nikoin+

@citrinowicz @FoxNews @EfratLachter you are postings obsessively, does not feel natural

Told @FoxNews one thing that everybody should internalize - The blockade won’t force Iran to capitulate. @EfratLachter google.com/amp/s/www.foxn…

@citrinowicz stop taking their side

There are things intelligence doesn’t capture and numbers don’t reflect. Things tied to a nation’s history and the lessons it has internalized over time. Those factors can fundamentally change how we assess a country’s resilience. It starts with something basic: understanding Iran’s background, culture, and history. That alone should make it clear that pressure tactics like sanctions or isolation are unlikely to break a regime that has historically shown a willingness to sacrifice its people for what it sees as its long-term survival. It’s unfortunate that policymakers often lack this depth of understanding, leading to repeated strategic miscalculations when dealing with Iran. Neither economic pressure nor escalation is likely to force this regime into submission, it’s simply not how it operates. The Iranian regime isn’t all-powerful. At the same time, it behaves like a heavyweight fighter, you can knock it down again and again, but it keeps getting back up, even when the odds are clearly against it. There’s unlikely to be a clean knockout, and a win on points doesn’t really change the outcome in any meaningful way. #IranWar‌

@citrinowicz basically you have no clue and you keep guessing it just seems you are guessing too often in the past few days, stressed ??

Limits of Coercion in Dealing with Iran After more than forty days of conflict and weeks of unsuccessful negotiations, a central analytical gap persists in Washington’s approach: the assumption that the current Iranian regime can be coerced into capitulation. This assumption is fundamentally flawed. The Iranian leadership appears to believe it holds a relative advantage in a prolonged “war of economic attrition.” Under such conditions, additional economic pressure alone is unlikely to produce strategic surrender. The regime is both willing and structurally prepared to absorb significant economic hardship without altering its core policies. Likewise, the option of a broad, targeted military campaign carries substantial escalation risks while offering limited prospects of achieving decisive political outcomes. Rather than compelling compliance, such action would likely reinforce regime cohesion and intensify regional instability. The underlying issue is regime nature. The Islamic Republic has repeatedly demonstrated a willingness to endure high domestic costs, including significant harm to its own population, in pursuit of ideological and strategic objectives. Leadership rhetoric and behavior indicate a readiness to sustain, and even embrace, sacrifice for the preservation of the revolutionary system. As long as U.S. policy is guided by the expectation that increased pressure, economic or military, will force capitulation, it risks generating rising costs without achieving its intended outcomes. A reassessment of core assumptions is therefore essential. Without it, the United States is likely to face continued economic burdens, heightened regional tensions, and limited strategic gains. #IranWar‌

@citrinowicz Iran waiting for your post to know what their strategy should be

What is striking is that even after five weeks of intense fighting, the administration still seems to misunderstand a fundamental point: Iran is not Venezuela. Closing the Strait of Hormuz will not force Iran into submission, at least not from Tehran’s perspective. What did not work after five weeks of sust.l9? ained aerial pressure is unlikely to succeed through maritime pressure alone. No amount of threats is likely to bring Iran’s current leadership to accept the U.S dictations in their eyes. While Tehran may not fundamentally oppose reaching an agreement, it will not accept terms it perceives as imposed. This leaves President Trump with a relatively simple choice: if he wants a deal, he will have to compromise and move closer to Iran’s position. It is far less likely that Iran will move toward his. #IranWar‌

@jackhandey14 @KINGTRUMP28 @zerohedge false this is on the table nothing is agreed to yet

@KINGTRUMP28 @zerohedge Wrong

When Iran says Strait is open does that mean "open" or there is a $2 million toll?

@citrinowicz what you’re saying is that the Iranians, even after their death, will still not compromise?

The question I keep coming back to is whether there are actually people within the administration who believe that striking military targets on Kharg Island, issuing existential threats, or even targeting civilian infrastructure, such as rail systems can realistically compel Iran to compromise. I don’t know what messages Israeli officials are conveying in Washington. But I do know what the strategic reality looks like: the current Iranian leadership is highly unlikely to capitulate. Not under threats, and not under military pressure. If the underlying assumption is that coercive pressure will force Tehran to concede then that assumption is deeply flawed. In such a framework, escalation becomes the more likely outcome. If this is indeed the logic driving policy, then escalation is imminent. Trump will not be able to reach an agreement with Iran if his approach relies solely on coercion, without recognizing that the current regime in Tehran perceives itself as having achieved meaningful gains in this confrontation. As long as he ignores this perception, they are operating on a flawed premise. From Tehran’s perspective, this is not a moment of weakness that invites concession, but one that reinforces resilience and strategic patience. Without acknowledging how the Iranian leadership interprets the current balance of outcomes, even the most severe threats are unlikely to change behavior. Pressure without recognition of perceived gains does not produce compromise, it entrenches resistance. #iran

@Chipi31885206 שווה לעשות עליה

הלם - יש למק דויד סניף פעיל! פעיל בחיפה נווה שאנן. הסניף נפתח ב-1982

@kobbybarda ארגוני שלום שלא מאמינים במלחמות הם לא ארגוני שלום. אלו ארגוני התרמות וגניבת כספים מלחמה ושלום הם שני הצדדים של אותו כלי הנשק אתה לא יכול לעשות שלום בלי מלחמה אלא אם אתה חיי במציאות אלטרנטיבית בה הצד השני באמת ובתמים מחפש לעשות שלום איתך ולא רק אתה איתו

@DrProfitCrypto a trader knows where the coin is going, but HELL NO won’t trade it ? yeah right i believe not

The #BTC chart we all need to know: In August 2025 I started to prepare my short orders between 115-125k that triggered in September - October. After the big move that lead us to target 1 at 80k I said its time to expect some sideway moves in the same region. Since 7 weeks we are moving in the same region exactly as predicted two months ago. We are now targeting the 70–75k zone as the next major objective. Does it mean I would add more short at the current region? HELL NO! The only area where I’m willing to add aggressively to the existing short from 115-125k is on a up move into 97k–107k. Any move into that region is an opportunity to increase size with real size. So in Summary its very simple: - Keep shorts open from 115-125k - Placing short orders from 97-107k - Having a BTC spot position open from 85k - BTC spot position SL is set at entry area - Next target is BTC at 70k region, bearish

@smartviewai sounds like a joke

📢BREAKING : Polymarket users are pricing in an 80% chance that Bitcoin hits $100K before 2027. #Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoPrediction #Polymarket

@hateBeingCensor @MAGAVoice you can almost be sure he is lying

@MAGAVoice Got proof? Sorry but words are cheap and not always accurate. Why it wasn't that long ago Trump was telling us about $1.95 gas which turned out to be a lie. Sorry when politicians speak they need to provide proof as they all seem to be liars.

BREAKING 🚨 President Trump stuns America by announcing 600,000 Americans have been lifted off of food stamps and 1.9 million more working THIS IS A MASSIVE WIN FOR AMERICA THANK YOU MR PRESIDENT ❤️

@LeadingReport The American people are nowhere on his priorities

BREAKING: President Trump refurbished the Lincoln Bathroom in the White House.

@trading_axe $aster target sir ?

CZ making a rather uncharacteristic “real life” post speaking about an axe and the accuracy of it. Do with this information as you will. ~ Dr. Axius.

@TRUMP_ARMY_ all talk these guys why don’t they bring one indictment and then talk tough ?

🚨BREAKING: FBI Deputy Director Dan Bongino drops a bombshell on corrupt politicians by issuing a stern warning. “If you are a corrupt politician.. we're going to find you..I don't have any friends. I don't want any friends. I didn't come here for money...We're coming for you.”

@SRMediaa @LeadingReport you’re wrong

@LeadingReport “Resembling” NATO collective of Article 5? Russia went to war because the U.S. was backing Ukraine to be apart of NATO, which was a violation of the agreement made after WWll that Ukraine would NEVER be apart of NATO. So what does “resembling”NATO collective mean?

BREAKING: Putin agreed with President Trump to allow the U.S. and European allies to offer Ukraine a security guarantee resembling NATO’s collective defense mandate as part of an eventual deal to end the war, per Special U.S. envoy Steve Witkoff.

@trading_axe thanks man i really like your posts always bringing optimism and hope ✌️

This cycle has mentally destroyed so many people because of previous "expectations" comparing to 2021, 2017 etc. Judging the psychology of market participants isn't the same. I don't think we'll see people GENUINELY ELATED or even "satisfied" until something drastic happens. ETH is more or less at ATH and how many people are celebrating? A remarkable fortuity will have to happen [not some onchain bullshit] for us to experience TRUE PvE "silly mode" one last time. And it WILL. What we're seeing now with a few select buybacks/new treasury mechanisms for alts is only the start. This will ALL rapidly advance. It will even get more bullish, And this is coming from someone who is apathetic about crypto and remained a bull with zero negative emotions [never called a top throughout the whole cycle so far]. NONE of you are bullish enough. ~ Dr. Axius.

@blknoiz06 @lBattleRhino link to $420 aave to $4,200

@lBattleRhino long LINK with me brother

Bias is stay long above 4-4.1k eth on a closing basis god speed

@FBIDDBongino @USAttyPirro why won’t she be executed ?

Another update for you on our efforts to defend the homeland and protect the American people from our foreign adversaries.   Alongside @USAttyPirro, we announced that American citizen Christina Chapman was sentenced to 102 MONTHS in prison for DEFRAUDING 309 US companies and STEALING THE IDENTITIES of 68 Americans. She operated a “laptop farm” from her home, generating more than $17 MILLION for North Korea to fund their nuclear weapons and evade our sanctions. With over 90 LAPTOPS in her home and 49 SHIPPED OVERSEAS, North Korean IT workers were not only earning money for the North Korean government but also accessing US companies’ networks and highly sensitive data.   To our private sector partners, remain on HIGH ALERT. This threat may already have invaded your company, and we urge you to look critically at your remote workforce. Your @FBI released a public service announcement detailing ways you can protect yourselves, and if you suspect your business has been targeted contact us IMMEDIATELY by calling your local FBI field office or reporting it to our Internet Crime Complaint Center at IC3.gov.   North Korea is a THREAT to our economic and national security, and we will stop at NOTHING to crush our adversaries. For anyone else thinking about standing up a laptop farm, let what happened to Christina Chapman serve as a reminder that it is a BAD day to be a BAD guy in America. We WILL find you and bring you to justice.   I’d like to thank @FBIPhoenix and @FBIChicago, the FBI Counterintelligence and Cyber Divisions, as well as our partners across the federal government at the @StateDept, @DHSgov, and @IRSnews for their great work keeping American companies and American citizens safe.   God bless America, and all those who defend Her.

@Phil_Lewis_ 2025 is the year the nazis will be flushed out of society