Curved Yield

29 posts

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Curved Yield

Curved Yield

@yield2wurst

Public equities, credit, memes. No politics or sports. This is an alt.

United States เข้าร่วม Mart 2026
108 กำลังติดตาม5 ผู้ติดตาม
Curved Yield
Curved Yield@yield2wurst·
@TurnerNovak It appears you’ve been protected 😂 We can only downvote the commenters
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Turner Novak 🍌🧢
Turner Novak 🍌🧢@TurnerNovak·
I don’t know all of the logistics, but I do know this button was created so we can all properly engage with tweets from people announcing they've become a VC.
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Curved Yield
Curved Yield@yield2wurst·
@solflipseth @anothercohen I’m willing to believe he has an extremely cool job in the best city on earth. In my experience though, any time someone regularly puts down other people, it’s because they’re insecure. I’d go so far as to say it’s the only explanation. Extremely deep insecurity.
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Ken
Ken@solflipseth·
@yield2wurst @anothercohen He’s just spending all day in an apartment staring at his phone and getting dopamine from his Twitter engagements. You can do that anywhere.
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chaka2312
chaka2312@chaka23121·
@yield2wurst @CapitalObserver @muddywatersre It is the law that they put out a short report and then cover as the sheep short / sell? It is not the disclosure I am questioning but the action. It reeks No position on $sofi
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Curved Yield
Curved Yield@yield2wurst·
@negligible_cap Could be. I think an adversarial approach to china (esp economically) is the thru line that ties together a lot of what they seem to be doing.
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Negligible Capital
Negligible Capital@negligible_cap·
@yield2wurst I don’t think Trump is necessarily trying to piss off Xi. They’re still meeting in April (for now) and Trump doesn’t have much to gain without the IEEPA tariff lever anymore. He should want to keep Xi docile
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Curved Yield
Curved Yield@yield2wurst·
@rev_cap The market reacts because this is the one sentence everybody was waiting to hear
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Curved Yield
Curved Yield@yield2wurst·
@calvinfroedge 1) We can’t protect the regional oil infrastructure or the strait without invading 2) So oil prices will spike 3) Trump will be forced to re-instate some version of the oil export ban (or at least export restrictions) to insulate the US 4) most of rest of world is f’ed
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Curved Yield
Curved Yield@yield2wurst·
@TMTLongShort Probably not. I am open minded to their military strategy being good (or bad! Hard to tell). Their domestic messaging so far has been awful. They need to find a better message and messenger.
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Greg Ip
Greg Ip@greg_ip·
Why the oil shock won't cause stagflation or recession: #1 U.S. less energy intensive than in past price spikes. Gasoline consumption lower today in in 2007. #2. U.S. net petroleum exporter. Therefore mildly positive for terms of trade. (link to column: wsj.com/economy/why-th…)
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Curved Yield
Curved Yield@yield2wurst·
@LukeGromen The reason they are doing it is because it hurts China. Lifting sanctions right now will spike the price of Russian oil. Almost all of which China buys (and needs). Listen to them. Venezuela = gas station 1. Iran = gas station 2. Russia = gas station 3.
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🏴‍☠️@calvinfroedge·
I probably saw this coming more than just about anybody And I am absolutely terrified right now Everything you think you might need to buy in the next year, you better buy it now If you want to take a last vacation, take it now, you won't be able to afford it soon
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Curved Yield
Curved Yield@yield2wurst·
@DarioCpx Everyone is conditioned to buy the dip, Trump always tacos, he’ll calm it by the time futures open, etc. Not with this. Sometimes big stuff changes
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JustDario 🏊‍♂️
JustDario 🏊‍♂️@DarioCpx·
Stage 1️⃣ - ✅ -> Stage 2️⃣ - ⏳
JustDario 🏊‍♂️ tweet media
JustDario 🏊‍♂️@DarioCpx

Let me tell you what’s going to happen this weekend as soon as US stocks trading ends today 1️⃣The US will initiate a large scale air attack - Trump will likely hold a press conference to announce it with big fanfare 2️⃣Iran will be in full defensive posture till sunrise when swarm of drones and likely more advanced rockets will be used in the counterattack: - Attacks on Israel will remain limited and continue to be just retaliation. Iran and Israel are too far from each other geographically and large scale damages don’t carry a significant yield for Iran since Israel strategic military assets are well defended while a big drain on Iran stockpile of drones and rockets - Iran will continue focusing its attacks on US assets located in the ME where the stockpile of air defence rockets is already virtually depleted and its cheap drones can still successfully yield significant damages. - Likely more advanced and powerful rockets will be used to directly target US military assets. - Another couple of tankers belonging to anyone but China and anchored in the vicinity of the Strait of Hormuz will be hit and sunk to remind everyone not to attempt any crossing. 3️⃣ During the weekend another oil infrastructure will be directly hit in any of the ME countries. Iran will continue to deny the attack came from them. 4️⃣ A ground attack will begin on Sunday from Iraq carried out by Iran anti government forces. At the beginning it will find limited resistance and there will be announcements of successful progress. When these troops will be enough inside Iran territory the IRCG counterattack will begin targeting the supply line first and then moving to close the retreat path to envelop enemy forces. US will respond with strong bombing in the area, but aircraft’s will be facing strong air defences. 5️⃣ By the time GLOBEX futures resume trading on Sunday night 6pm EST the intensity of the fights will be limited and the skirmishes will continue for another week with the US keeping a close eye on stocks volatility that must remain as low as possible to avoid a market panic heading into March OPEX next Friday You are welcome 🙏🏻

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Paul Enright
Paul Enright@pmje73·
The market right now is really working through a daily exercise of trying to find consensus on what’s inevitable, what’s probable and what’s possible.
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Curved Yield
Curved Yield@yield2wurst·
@LumberTrading It’s really hard to reconcile oil futures with basic realities of what’s happening
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Stinson Dean 🌲🪓
Stinson Dean 🌲🪓@LumberTrading·
IMO: Markets are least prepared for no TACO. Including oil futures.
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Richard Hanania
Richard Hanania@RichardHanania·
The Economist on how strikes in the war have changed: Our results show that around halfway through the first week of the conflict the fighting entered a new phase. One change is that Iran’s counter-punches have become less effective: both fewer in number and reliant on drones, rather than missiles. Another is that America and Israel appear to be changing their focus from military targets to “civilian” buildings such as defence-industry facilities and the Iranian regime’s infrastructure of oppression—hence the strike in Javanrud. Attacks on Gulf Arab states have almost all been intercepted and have fizzled out. Meanwhile, Iran keeps getting hit hard. And then there are drones...In the first days of the conflict it launched roughly one for every missile. Now the ratio is ten to one. Militarily, this is a complete route. It's insane to watch analysts say that the US and Israel are the ones who can't keep this up.
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