

FatMbappe
702 posts

@TheFatMbappe
Fat bets, fatter profits - professional sports bettor - Gambling sports on Prediction Markets








Please stop spamming my TL with slop like "ThiS trader lost $5M on a single bet 😱😡🥵 !!?!?" These are not a traders, these are Sports Syndicate. Sports Syndicates are like sports betting investment funds. Here is how they operate : > develop a reliable edge (insider info on injuries, better weather models, better fatigue analysis...) > pool money from large investors, often from countries where gambling is banned (🇨🇳) > invest the money in bets following their strategy > reinvest proceeds on winning bets > investors withdraw any time they want and keep the profits, while the Syndicate takes a comission. This is the secret behind all the big accounts with 1 or 2 prediction betting millions on a single team or match. Sports Syndicates split their bet across multiple accounts that they cycle constantly so it's harder for observers to gain insight into their portfolios and strategy. If you see these signs : - Huge bets on a single market - only sports - fresh account - empty profile Then you are almost always looking at a Sports Syndicate burner account. this fresh profile who bet $5M on Argentina is a perfect example


On June 13, Polymarket removed the taker delay for all World Cup matches. Here's what a goal looks like without it for the ARG win market at the 85' mark: - 13,848 shares were resting within 5¢ of the ask when the ball crossed - 90% of all cancels occurred within 65ms of each other - First post-goal taker order lands 63ms behind the cancels and picks off less than $800 - Total sniped on a 3x book move: <$1,000 (600+ total active maker addresses, 11 adversely filled)



Please stop spamming my TL with slop like "ThiS trader lost $5M on a single bet 😱😡🥵 !!?!?" These are not a traders, these are Sports Syndicate. Sports Syndicates are like sports betting investment funds. Here is how they operate : > develop a reliable edge (insider info on injuries, better weather models, better fatigue analysis...) > pool money from large investors, often from countries where gambling is banned (🇨🇳) > invest the money in bets following their strategy > reinvest proceeds on winning bets > investors withdraw any time they want and keep the profits, while the Syndicate takes a comission. This is the secret behind all the big accounts with 1 or 2 prediction betting millions on a single team or match. Sports Syndicates split their bet across multiple accounts that they cycle constantly so it's harder for observers to gain insight into their portfolios and strategy. If you see these signs : - Huge bets on a single market - only sports - fresh account - empty profile Then you are almost always looking at a Sports Syndicate burner account. this fresh profile who bet $5M on Argentina is a perfect example

Big news: Kimi-K3 by @Kimi_Moonshot is now #1 in the Frontend Code Arena with 1679 pts, surpassing Claude Fable 5. This is a 17-place jump from Kimi-k2.6 (#18 -> #1). In Frontend, Kimi-K3 ranked #1 in 6 of 7 domains: Brand & Marketing, Reference-Based Design, Data & Analytics, Consumer Product, Simulations, and Content Creation Tools, landing #2 only in Gaming behind Fable 5. The full model weights will be released by July 27. Congrats to the @Kimi_Moonshot team on this major milestone!













FatMbappe is going institutional 🏆 My $FAV8 World Cup Vault is live on @ZeitFinance. We’re buying equal YES shares across the top 8 World Cup favorites. Current basket: ~81¢. Payout if one of them wins: $1. Target gross upside: ~23.5% before fees. 🧵🧵🧵