T Bill

3.1K posts

T Bill

T Bill

@tom_bill09

Katılım Ağustos 2011
256 Takip Edilen62 Takipçiler
T Bill
T Bill@tom_bill09·
@Clevta Isn’t trading a CY pick = next year pick minus one round standard trade value?
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Clevta
Clevta@Clevta·
2027 4th not 2024 4th of course
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Clevta
Clevta@Clevta·
Browns fleeced the Giants
Jordan Raanan@JordanRaanan

The #Giants paid a hefty price for Malachi Fields, which included a coveted 2027 pick. Teams treated '27 picks like gold during draft weekend. Only 3 '27 picks outside of final two rounds were moved. 1. Eagles sent a '27 third to Minny in Jonathan Greenard deal 2. Giants sent '27 fourth to Browns to get Fields 3. Seattle sent a '27 fourth to Cleveland for a '26 fifth

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T Bill
T Bill@tom_bill09·
@aakashgupta Can you have 10%+ GDP growth if you have 10%+ unemployment? Who is buying all these incremental goods?
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Aakash Gupta
Aakash Gupta@aakashgupta·
Elon is saying double-digit GDP growth (10%+) within 18 months and 100%+ growth within 5 years. The US just posted 4.3% in Q3, the best quarter in two years. The math required to get from here to there is instructive. Goldman Sachs projects US potential GDP growth at 2.1-2.3% through the early 2030s, with AI adding roughly 0.3 percentage points. Penn Wharton’s model shows AI’s contribution peaking at 0.2 percentage points in 2032, bringing total AI-driven GDP increase to 1.5% by 2035. The IMF estimates AI will boost global GDP by approximately 0.5% annually through 2030. These are the mainstream forecasts. Musk is projecting something 50x higher. The only economic models that produce his numbers come from AGI papers. Korinek and Suh project a “baseline” 100% GDP increase over 10 years if AGI arrives and automates most cognitive work. Erdil and Besiroglu’s model shows 30%+ annual growth is mathematically possible if AI systems can replicate human labor for under $15,000/year and investment rates hit 20% of GDP. This tells you what Musk is actually betting on. He’s predicting functional AGI arrives within 5 years, costs less to run than hiring humans, and gets deployed fast enough to automate the majority of knowledge work. Current reality: AI accounted for 92% of US GDP growth in H1 2025, but only because it represents a massive capex cycle, not because it’s replaced workers at scale. Private investment outside AI-linked sectors is actually declining. The productivity gains that would drive Musk’s numbers haven’t shown up in macro data yet. The gap between Wall Street forecasts (2% growth) and Musk’s forecasts (100%+ growth) is the gap between “AI is a useful tool” and “AGI automates everything.” Both can be internally consistent. The question is which model of AI progress you believe. Elon is pricing in a world that doesn’t exist yet but that he’s actively building toward. The market is not.
Elon Musk@elonmusk

@pmarca Double-digit growth is coming within 12 to 18 months. If applied intelligence is proxy for economic growth, which it should be, triple-digit is possible in ~5 years.

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Jack Goldsmith
Jack Goldsmith@jacklgoldsmith·
Two takeaways from Trump v. Slaughter oral argument: 1. The government will definitely lose the tariffs case. 2. Teaching Federal Courts after this decision next summer is going to be even more fun than usual. Lots of foundational federal courts issues potentially implicated.
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Satoshi Club
Satoshi Club@esatoshiclub·
@TheMoneyApe IF BALANCE > $6.55T → 1BTC=1BTC IF BALANCE $6.52T–$6.55T → 1BTC=1BTC IF BALANCE < $6.52T → 1BTC=1BTC We are here sooo loooong to stay.
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Money Ape
Money Ape@TheMoneyApe·
🇺🇸 Fed balance sheet data will be released at 4:30 p.m. ET today. IF BALANCE > $6.55T → BULLISH IF BALANCE $6.52T–$6.55T → NEUTRAL IF BALANCE < $6.52T → BEARISH Praying for our bags to survive 🙏
GIF
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T Bill
T Bill@tom_bill09·
@Fred__Duncan Is 30s =30 second sprints? 30 second rests between sprints?
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Fred Duncan
Fred Duncan@Fred__Duncan·
A new study looked at six weeks of sprint interval training (SIT) in trained distance runners compared to traditional steady running (Jin et al., Frontiers in Physiology, 2025). The SIT group did 10 x 30s maximal sprints with 3.5 minutes rest, twice per week. The traditional
Fred Duncan tweet media
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Fred Duncan
Fred Duncan@Fred__Duncan·
How strong is strong enough? A new 2025 study (Vial et al., J Strength Cond Res) looked at 60 trained football players and tested what strength and power levels best predicted 20m and 40m sprint times (likely a better test for accel). They found IMTP ≥ 2× bodyweight was the
Fred Duncan tweet media
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T Bill
T Bill@tom_bill09·
@Wendi_Irlbeck What is an appropriate age for small doses of caffeine?
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Wendi A. Irlbeck MS, RDN, LD, CISSN
Non-negotiables for student athletes : - Breakfast - Avoid energy drinks and pre workouts - 3 to 4 balanced meals per day - 7-10 hours of sleep/night - 100 oz of H20 daily + minerals - Show up early and ready to go - Avoid fried foods and no soda - No phone within 45-min of bed - Only use third party tested supplements -Carbs + protein before and after training - Second breakfast on game day - Protein + carb + veggie + fruit at each meal - Daily stretching and mobility drills - Studies before scrolling social media or video games
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Ryan
Ryan@RGSCLE·
@atrupar $1,000 investment over 18 years with a 9% annual return would be $4,717
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Aaron Rupar
Aaron Rupar@atrupar·
Trump: "We're creating a special Trump account for every newborn child, starting them off with a $1,000 credit to be invested over the course of their life. A little baby is born, they're gonna start off with $1,000 ... they have a chance to be very rich. It's gonna be very cute to see. We're gonna follow it very closely."
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Chef Andrew Gruel
Chef Andrew Gruel@ChefGruel·
If I had @RobertKennedyJr 's ear, here is what I would suggest when it comes to America’s health and chefs/restaurants: One of the most significant steps we can make is to remove seed oils from food. BUT we can’t do this via gov mandate, we need to educate people and chefs so they understand that seed oils are not just bad for you, but they ruin your food quality. We removed seed oils and our guests are VERY HAPPY. It pays off in quality. Then we need to make Beef Tallow (and other real fats) more accessible through the restaurant supply chain so it makes sense to the bottom line. We can do this by allowing and incentivizing ranchers to sell tallow directly to purveyors without the hurdles and in bulk. Bring in organizations like NARA. This will bring the price down and make it much easier for chefs to make the switch. Right now a lot of that goes to pet food and feed. 50% of the food eaten in the states is through take-out and restaurants. This will be the biggest change in conjunction with a chef-driven (wink wink) campaign to help people learn their way around the kitchen. In turn, the demand will increase supply and thus lower prices. if we fix this initial health issue, healthcare costs will go down and ultimately help the economy. It's all related.
Robert F. Kennedy Jr@RobertKennedyJr

President Trump and I will Make America Healthy Again. @realDonaldTrump has told me that he wants to leave as his legacy to the American people the end of the chronic disease epidemic.

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Barbara Oneill
Barbara Oneill@BarbaraOneillAU·
Rebounding, or jumping on a mini-trampoline, offers a variety of health benefits for the body that are both surprising and impressive. Here’s a detailed look at some of the key advantages: 1. Improved Cardiovascular Health ❤️ Rebounding is an excellent way to get your heart pumping and improve cardiovascular health. The rhythmic motion increases heart rate, promoting better circulation and strengthening the heart muscle over time. 2. Lymphatic System Boost 🌿 Unlike many other forms of exercise, rebounding is particularly effective at stimulating the lymphatic system. The up-and-down motion helps to flush out toxins, waste, and other unwanted materials from the body, which can enhance your immune system and overall health. 3. Enhanced Balance and Coordination ⚖️ The unstable surface of the trampoline forces your body to engage multiple muscles to maintain balance, which over time improves your coordination and stability. This can be especially beneficial for older adults looking to maintain their independence and reduce the risk of falls. 4. Low-Impact Exercise 🌟 Despite its effectiveness, rebounding is gentle on the joints. The trampoline absorbs much of the impact, making it a great option for those with joint pain or those recovering from injuries, while still providing a high-intensity workout. 5. Muscle Toning and Strengthening 💪 Rebounding works out various muscle groups, particularly in the core, legs, and lower back. Regular sessions can lead to improved muscle tone, increased strength, and better posture. 6. Improved Bone Density 🦴 The gentle impact on bones from rebounding can stimulate bone growth and increase bone density, which is crucial for preventing osteoporosis and maintaining bone health as we age. 7. Stress Relief and Mental Health 😌 The rhythmic motion of bouncing has been shown to have calming effects, reducing stress and anxiety. Additionally, the physical activity releases endorphins, the body's natural mood lifters, which can help to combat depression and improve overall mental well-being. 8. Better Digestion and Gut Health 🍎 Rebounding can also positively impact digestion by stimulating the digestive tract, promoting better nutrient absorption, and reducing issues like constipation. The gentle motion helps to massage the intestines, aiding in regular bowel movements. 9. Increased Energy Levels ⚡️ Regular rebounding can lead to higher energy levels. The exercise helps to improve circulation and oxygen flow throughout the body, which can leave you feeling more energized and less fatigued throughout the day. 10. Weight Loss and Fat Burning 🔥 Rebounding is an effective calorie-burning exercise. It increases metabolism and helps to burn fat, making it a great option for those looking to lose weight or maintain a healthy weight. Incorporating just a few minutes of rebounding into your daily routine can provide a wide array of benefits, making it a versatile and effective way to support your overall health and well-being.
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John Uppgren
John Uppgren@TheRealUppy·
@22classy Yes. Also tennis is the best cross training sport for lacrosse
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Deemer Class
Deemer Class@22classy·
Should Athletes Play Multiple Sports? I was catching up with a top recruit yesterday heading into her freshman year of college. She noted that she loved playing tennis and that playing in the fall was a huge positive as a mental break from lacrosse. I think rightfully so, the physical break is obviously talked about. But the mental break is harder to measure, yet just as if not more important!
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Casey Wheel
Casey Wheel@CoachWheel·
3 variations of goal line. Each with different problems to solve.
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Ryan Flanagan
Ryan Flanagan@RyanFlanagan24·
Is it accurate that @USA_Lacrosse age verification is only a thing in boys youth club lacrosse and not girls? That seems kind of bizarre if it’s true.
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IKE
IKE@cnterfield11·
@Stoic_Father Now imagine them being the only kid they know without a phone…. Very tough needle to thread….
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Stoic Father
Stoic Father@Stoic_Father·
Don’t let your kids have social media Better yet, don’t let them have a phone. That’s where their childhood will end
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T Bill
T Bill@tom_bill09·
@FranchiseMnA You can stay for half the price if you can purchase Disney vacation club points or reservation from a member
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JT Singh
JT Singh@FranchiseMnA·
Wife is planning a Disney trip for the fam Travel agent is saying its going to be over $12,000+ 2 Rooms at the Polynesian plus passes, etc. Am I being scammed or is Disney really this obnoxiously expensive?
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Mack Perry
Mack Perry@DevaronPerry·
Bub at 14th?
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