Erik Warren

113 posts

Erik Warren

Erik Warren

@WarrenFinances

Katılım Mayıs 2025
24 Takip Edilen17 Takipçiler
Erik Warren
Erik Warren@WarrenFinances·
@_SeanDavid Snapchat reaches 1/8th of all humans on the planet …..
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Sean D. Emory
Sean D. Emory@_SeanDavid·
This should make $SNAP investors pretty nervous.
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Lukas Kafka
Lukas Kafka@Kafka7invest·
@TradeAnythingX @aleabitoreddit Yup $snap about to go nuts especially with specs reveal June 16th at @ARealityEvent @aleabitoreddit
Lukas Kafka@Kafka7invest

$SNAP should be valued at ~30-50B market cap today here’s why. Snap is currently a 9-10B market cap company with 2025 revenue of 5.93B Just looking at comparable companies with similar revenues or lower we can see snap is undervalued Reddit $RDDT 2025 revenue 2.2B Market cap 30B Roblox $RBLX 2025 revenue 4.9B Market cap 33.5B Zoom $ZM 2025 revenue 4.67B Market cap 29B All of these companies generate less revenue than Snap yet are triple the market cap. Some people may argue well that’s because of growth rates, but Snapchat just reported that their other revenue segment grew 87% last quarter (chart below) and following projections should be at a 2B run rate by the end of this year. Additionally snap is seeing improvements in large advertisers and continued momentum with small and medium businesses. Yes Reddit and Zoom are more profitable, while Roblox and Snap are still recording an earnings loss on an annual basis, but that all changes this year for Snap. Q3 and Q4 will make Snap full year profitable. Snap will start to see the impact of their job cuts on cost savings in Q3 and especially Q4 which will lead to 500M in savings annually. Additionally they will see an increase in Snap+ subscribers in Q3/Q4 as the deadline for memory storage for users with 5GB or more goes into effect at the end of Q3. This will increase revenue while at the same time cut costs with memory unload for people who don’t pay. Snap is on track to post 60%+ gross margins this year. Some other factors people forget to consider is that snap has a Moat in AR, and will have a vertically integrated system with hardware and software with the upcoming @Spectacles, this segment alone is worth 10-20B as they have spent over a decade and billions of dollars on perfecting AR. On the software side they have a full lenses ecosystem built out with hundreds of thousands of developers & an OS system. On the hardware side they have their in house waveguide technology and more to be announced next month at @ARealityEvent June 16th with a possible consumer specs reveal then and SNAP OS 3.0 reveal some time this year. Some other ways to look at the value of snap are within the app, they have 450M snapmap MAUs even more users than Life360 $LIF which is valued at 3B. Snap has said they will turn maps into a commerce hub over time. They also have over 200M MAUs playing games in the platform. There is FUD about founders selling shares but this is because their entire net worth is tied to snap, they don’t take a salary and these are predetermined sales on a schedule. Additionally SBC as a % of revenue has continually declined in the last few years and they said on the last earnings call that this trend will continue. Snap is at a turning point in 2026 where they will become insanely profitable in Q3/Q4 2026 and into 2027 and beyond. They will showcase their consumer specs this year and the market will quickly see that snap will be a top participant in AR glasses even with big tech competition. If we look at comparable companies snap should be at least 30B in market cap, add in 3-5B for their maps/games value 10-20B for specs and you quickly get to a 50B valuation today and even higher if @Spectacles can truly scale with future versions to millions of users. Some additional/summarized quick facts on Snap Inc. -90% of 13-24 year olds use the app -450M snapmap MAUs -Snapchat closing in on 500M DAUs & 1B MAUs -over 100% growth in spotlight shares/reposts in the US QoQ -lenses in snap used 9B times a day on avg -AI powered lens creation up 150% YoY -25M snap+ subscribers 1.1B run rate (and growing)

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Mason Capital
Mason Capital@mason__capital·
Spectacles seem far more capable than the Google <> Samsung <> Warby Parker colloboration announced today at Google IO $SNAP $WRBY
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Erik Warren
Erik Warren@WarrenFinances·
@SnapInvestors Yes I liked minis...anything adding into chat bar is Nice. They could of had a whole eco system.
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Snap Investor
Snap Investor@SnapInvestors·
Tencent’s investment in $SNAP is under appreciated. Tencent invested in 2013, they bought again in 2017. Snapchat shares more similarities to early WeChat, than other peers. Snap still carries super app potential. Minis were discontinued too soon IMO. techinasia.com/tencent-stake-…
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Popeye
Popeye@Popeyetrading·
@SnapInvestors All overshadowed by their theft of shareholders via SBC
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Snap Investor
Snap Investor@SnapInvestors·
Q3 for $SNAP will be spectacular. Layoff effects will become visible, memory storage grace period ends, Specs launch, and Snap+ growth continues (due to upselling from storage plans)… The crucible moment has arrived. 2026 will be among the most consequential years for $SNAP.
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Oscar Falmer
Oscar Falmer@OscarFalmer·
Developer Preview for Meta Ray-Ban Display is rolling out. 👓📷 Build web apps for display glasses with HTML, CSS, and JavaScript, or extend your mobile apps with the Meta Wearables Device Access Toolkit. Start building today 📷👉 developers.meta.com/blog/build-for…
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Erik Warren
Erik Warren@WarrenFinances·
@ReadyfortheRun You know meta has at many times tried to copy Snap...its never worked. Snap is massive it reaches almost a billion people monthly now. Yes thats not the size of meta, but meta is a trillion dollar company that can't kill snap and has tried for many years.
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Roman Bias
Roman Bias@ReadyfortheRun·
Instants by Meta $META is the nail in the coffin for Snap $SNAP RIP Snap!
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Erik Warren
Erik Warren@WarrenFinances·
@ReadyfortheRun Meta has attempted to copy before. But the whole appeal of snap is not having the public feed baggage. Which is why meta can't just introduce it into instagram/Facebook. Then if they make an app, how do you convince everyone to move their whole system to another app.
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BoxLongs
BoxLongs@BoxLongs·
$SNAP just getting vaporized on the continued insider selling. Mr Market is coming for $SNAP one more time. face dunk to $3 handle. Irenic probably moved their feet and sold a bunch. Not coming back for another bite now that the slide deck has already been launched? fugly.
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Erik Warren
Erik Warren@WarrenFinances·
@torovictorioso @twixmixs Could partner with others…DoorDash ..many companies could do business with Snap. Someone sent email out to DoorDash. Snap has a lots of opportunity’s with its network effects
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Jamie
Jamie@torovictorioso·
This is more tricky than you suggest .. Evan is absolutely correct in saying that $SNAP won't add a product unless it's 10X better than what already exists .. food delivery can't be 10X .. one company trying to reinvent food delivery is $XYZ .. but they're not actually reinventing food ordering .. they're reinventing the rewards program. The Block neighborhoods product actually replaces the buy 10 and get one free merchant rewards schemes. It also has a Groupon like angle for bigger discounts and a WhatsApp angle for merchant messaging. This is a potential 10X better product than current rewards programs even though it looks more like a food ordering product.
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twix
twix@twixmixs·
Why don’t we have snapDelivery $snap. You have the map, you have the users and you have restaurants advertising on maps. Transforming food delivery and ordering to be more social
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Erik Warren
Erik Warren@WarrenFinances·
@ShabtaiDvir I wonder what ai services can do . Can it level the playing field more with alphabet and meta?
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Shabtai Dvir
Shabtai Dvir@ShabtaiDvir·
Thread 🧵 1/ Snap’s ad revenue was only +3% YoY in Q1’26 ($1.24B). Vs. • Meta +33% • Pinterest +18% • YouTube +11% It looked weak… but this is the bottom of the ad cycle for $SNAP . The real story? A massive inflection is here. 🚀
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Erik Warren
Erik Warren@WarrenFinances·
@TimothyBuffett @sosacapital I disagree Timothy with design . If the functional is good people will overlook its design . The design is also old version. They look lot less bulky than a vr headset. That’s it’s actually competitor the HoloLens/Vision Pro. Not meta glasses.
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Timothy
Timothy@TimothyBuffett·
@sosacapital That wasn't the point I was making... lol They look like something a 6 year old wants, not an adult or teenager. And the teenagers that do are not the ones setting trends... It has a lot of potential and the specs are different arguments.
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Alejandro Sosa
Alejandro Sosa@sosacapital·
I think $SNAP Q3/Q4 results will surprise many, positively. Memory storage grace period ending, years of capex for Specs will finally result in a consumer product release, material effect from layoffs will become apparent, sponsored snaps rollout is scaling. Long here.
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Erik Warren
Erik Warren@WarrenFinances·
@WallStAction Meta has tried to copy snap multiple times but you know there’s no reason to switch to what meta is offering . It only introduces Babbage that the user of snap doesn’t want .
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Lukas Kafka
Lukas Kafka@Kafka7invest·
There is an opportunity for companies like @DoorDash or @Uber to partner with @Snap on their maps feature that now has 450M MAUs to facilitate food pickup or delivery for themselves or others directly from the map by clicking on restaurants/establishments. There is a ride-hailing opportunity too. Users should be able to order rides from the app without switching apps directly from maps thru @uber @lyft & soon Autonomous- @robotaxi @Rivian @Waymo the clock is ticking to contact snap and get access to these 450M MAUs The CBO of DoorDash and Vice President of growth received my email suggestion! They like it. The race is on. $SNAP @evanspiegel $DASH $UBER $TSLA $LYFT $GOOGL $RIVN
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Erik Warren
Erik Warren@WarrenFinances·
$snap many business opportunities with snap with its social network effect that I think they have not capitalized fast enough on but still can. Hopeful @evanspiegel pushes for these partnerships more. Maps is under utilized!!!
Lukas Kafka@Kafka7invest

There is an opportunity for companies like @DoorDash or @Uber to partner with @Snap on their maps feature that now has 450M MAUs to facilitate food pickup or delivery for themselves or others directly from the map by clicking on restaurants/establishments. There is a ride-hailing opportunity too. Users should be able to order rides from the app without switching apps directly from maps thru @uber @lyft & soon Autonomous- @robotaxi @Rivian @Waymo the clock is ticking to contact snap and get access to these 450M MAUs The CBO of DoorDash and Vice President of growth received my email suggestion! They like it. The race is on. $SNAP @evanspiegel $DASH $UBER $TSLA $LYFT $GOOGL $RIVN

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Keen
Keen@EngRecruitingg·
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Mason Capital
Mason Capital@mason__capital·
$SNAP investors, ask yourselves What if it all goes right with Spectacles?
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