OddChain | Prediction Market News & Insights

@Zachary The other interesting bit is that it seems it’s invite only …

Most interested in the D.C. bar scene drama between bitcoiners and prediction market folks.

@MattDeLuca @BarredinDC Seems like it

@BarredinDC Doubt. Total PR stunt.

Here’s a screenshot of an invite and invite only partiful partiful.com/e/NsmMEphrUHy3…

@OttoSuwen There’s still the F street location of proper 21. They can do it on the same weekend still

Kalshi in a few days

@jsidman @Polymarket And if any journalists don’t show up you can always train an LLM to pretend to be them…

This @Polymarket bar is 100% just going to be filled with journalists trying to interview other journalists. washingtonian.com/2026/03/19/pol…

Sources are saying it’s gonna be at Proper-21 (K Street).

@michael_lwy @VitalikButerin @DaedalusRsch @probaaron @aradtski @functionspaceHQ @TideMarkets @ZEITFinance @Jake_Nyquist @Nekt_0 @Ranger_Global @jeff__opinion @masonnystrom @RohOnChain Appreciate the shoutout!

Here's who to follow if you want actually good takes on prediction markets: @VitalikButerin @DaedalusRsch @probaaron @aradtski @functionspaceHQ @TideMarkets @ZEITFinance @Jake_Nyquist @Nekt_0 @Ranger_Global @sybilpm @nic__carter @jeff__opinion @masonnystrom @RohOnChain @aaronjmars @klos @voliti_co @gemchange_ltd @hyperstiti0ns @benfielding @semajeth @0xjacobzhao @0xnagu @SolSt1ne @mikhryc0x @mikita_crypto @marvellousdefi @theoddchain @curiouscamilo @linfluence @jolimmmm @outpxce @socialgraphvc @DougieDeLuca @BetBreakNews @dbarabander @sidbharth @smaaaaliy @thejay @trashman18 @drNeyo @13_niakris @Baheet @a1research__ @akshayraj_v0 @reachavci @njokuScript

@_kate_lv @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade Extremely unlikely to be an insider

there are conspiracy theory that nobody knows about.. trader about to cash out $3.7 million if Netanyahu is out from his position by the end of the month. polymarket.com/profile/0xd348…

@MickBransfield @BenShindel Ah gotcha

@theoddchain Apparently it was only a single category. @BenShindel said The Hollywood Reporter treated the tie differently between themselves and the prediction markets.

Both Polymarket and Kalshi guessed the winners of 19 of 24 Academy Awards categories correctly. The Hollywood Reporter got 21 of 24 categories right.

Respect to @HiveLiveHQ for being the only org to analyze the address instead of content farming I refuse to live in a world where someone who made their money on Mutant Ape Yacht Club has inside information on the fate of one of the ~20 most powerful people on the planet

This bettor is connected to user "danny_locke" on Opensea, who made a good deal of money speculating on NFTs five years ago They have significant interaction history with Kraken and Binance, and will be easy to identify if they are an insider They're probably just gambling

@zoomerfied That would not be good for the mention market economy.

[ ZOOMER ] THE SEC IS PREPARING A PROPOSAL TO ELIMINATE QUARTERLY REPORTING REQUIREMENTS: WSJ

Milbank, the white-shoe law firm defending Kalshi in court, is hosting a webinar tomorrow (3/17/2026) on CFTC rulemaking. Signup page below.

@Baheet_ Fees?

how is kalshi making so much revenue like the gap between them and polymarket is not even close

@zorkafm @tradefoxintern Timing is indeed important

@theoddchain @tradefoxintern Timing is everything, right? Classic move.

Oscar Market Big Movement Alert 🚨 Michael B. Jordan has now flipped Timothée Chalamet in the Best Actor market for Sinners Current odds: Michael B. Jordan: 60% (up from 33%) Timothée Chalamet: 33% (down from 79%) So why the sudden move toward Jordan? - He’s the lead in one of the top two Best Picture contenders - He just won SAG for Best Actor, and SAG was the last major televised industry precursor - Sinners has real late-stage momentum and is peaking at exactly the right time - Jordan has obvious charisma and deep industry goodwill - The reaction to his SAG win felt like more than just applause -> it looked like genuine industry love The more interesting question: Is this move just the market catching up to consensus or is there actually something sharper happening beneath the surface? What Smart Money seems to be doing: - A number of sharp wallets have been buying NO on Chalamet - Not seeing the same level of conviction on YES Jordan - Instead, some Smart Money wallets are taking small shots on Leo for One Battle After Another at just 4% odds That suggests this may be less of a pure 'Jordan certainty' move and more of a 'Chalamet is no longer the guy' repricing You can trade this market on @tradefoxai across both Polymarket and Kalshi (links in comments)

@gusik4ever Unless they work at PWC, they probably don't know something for certain oddchain.com/p/oddchain-s-g…

$25K on Timothée Chalamet to win Best Actor tonight someone bought YES at ~35% odds, putting up $25,110 for a potential $70K payout Chalamet is nominated for Marty Supreme, but the market favorite right now is Michael B. Jordan (Sinners) DOES HE KNOW SOMETHING?

@kevinolearytv Hey Kevin, this might help with some context: oddchain.com/p/oddchain-s-g…

Hey! I just made a prediction on Kalshi. Think you'd call it differently? Try it here: kalshi.com/markets/kxosca…

@verge We wrote this round up that we figured people might find interesting: oddchain.com/p/oddchain-s-g…

Prediction markets want the Oscars to be your gateway drug to betting on everything theverge.com/entertainment/…