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Chip

@theMacroChip

Kalshi top 200 PnL. Key Opinion Follower. Onecoiner (hold one of every cryptocurrency).

加入时间 Şubat 2014
1.1K 关注410 粉丝
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Chip
Chip@theMacroChip·
This is the future of communication
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Kakusan
Kakusan@kakujain·
Hi @variance_lover, I’m really sorry your experience has been this frustrating , especially as one of our longest-standing and highest-volume market makers. We hear you loud and clear on the ghost fills, reliability issues, payouts, exploits, and communication gaps. We’ve brought in new leadership (@devjoshstevens ) and a dedicated product team (@0xdanzu @mustafap0ly) over the past few weeks and we’re moving fast to fix these. The rapid growth (and resulting scaling challenges) doesn’t excuse the problems you’ve faced, and we’re working around the clock to deliver the experience you and other serious traders deserve ,including much better direct feedback channels. You can DM me or any of the team mentioned here (or reach out in Discord) anytime. Appreciate you sticking with us and sharing this feedback directly. We’re committed to earning back your trust.
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Variance Lover
Variance Lover@variance_lover·
I’ve been one of the biggest market makers on Polymarket for a long time. At peak I was doing $10M+ daily volume and paying thousands in fees every single day. The current state is the worst the platform has ever felt. Ghost fills still everywhere. Markets constantly breaking. Payouts randomly missing. Exploits going on for months while the team says “it’s fixed”. You spend more time defending against bugs than actually trading. Meanwhile, communication is a joke. They say “we’re listening” → ignore emails, ignore DMs. They say “we’ll work with top users” → instead it’s random private Telegram groups with whoever shouts the loudest. They say “issue fixed” → it clearly isn’t. At some point you stop believing anything they say. The fee situation is another one. If you’re generating serious volume and paying serious fees (thousands a day), most exchanges shower you with attention and perks. I'm not asking for that but would be nice to at least be acknowledged that you exist and have basic communication, especially after they've announced publicly multiple times that they will start doing this. Instead we got a week-long hype campaign for a “big update” that turned out to be… a hidden fee increase. How dumb do you think your users are? And then stuff like April 5th, missed referral/rebate payments, no announcement, no explanation, nothing. Just silence. That’s not a bug, that’s trust damage. The bigger issue is it feels like nobody on the team has actual trading experience. The design decisions show it. Every update introduces new edge cases, new exploits, new ways to break the order book. People have made many millions exploiting this stuff. Many of these accounts are obvious, trackable, preventable. The community has been pointing it out for months. Ignored. Only now that the markets are borderline unusable does it seem like there’s urgency. Right now the platform is honestly close to untradeable: – ghost fills – manipulation – unreliable payouts – constant bugs – zero transparency And surprise, volume is dropping. Meanwhile Kalshi is catching up fast (have basically overtaken in volume in almost every category except for politics) and Hyperliquid is entering with a team that actually understands trading systems. I want Polymarket to succeed. And yes, maybe the upcoming ghost fill fix helps. But if this pattern continues, terrible communication, fake timelines, ignoring core users, then this won’t be a place serious traders stick around. You can’t build a market while eroding the trust of the people who provide the liquidity, especially not as a many multi billion dollar company! I have spoken to many large polymarket whales (of which a considerable amount have already given up on the platform) and they all share this sentiment. @Polymarket @mustafap0ly @SuhailKakar @_kanarazu_
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Chip
Chip@theMacroChip·
@Domahhhh @Eltonma Yeah it's getting bad enough where Shayne might have to DM all the KOLs asking what he can do to improve the site then proceed to do none of it
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Domer❤️‍🔥
Domer❤️‍🔥@Domahhhh·
@Eltonma It's unusable right now. I see huge order walls in a market I want to trade and I don't even bother. Obv fake. Really sad. I also woke up to see someone tried to pull off a huge uma scam and nearly succeeded. The site is unfortunately a huge joke atm, need to hire better ppl.
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Elton Ma
Elton Ma@Eltonma·
I have been playing on polymarket for almost 2 years. Today is the day I feel most angry about polymarket team. The ghost fill problem is getting much worse and those bastards are doing 50k resting orders both sides. I am getting 3% rewards on markets I suppose to get 50+%. The team said they would ban all those accounts but I think they are doing some lousy job. It is very easy to ban them. Just track big accounts like me or domah etc, check their backend you see failed transactions then you know which accounts are at fault. Check their ip and linked accounts and ban them all. It is easy. I was doing Amazon 20 years ago, Jeff Bezos know how to ban those Chinese cheaters. I don’t get it why poly is not doing things. The whole order book look like shit now. For 2 years I never requests anything from polymarket but I just think the did too bad this time the whole upgrade was not planned well. And as the #1 lp farmer by far. I suggest that poly should kinda compensate all lp farmer that are still doing lp after the upgrade till Monday’s permanent fix is deployed. (And I kinda skeptical if that upgrade really works) At least pay them a few times more based on their pro rata share of the rewards earned. And perhaps give me one polymarket necklace that identical to Paul Logan’s that sold to Pawn Star Rick’s at $30k (well this part is a joke but maybe Shayne should really consider it) This is so bad that even I as a lp farmer that keeps on farming for 650+ days thinking about quit farming. And it seems to me that if those bastards made like 100k accounts before Monday they might still can keep on doing that? I really hope the team can seriously address this issue. @shayne_coplan @_kanarazu_ @Polymarket @mustafap0ly
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Isaac
Isaac@roundrobin42·
@Domahhhh @peanut_bettor Do you think there is a significant difference between kalshi and draftkings for the large majority of users who log on, search for a bet they like, and click place? (assume only sports)
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Isaac
Isaac@roundrobin42·
Wrote about how prediction markets depend on user losses, and why Kalshi’s claim that their incentives are fundamentally different from casinos is a lie
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Chip
Chip@theMacroChip·
@delucinator it's always so sad that "advisors" don't look for this stuff
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yieldfarming
yieldfarming@delucinator·
ok looks like I can walk, my graduation might just be delayed I completed all the work for some simple 1st year elective i put off for 7 years and forgot to sign up for it so im registered as ineligible to graduate i think i can add it for the summer tho
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yieldfarming
yieldfarming@delucinator·
did something really fucking retarded might not graduate this semster fuck fuck fuck fuck
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Chip
Chip@theMacroChip·
@fejau_inc Same. I recognize a nerd snipe when I see one
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fejau
fejau@fejau_inc·
I have not spent a second thinking about this red button blue button thing Marc Andreessen mode
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50 Pence
50 Pence@polyint·
@devjoshstevens @Polymarket @louispolymarket Rewards page market descriptions need to drop a line so the end of the title is visible. This usually contains the date. Event series do not always display in temporal order.
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Josh
Josh@devjoshstevens·
We want to kill as many bugs on the @Polymarket UI as possible next week.. below report your issue with as much detail as possible and we will get it properly in the backlog and @louispolymarket and web team will get them fixed for you. Thanks in advance 💪
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Chip
Chip@theMacroChip·
@adamscochran No this is not sufficient to know if the sources were accurate lol
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Adam Cochran (adamscochran.eth)
Adam Cochran (adamscochran.eth)@adamscochran·
Worth noting these statements are based on the takes of sources close to the discussion, and may include their own speculation. The key way in which we’ll *know* these sources were accurate is if we see proposals develop involving: * Russian management of nuclear material. * Omani involvement in a Strait transition plan.
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Adam Cochran (adamscochran.eth)
Adam Cochran (adamscochran.eth)@adamscochran·
1/7 SCOOP: Some Pakistani sources close to the negotiations think the current Iran trips are part of plan to *TRICK* American negotiators into a bias peace deal. Aimed at *appearing* to appease the US until AFTER the midterms, and then continuing a hardline agenda.
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eigenrobot
eigenrobot@eigenrobot·
solid color collared shirts are third worldist btw
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Chip
Chip@theMacroChip·
@thedogfather @Seanfrank Just learned of this but looks like it doesn't have "jump ahead" which I find extremely valuable. It lets you skip logical sections of videos. Which includes in video ad reads
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Nicholas Losciuto - Dog Dad
Nicholas Losciuto - Dog Dad@thedogfather·
@Seanfrank I just found out there is YT Lite for $8.99/month. Switched, no commercials in videos, just don't get YT music features (who cares). But yes MRI's and all that other stuff to, very important, totally.
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Sean Frank
Sean Frank@Seanfrank·
Ways to use money to make your life easier: here is a list of things you can pay for to make your life A LITTLE more convenient (with prices) Laundry service- Fluff and fold. someone will come pick up your laundry, do it, and bring it back folded. Roughly $150 a week Meal service- Skip door dash and uber eats. Meal plan delivery. 10-12 meals, set to your macros. about $10 a meal, so $150-$180 all in At home haircut- hate waiting and scheduling? local barbers will come to you, cut your hair outside for $100 + tip. Weekly house cleaners- dont do bi weekly. who are you fooling? $200 bucks every week. Tesla- Car drives itself. I didnt realize how much anger I had in traffic. now I just chill and look outside. $500 bucks a month Quest blood tests- I dont want to die. Doctors do not care about a healthy 30 year old. Every quarter, I get a blood test. $300 a pop. MRI- Same as above. $2000 once a year to guarantee you dont have a brain tumor. Wholefoods delivery- Included in amazon prime. save yourself the trip to the grocery store and there is NO MARK UP (unlike instacart) Layflat airplane seats- Most domestic first class is trash. but if you have to fly cross country or intl, lay flat only. $2,500 minimum now, more like $4,000 Youtube premium- A no brainer for under $20 a month. No ads and more money in your fav creators pocket Mobile car wash- prob not really worth it. but for $200 bucks someone will come to your house and detail your car. --- all this stuff is extra. none of it will make you happier. but if you NEED more time and have extra money, good starting list
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ً
ً@SilenceCapital·
still can’t believe @brian_armstrong gave @cobie $500M for an ICO website that got shut down after just two successful ICOs could’ve given $1M to 500 innovative app builders, even if 100 apps survived it would’ve created an onchain renaissance on @base Cobie ended up buying a giant castle with a single purpose to poorshame CT while he is not even using it and just sits in one basement room in front of a computer. cobie basically handed out most of the funds to some boomer who doesn’t even have anyone to inherit the wealth and you’re asking why crypto is down so bad. this is worse than solana KOL extraction season, at least some of them are giving money back to the market by trading on hyperliquid btw i’m raising for a very innovative onchain game app
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Chip
Chip@theMacroChip·
@adamscochran Do you think all three attempts were staged?
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Adam Cochran (adamscochran.eth)
Adam Cochran (adamscochran.eth)@adamscochran·
“I’ve studied assassinations” Like all good writers, you must study before you write your stage play.
Fox News@FoxNews

.@pdoocy: "Respectfully, why do you think this keeps happening to you?” PRESIDENT TRUMP: “I've studied assassinations, and I must tell you, the most impactful people, the people that do the most...the people that make the biggest impact, they're the ones that they go after.”

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Chip
Chip@theMacroChip·
@nic_carter Yup. For all we know, Cuba *was* watching Polymarket and tightened security which thwarted a mission planned for the same night
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nic carter
nic carter@nic_carter·
everyone who says "Van Dyke was just betting on himself, where's the harm in that?" is wrong. sorry to be a spoil sport. he effectively stole government property (classified information) that wasn't his and monetized it for personal gain. this is the thrust of the indictment and obviously, a serious crime. more problematically from my perspective, he effectively "leaked" the imminent Maduro raid (even though it seems the Venezuelans did not notice) via his trading activity. (this wasn't in the indictment, because the wire fraud case is a slam dunk, and this would require a more creative legal theory). tipping off your adversary that a secret raid is imminent is obviously an insanely serious crime, and that's why we can't give him a slap on the wrist – we can't normalize soldiers tipping off our enemies that secret missions are underway. unfortunately the combination of there being a brand new way to monetize private information together with aggressive marketing to normies (who may be unaware of insider trading rules in securities markets) is a very combustible pairing. governments need to train their workers not to do this AND the PM platforms need to do is be way more explicit about the laws around insider trading. you can't assume everyone reads Matt Levine and knows all the statues around insider trading
Mostly Peaceful Memes@MostlyPeaceful

Congress watching soldiers get arrested for insider trading

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Bernie Sanders
Bernie Sanders@BernieSanders·
The Trump family has made $4 billion off the presidency. Crypto: $3.02B Persian Gulf deals: $425.8M Qatari jet: $150M Legal fees/merch: $127.7M Mar-a-Lago: $125M Corporate deals: $91M Hanoi hotel: $40M Truth Social: $25M Don Jr: $19.6M Unprecedented kleptocracy.
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Chip
Chip@theMacroChip·
@TheZvi Context
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Chip@theMacroChip·
@bowtiedcrake this makes no sense. it's a skit
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Chip
Chip@theMacroChip·
@saliencexbt Yeah that's the reality. It takes foresight network with the right people as well
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Chip
Chip@theMacroChip·
@AlmostMedia @lumpenspace I have a hard time with professional political pivots. It's not the same for them.
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mc lumps ⏹️❗️ 🔨⏱️
I can’t believe Taylor Lorenz is about to vibe shift we are getting closer and closer to an IQ-gated party split
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Chip
Chip@theMacroChip·
@ventuals Kalshi and Polymarket
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Chip
Chip@theMacroChip·
@MostlyMonkey It's a shitpost. I have him muted
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Chip
Chip@theMacroChip·
@KeithPowersNYC Horrible law. You absolutely should have to choose between putting food on the table and food in the dog bowl
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Keith Powers
Keith Powers@KeithPowersNYC·
Pet Owners: It’s time that we make pet food a little bit cheaper. This week, I introduced new legislation to get rid of the sales tax every time you buy pet food.
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