch
The Garmisch@TGarmisch·
@JoeMattinglyJr @HumanProgress It wasn't useless. But it literally oozed out of the ground all over the place. It was a nuisance as you couldn't work the land and anyone could go scoop up as much as they want so it had little value as a resource.
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The Garmisch
The Garmisch@TGarmisch·
@dicus6 @MikeLevin I'd rather fund TSA. I've never had to wait in a six hour line because ICE agents weren't getting paid
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John Dicus
John Dicus@dicus6·
@MikeLevin You are dishonest with the American people! If you truly want to fund DHS as a whole you would have a clean bill! You want to defund ICE in order to fund TSA. Stop lying to the American people!
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Mike Levin
Mike Levin@MikeLevin·
Let me get this straight. The leading Senate Republican walked into the White House Sunday with a bipartisan deal to end the TSA nightmare. Fund everything except ICE now, get TSA agents paid today, handle ICE separately. Senate Republicans and Democrats said yes. Trump said no. Why? Because Trump is holding TSA workers’ paychecks hostage to try and force Congress to pass the SAVE Act, a voter suppression bill that would knock millions of eligible Americans off the voter rolls. He wants to make it harder for Americans to vote. Like a petulant child flipping the board when he’s losing, Trump torched a bipartisan deal his own Senate leader handed him on a silver platter. His tantrum continues as he unleashes ICE agents into airports. Agents with zero screening training, zero TSA authority, and a good chance of making everything worse. Democrats have been ready to fund TSA from day one. What we refuse to do is write a blank check for an ICE agency that gunned down two American citizens in Minneapolis and still demands the ability to kick down doors without a judge’s approval while hiding behind masks. We will not pass the SAVE Act either. Call it what it is: the SAVE REPUBLICANS Act. Non-citizen voting is already illegal. It was illegal yesterday. It will be illegal tomorrow. This bill solves nothing except the Republican party’s losing electoral math. Fund TSA. Reform ICE. End this today. Trump is the one standing in the way.
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The Garmisch
The Garmisch@TGarmisch·
@parsons_tor You can buy a 94ft tugboat from Alaska and limp it into the bay where you'll pay no slip fees and become a maritime hazard.
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Tor Parsons ⍼
Tor Parsons ⍼@parsons_tor·
I'M MOVING TO SAN FRANCISCO!! Temporarily. Probably for a span of about 4 months from August to the end of 2026, then (most likely) back to NYC. Looking for advice on finding housing.
Tor Parsons ⍼ tweet media
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Kaz
Kaz@orthodoxbitcoin·
Turns out WW3 is really bad for grocery prices
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Smerjipoo🪞
Smerjipoo🪞@smerjpoo·
@KobeissiLetter So you mean basically the same deal that Obama had cut before Trump tore it up, but this time we’re paying to go backwards?
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The Kobeissi Letter
The Kobeissi Letter@KobeissiLetter·
BREAKING: More details emerge on a potential peace deal between the US and Iran, per Axios. Details include: 1. US officials say there could be "room to negotiate" over returning frozen assets to Iran 2. "They call it reparations. Maybe we call it return of frozen money," the official said 3. US says any deal to end the war would need to include the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, address Iran's stockpile of highly enriched uranium, and also establish a long-term agreement on Iran's nuclear program, ballistic missiles and support for proxies in the region 4. Iranian demands include a ceasefire, guarantees that the war will not resume in the future, and compensation We expect an eventful week ahead.
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Wearing a yellow star (and shoes)
@MarioNawfal Deliberately destroying electricity infrastructure, especially to terrorize civilians or cause excessive, disproportionate harm, is considered a war crime under international humanitarian law.
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Mario Nawfal
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal·
🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 BREAKING: Trump gives Iran a 48-hour ultimatum to fully open the Strait of Hormuz or the U.S. will obliterate their power plants, "starting with the biggest one first." Three weeks of "winding down" talk just ended with the most aggressive threat of the entire war. Destroying Iran's power grid would plunge 90 million people into darkness and trigger a humanitarian catastrophe. The next two days will define everything. Source: Truth Social
Mario Nawfal tweet media
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇱🇮🇷 Iran just dropped its official demands to end the war. Tehran wants: 1. Ironclad guarantees the war never happens again 2. Every single U.S. military base in the Middle East shut down 3. Full compensation paid by the U.S. and Israel for all damage 4. Complete end to all wars across the region, including against pro-Iran groups 5. A brand-new legal regime giving Iran control over the Strait of Hormuz 6. “Hostile media” figures handed over to Iran That’s their price for peace. To that, Trump had already released a "preemptive strike" by saying: "They want to make a deal. I don’t!" I don't see it happening, guys. Source: RN Intel

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The Garmisch
The Garmisch@TGarmisch·
@Dreamthian @pmarca This is the crucial piece hes missing in all this. People capable of self reflection don't go on emotional multi-day spirals like this. Which is hilarious cuz his whole argument is that its actually *introspection* that causes emotional multi-day spirals...but he doesn't do that!
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Lorena Welch
Lorena Welch@Dreamthian·
@pmarca Let it go, Marc. If you had introspected you’d have moved on by now. 😂
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Marc Andreessen 🇺🇸
My big conclusion from this week: Introspection causes emotional disorders.
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AZMan
AZMan@DesertArizona·
@ShaneRyanHere Day 20 and you guys are rooting for failure. Just weird.
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Shane Ryan
Shane Ryan@ShaneRyanHere·
People are going to panic about this, but it's fine. The swift decisive air strikes didn't result in the surrender we imagined, but just a few troops will tip the balance and end this pretty quickly, and in all likelihood the people and surrounding ethnic groups will rise up and make it so we don't have to commit any huge force. And if that doesn't work quite like we want, it's just a matter of a few more, and just a little more time. 20 years max
Carl Quintanilla@carlquintanilla

* US MAKING PREPARATIONS FOR POTENTIAL GROUND TROOPS IN IRAN: CBS @CBSNews @business

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Trevor Berg
Trevor Berg@Trevorberg·
@Hamiltonstears How do you know they were eligible if they couldn’t prove it? Sounds like you’re making an assumption based on their race.
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Noth1ng Real
Noth1ng Real@noth1ng_real·
@Govindtwtt This is just wrong bru Coding capabilities of AI are already better than humans and you don't think they will get even better in the future?
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Govind
Govind@Govindtwtt·
Why AI won't replace developers (it'll just make the good ones richer) 2025: AI writes 90% of code. Devs celebrate. Managers post about 10x gains. 2026: Code reviews are just checking prompts. Tech Twitter says "coding is dead lol" 2027: Reality check. - 10 hours to debug what took 1 hour to generate - Nobody understands the abstractions - Everything breaks in production Senior engineers now paid 10x because they can delete 5000 lines of AI spaghetti and replace it with 50 clean ones.
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