Nick

3.7K posts

Nick

Nick

@ningbeck

Wheeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee

Katılım Temmuz 2011
81 Takip Edilen68 Takipçiler
Nick
Nick@ningbeck·
@dilanesper I think you can technically stop bombing and switch entirely to defense and hope Iran deescalates as a step towards a ceasefire. Perhaps you make an ultimatum that we and Israel will stop hitting them, but if they don't open the strait in a week we hit Pars.
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Dilan Esper
Dilan Esper@dilanesper·
I really want to emphasize, I know the default anti-war position is "just stop the war" and I get that. But you can't just magically stop the war. You have to get the straits open, and the ways to do that are an agreement (difficult to get) or a military action.
Dilan Esper@dilanesper

@AcunaAndrew Even if he admits error, how does he get the straits of hormuz open? We're still committed at this point.

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David J. Bier
David J. Bier@David_J_Bier·
Disappointing to have a hearing on the topic of immigrants and an aging population and, unless I missed it, not one mention of the millions of home health aides, nursing assistants, nursing home workers we desperately need.
Joint Economic Committee Republicans@JECRepublicans

LIVE NOW: JEC Hearing titled “Keeping Our Promises:  Labor Inflows, Maintaining Competitiveness, and Supporting an Aging Population” x.com/i/broadcasts/1…

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Jerusalem
Jerusalem@JerusalemDemsas·
AMERICA IS NOT HAVING EUROPE’S IMMIGRATION PROBLEM. Last year, @DLeonhardt published a piece on how the American left should learn from Denmark to restrict immigration in order to protect the welfare state. It went viral and become something of a conventional wisdom among many lawmakers and liberals. But he misunderstands the U.S.' unique advantages and his "solutions" would make the problem worse, not better. The “Denmark model” story focuses on reducing numbers. But the bigger lever is labor-market access: Europe makes it structurally hard for newcomers to work, then acts surprised when they struggle. The U.S. largely doesn't have this problem (until the recent migrant wave, that is). As a result, in the U.S., immigrants are more likely to be employed than natives. However, in Germany, only 58% of prime-aged non-EU immigrants work vs 78% of non-immigrant Germans. France is 52% vs 66%. Cultural assimilation looks different too: on PISA reading, U.S. kids of immigrants are basically at parity (506 vs 511). In France the gap is 40+ points (444 vs 486). Most European countries bar asylum seekers from working for 6–9 months (often longer). That’s not “integration.” It’s state-enforced unemployment. And of course it doesn't work. New from @KelseyTuoc and @akoustov at @TheArgumentMag: theargumentmag.com/p/why-america-…
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Nick
Nick@ningbeck·
@ReichlinMelnick 6.67 years of enhanced ACA subsidies 8.20 years of NASA budgets 2 years of SNAP
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Aaron Reichlin-Melnick
Aaron Reichlin-Melnick@ReichlinMelnick·
For some scale, NOAA's budget is $7 billion a year, the National Park Service's budget is $3 billion a year, and the entire federal public defender system costs under $2 billion a year. Heck, this is more than twice what ICE got for Trump's signature mass deportations last July.
Jeff Stein@JStein_WaPo

SCOOP: The Pentagon asked the White House today for more than *$200 billion* for the Iran war supplemental, sources say Some White House aides think Congress won't support b/c it's so big Will tee up giant battle in Congress

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Nick@ningbeck·
@Acyn Translation: Trump has floated every strategy with every reporter he talks to because he has no idea what to do.
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Acyn
Acyn@Acyn·
Stephen Miller: President Trump was aware of and has calculated through every permutation and every degree of strategy
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Nick
Nick@ningbeck·
@dilanesper Generally, you want good planning that you only reveal to the public after the fact, but you might tell your most trustworthy allies ahead of time. Kinda seems like they failed on all counts.
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Dilan Esper
Dilan Esper@dilanesper·
Here's a hot take on the war you haven't heard yet. The messaging issues with respect to the war are a great demonstration that you don't actually want maximum transparency and constant press conferences with government officials.
justanotherlawyer@MatthewTie37934

@jjh_esq @dilanesper Will we? Trump doesn’t seem too sure! If in fact the plan is for the U.S. to force the Strait open it seems like a bad idea to broadcast publicly to Iran that maybe we’ll just give up that part if they hold out. @realDonaldTrump/116250203405172359" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTru

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Nick
Nick@ningbeck·
@svdate Poland also sending its fleet of Arleigh Burkes and nuclear subs, I hear. Source:
GIF
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S.V. Dáte
S.V. Dáte@svdate·
Makes more sense now how he was so eager to believe about the weapons of mass destruction.
S.V. Dáte tweet media
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Nick
Nick@ningbeck·
@dylanmatt WHAT AMERICAN SHIPBUILDERS? They're already sidelined- we make a few expensive overdue military ships, barges, tugboats and yachts. People defending the Jones act will defend it until the "shipbuilding industry" is just military shipyards and 3 union guys making rowboats.
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Heather Long
Heather Long@byHeatherLong·
Summary of Fed Chair Powell today: 1) He'll stay as Chair until a new chair is confirmed by Senate 2) He'll stay at Fed until criminal investigation is "truly over" 3) No rate cut today. Only 1 cut likely for 2026 4) No one knows impact of oil shock 5) This is NOT stagflation (in Powell's view). It's "nothing like 1970s" 6) There's "effectively ZERO job growth," but he doesn't see that as troubling because no labor supply growth
Heather Long tweet media
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(((Harry Enten)))
(((Harry Enten)))@ForecasterEnten·
There's no break in MAGA. Trump's approval with MAGA GOP is literally 100%. 90% of MAGA GOP approve of US military action in Iran. Those who disapprove of Trump are not MAGA at this point. Importantly: MAGA makes up the same share of voters as it did when Trump won in 2024.
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Nick
Nick@ningbeck·
@Angry_Staffer Less immigrants, less people in the labor force, less spending, less jobs, less GDP growth. Then you add high gas prices on top.
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Nick
Nick@ningbeck·
@mattyglesias What if I told you Duncan Idaho is the real main character and his story never ends (because Herbert died before finishing it)?
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Nick
Nick@ningbeck·
@joshrogin That post has either been carefully workshopped or created by chatgpt to carefully say nothing at all.
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Nick
Nick@ningbeck·
@jonathanchait Unrelated- 0.07% of the electorate mysteriously disappears.
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Nick
Nick@ningbeck·
@mattyglesias Farming has always been notoriously volatile.
Nick tweet media
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Nick
Nick@ningbeck·
@NotWoofers Why would you even want to? Russia isn't a valuable or reliable partner and they're actively invading their neighbors. To be honest they should pull off a Nixon-Mao 2.0 where China cuts Russia off until Putin buckles under the pressure. Xi probably asks for Tawain though.
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Nick
Nick@ningbeck·
@PhilWMagness The bright side is this extremely stretched, nonsensical, definition probably won't hold up in court.
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Nick
Nick@ningbeck·
@atrupar Not to mention ICE/CBP abducting people, arresting citizens, smashing car windows and breaking into homes without a warrant.
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Nick
Nick@ningbeck·
@atrupar Perhaps the guy losing us dozens of service members, and tens of billions of dollars in Iran after illegally stealing over a hundred billion from importers is the ransacker.
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Aaron Rupar
Aaron Rupar@atrupar·
Trump: "Our Country was unnecessarily RANSACKED by the United States Supreme Court, which has become little more than a weaponized and unjust Political Organization. The sad thing is, they will only get worse! They wouldn’t even call out The Rigged Presidential Election of 2020, because they said that I, as President of the United States, did not have 'standing' to challenge it, and now, with time, it has been conclusively proven to be stolen — And look what happened to our wonderful Nation by allowing a grossly incompetent man, Sleepy Joe Biden, to be our 'President.'"
Aaron Rupar tweet mediaAaron Rupar tweet media
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