Kipa Stays On

We're in a Bear Market. There has been almost zero greed for over a month now Since early November, $BTC is down ~18.5% (at current prices). The last time we saw a setup like this was back in March - April 2025 Even though the market has dropped significantly, I don't think this is the right time to DCA or accumulate yet. We need to wait for more signals Over $600M in longs liquidated yesterday is proof that people aren't scared enough yet. They’re still blindly betting on a bullish Q1 2026. Survival first, profit later. Stay safe

Pouring a fresh cup of thoughts; I will tell you for a fact, 80% of crypto investors operate based on borrowed conviction. You ever notice how quick CT sentiments changes immediately price action flunctuates? That’s simply because CT’s belief lacks depth. (not so) hot take: but ‘conviction’ is probably the most abused word in this space, everyone throws it but chickens out the moment price fluctuates. - - - - - - - - - Conviction doesn’t come from price going up. It comes from understanding. You build conviction by: - studying the narrative deeply - knowing “why” it exists - understanding what could strengthen or hinder it. - tracking data not opinions When you understand the “why”, you will eliminate short term noise. Real conviction feels calm (knowing you have seen this pattern play out severally). Conviction allows you to: - hold through volatility - Act rationally - take profits without regrets - cut positions when thesis breaks Conviction is not: - marrying your bags - refusing to be wrong - ignoring new informations You don’t build conviction by staring at charts. You build it by understanding narratives, patterns and human behavior. Cup is empty now. see you at the next brew.☕️